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Run To Form

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A description of the Run To Form metric that is used in the Timeform jockey and trainers Statistics and Visuals Dashboard.

Contextual data is at the heart of Timeform’s methodologies. Complementing a finishing position, information such as performance ratings, timefigures and detailed digital reporting all help to frame a performance into a context in which it was achieved.

A key contextual metric used by Timeform (as well as others) in recent years, is Run To Form. By comparing a horse’s pre-race rating to that which it achieved, we can assess factors such as a horse’s consistency and trainer form. It can be a much better gauge of a horse, trainer or jockey than simple strike rate as it considers much more than a simple result.

A binary ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ view on whether a horse ran to form is overly simplistic in a large number of instances. For example, a horse may be subject to a pace or draw bias which stops it from showing the full extent of its abilities. In such a scenario, it would be unfair to evaluate this performance in a total negative way. Under new classification rules, this would be highlighted separately.

A blanket value for comparing pre- and post-race ratings has been replaced by a dynamic counterpart. This allows for a much fairer way of assessing performance under the conditions the horse encountered.

Also, the in-depth analysis produced by reporters is now fully harnessed as part of the metric. Scenarios where horses were flattered or unlucky in running are now catered for, resulting in a much more accurate evaluation of that performance.

The benefits to Timeform customers begin with the launch of the new Jockey and Trainer Dashboard product. Large amounts of both the initial and subsequent statistic sets are powered by the new Run To Form metric, including Trainer Form visualisations and Jockey Radars.

Click HERE to find out how you can subscribe to Timeform Race Passes and get the full benefit of the ultimate form guide.

 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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NEWMARKET (ROWLEY) 3:45

Wednesday 24 October
3. PREFONTAINE (IRE) 104
Andrea Atzeni silk Andrea Atzeni sectional
Roger Varian
6. SKYMAX (GER) 103p
Harry Bentley silk Harry Bentley
Ralph Beckett
7. BO SAMRAAN (IRE) 102
Franny Norton silk Franny Norton
Mark Johnston
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

9:10 KEMPTON PARK

1st Fran Berry silk 6. CRISTAL SPIRIT 3/14
2nd Stevie Donohoe silk nk 10. BUCKLAND BOY (IRE) 5/23.5f
3rd Marc Monaghan silk 6 3. HOULTON 25/126
J: Fran Berry  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:40 KEMPTON PARK

1st George Wood silk 9. THE PINTO KID (FR) 16/54.2
2nd Kieran Shoemark silk 1 10. PILOT WINGS (IRE) 9/43.25f
3rd Edward Greatrex silk ¾ 7. RUNNING CLOUD (IRE) 10/34.33
J: George Wood  
13 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

8:10 KEMPTON PARK

1st George Wood silk 8. INDIAN TYGRESS 9/43.25f
2nd George Downing silk ½ 4. OUTRAGE 11/26.5
3rd Nicola Currie silk ½ 9. THE GATES OF DAWN (FR) 33/134
J: George Wood  
10 ran. NRs: 2  3 
FULL RESULT

7:40 KEMPTON PARK

1st Martin Dwyer silk 3. BUSBY (IRE) 3/14f
2nd Liam Keniry silk ¾ 6. A SURE WELCOME 5/16
3rd Adam Kirby silk 9. ROLAND ROCKS (IRE) 13/27.5
J: Martin Dwyer  
T: Conrad Allen  
11 ran. NRs: 11 
FULL RESULT

7:10 KEMPTON PARK

1st Tom Marquand silk 6. FOX CHAMPION (IRE) 11/82.37f
2nd Shane Kelly silk ½ 7. JOHNNY REB 8/19
3rd Marc Monaghan silk ¾ 2. BE LIKE ME (IRE) 5/16
J: Tom Marquand  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

6:40 KEMPTON PARK

1st Nicola Currie silk 4. SOLVEIG'S SONG 10/111
2nd Callum Shepherd silk 5. COACHELLA (IRE) 9/25.5
3rd Adam Kirby silk 1. DOR'S LAW 6/17
J: Nicola Currie (3)  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

6:10 KEMPTON PARK

1st Callum Shepherd silk 1. PIKE CORNER CROSS (IRE) 1/12f
2nd Charlie Bennett silk ½ 10. BOXATRICKS (IRE) 16/117
3rd Nicola Currie silk 1 4. MANS NOT TROT (IRE) 10/111
T: Ed de Giles  
13 ran. NRs: 14 
FULL RESULT

5:45 NEWCASTLE

1st Andrea Atzeni silk 11. ZAMANDAS (IRE) 11/43.75f
2nd Dane O'Neill silk ¾ 9. KATIE LEE (IRE) 33/134
3rd Sam James silk 5. MANGO CHUTNEY 33/134
T: Roger Varian  
10 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

5:40 KEMPTON PARK

1st David Probert silk 2. PADURA BRAVE 14/115
2nd Joshua Bryan silk nk 4. SWAN STREET 7/18
3rd Tom Marquand silk 8. PURGATORY 7/18
T: Mark Usher  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results