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Run To Form

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A description of the Run To Form metric that is used in the Timeform jockey and trainers Statistics and Visuals Dashboard.

Contextual data is at the heart of Timeform’s methodologies. Complementing a finishing position, information such as performance ratings, timefigures and detailed digital reporting all help to frame a performance into a context in which it was achieved.

A key contextual metric used by Timeform (as well as others) in recent years, is Run To Form. By comparing a horse’s pre-race rating to that which it achieved, we can assess factors such as a horse’s consistency and trainer form. It can be a much better gauge of a horse, trainer or jockey than simple strike rate as it considers much more than a simple result.

A binary ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ view on whether a horse ran to form is overly simplistic in a large number of instances. For example, a horse may be subject to a pace or draw bias which stops it from showing the full extent of its abilities. In such a scenario, it would be unfair to evaluate this performance in a total negative way. Under new classification rules, this would be highlighted separately.

A blanket value for comparing pre- and post-race ratings has been replaced by a dynamic counterpart. This allows for a much fairer way of assessing performance under the conditions the horse encountered.

Also, the in-depth analysis produced by reporters is now fully harnessed as part of the metric. Scenarios where horses were flattered or unlucky in running are now catered for, resulting in a much more accurate evaluation of that performance.

The benefits to Timeform customers begin with the launch of the new Jockey and Trainer Dashboard product. Large amounts of both the initial and subsequent statistic sets are powered by the new Run To Form metric, including Trainer Form visualisations and Jockey Radars.

Click HERE to find out how you can subscribe to Timeform Race Passes and get the full benefit of the ultimate form guide.

 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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CHELMSFORD CITY 18:45

Thursday 13 December
6. PURE SHORES 111
Kieran O'Neill silk Kieran O'Neill
Ian Williams hot trainer
2. FIRMAMENT 110
David Probert silk David Probert
David O'Meara
3. CALLING OUT (FR) 110
Jim Crowley silk Jim Crowley
David Simcock
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

19:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st David Probert silk 14. VIOLA PARK 11/43.75
2nd Luke Morris silk ¾ 11. LOCOMMOTION 8/19
3rd Philip Prince silk 12. MR POTTER 14/115
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:45 KEMPTON PARK

1st Adam Kirby silk 7. RYDAN (IRE) 7/18
2nd Charles Bishop silk 1. MAQUISARD (FR) 10/111
3rd Rossa Ryan silk 8. AUTHORIZED TOO 9/110
J: Adam Kirby  
T: Gary Moore  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st David Probert silk 1. LEXINGTON LAW (IRE) 12/113
2nd Hector Crouch silk 1 9. GET BACK GET BACK (IRE) 5/23.5f
3rd Josephine Gordon silk 3. WIMPOLE HALL 13/27.5
T: Alan King  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:45 KEMPTON PARK

1st Robert Havlin silk 2. HOLY HEART (IRE) 11/43.75
2nd Fran Berry silk ¾ 1. LET RIP (IRE) 2/13jf
3rd David Probert silk 4 8. MRS BENSON (IRE) 20/121
T: John Gosden  
8 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

17:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st Jim Crowley silk 7. KHUZAAM (USA) 4/71.57f
2nd Tristan Price silk ¾ 4. DEAL A DOLLAR 25/126
3rd Robert Havlin silk 7 5. FIGHTWITHME (IRE) 6/17
J: Jim Crowley  
T: Roger Varian  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:45 KEMPTON PARK

1st Jason Watson silk 11. SET PIECE 11/102.1f
2nd Adam Kirby silk 1 8. JUST THE MAN (FR) 7/24.5
3rd Adam McNamara silk ½ 4. CREATIONIST (USA) 33/134
J: Jason Watson  
T: Hugo Palmer  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st Callum Rodriguez silk 4. WOODSIDE WONDER 28/129
2nd Edward Greatrex silk 1. TIMES PAST (IRE) 11/26.5
3rd Josephine Gordon silk 10. FLAUNT IT (IRE) 8/19
12 ran. NRs: 12  9 
FULL RESULT

15:40 KEMPTON PARK

1st David Probert silk 5. NO NONSENSE 2/13
2nd Nicola Currie silk 1 6. RICOCHET (IRE) 13/82.62f
3rd Rob Hornby silk ½ 1. BENNY AND THE JETS (IRE) 33/134
11 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

15:30 LEICESTER

1st Connor Brace silk 3. DARK EPISODE (IRE) 6/17
2nd Hugh Nugent silk 2. SKIDOOSH 11/43.75
J: Connor Brace (3)  
T: Philip Hobbs  
All 4 ran.
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results