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Run To Form

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A description of the Run To Form metric that is used in the Timeform jockey and trainers Statistics and Visuals Dashboard.

Contextual data is at the heart of Timeform’s methodologies. Complementing a finishing position, information such as performance ratings, timefigures and detailed digital reporting all help to frame a performance into a context in which it was achieved.

A key contextual metric used by Timeform (as well as others) in recent years, is Run To Form. By comparing a horse’s pre-race rating to that which it achieved, we can assess factors such as a horse’s consistency and trainer form. It can be a much better gauge of a horse, trainer or jockey than simple strike rate as it considers much more than a simple result.

A binary ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ view on whether a horse ran to form is overly simplistic in a large number of instances. For example, a horse may be subject to a pace or draw bias which stops it from showing the full extent of its abilities. In such a scenario, it would be unfair to evaluate this performance in a total negative way. Under new classification rules, this would be highlighted separately.

A blanket value for comparing pre- and post-race ratings has been replaced by a dynamic counterpart. This allows for a much fairer way of assessing performance under the conditions the horse encountered.

Also, the in-depth analysis produced by reporters is now fully harnessed as part of the metric. Scenarios where horses were flattered or unlucky in running are now catered for, resulting in a much more accurate evaluation of that performance.

The benefits to Timeform customers begin with the launch of the new Jockey and Trainer Dashboard product. Large amounts of both the initial and subsequent statistic sets are powered by the new Run To Form metric, including Trainer Form visualisations and Jockey Radars.

Click HERE to find out how you can subscribe to Timeform Race Passes and get the full benefit of the ultimate form guide.

 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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ASCOT 4:20

Friday 22 June
7. CLEMMIE (IRE) 132p
Ryan Moore silk Ryan Moore
Aidan O'Brien, Ireland hot trainer
5. BILLESDON BROOK 131
Sean Levey silk Sean Levey
Richard Hannon
3. ALPHA CENTAURI (IRE) 130
Colm O'Donoghue silk Colm O'Donoghue
Mrs J. Harrington, Ireland
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

9:15 FFOS LAS

1st Robert Williams silk 8. BORAK (IRE) 6/17
2nd Paddy Brennan silk ¾ 4. RED HOT CHILLY (IRE) 5/16
3rd Harry Skelton silk ¾ 6. BARON VON CHILL 5/23.5f
J: Robert Williams (3)  
9 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

9:05 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st L. F. Roche silk 10. BRONAGH'S BELLE (IRE) 8/19
2nd G. M. Ryan silk 5. TEMASEK STAR (IRE) 7/18
3rd Ross Coakley silk 4. PARK ROW (IRE) 20/121
J: L. F. Roche  
11 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

8:55 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Luke Morris silk 5. MIDNIGHT BLUE 5/61.83f
2nd Shariq Mohd silk 6 6. TIME TO PERFECTION (IRE) 8/19
J: Luke Morris  
6 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

8:45 FFOS LAS

1st Micheal Nolan silk 10. GRAMS AND OUNCES 14/115
2nd Sean Bowen silk 13. LAYERTHORPE (IRE) 6/17
3rd Harry Skelton silk ½ 11. SEA OF MYSTERY (IRE) 5/42.25f
T: Grace Harris  
10 ran. NRs: 1  4  6 
FULL RESULT

8:35 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st G. P. Halpin silk 2. HELLO BRIGETTE (IRE) 11/26.5
2nd William James Lee silk 5. GOTTARDO (IRE) 3/14
J: G. P. Halpin (3)  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:25 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Martin Dwyer silk 9. PREZZIE 40/141
2nd John Fahy silk nk 4. VODKA PIGEON 20/121
3rd Jacob Mitchell silk 2 2. GUARDIOLA (USA) 3/14f
J: Martin Dwyer  
T: William Muir  
11 ran. NRs: 10 
FULL RESULT

8:15 FFOS LAS

1st Adam Wedge silk 10. MARBLE MOON (IRE) 11/26.5
2nd Wayne Hutchinson silk 2 2. BENEAGLES (IRE) 4/15
3rd Sean Bowen silk 3. ROLLING MAUL (IRE) 7/18
J: Adam Wedge  
9 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

8:05 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st G. F. Carroll silk 5. MASUCCI (IRE) 4/15
2nd R. P. Whelan silk ¾ 3. HAMLEY (FR) 16/117
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

7:55 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Aaron Jones silk 6. STOSUR (IRE) 13/27.5
2nd John Fahy silk hd 3. GOLDEN NECTAR 11/112
3rd Kieran O'Neill silk 5. DELICATE KISS 8/19
J: Aaron Jones (3)  
T: Gay Kelleway  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results