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Run To Form

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A description of the Run To Form metric that is used in the Timeform jockey and trainers Statistics and Visuals Dashboard.

Contextual data is at the heart of Timeform’s methodologies. Complementing a finishing position, information such as performance ratings, timefigures and detailed digital reporting all help to frame a performance into a context in which it was achieved.

A key contextual metric used by Timeform (as well as others) in recent years, is Run To Form. By comparing a horse’s pre-race rating to that which it achieved, we can assess factors such as a horse’s consistency and trainer form. It can be a much better gauge of a horse, trainer or jockey than simple strike rate as it considers much more than a simple result.

A binary ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ view on whether a horse ran to form is overly simplistic in a large number of instances. For example, a horse may be subject to a pace or draw bias which stops it from showing the full extent of its abilities. In such a scenario, it would be unfair to evaluate this performance in a total negative way. Under new classification rules, this would be highlighted separately.

A blanket value for comparing pre- and post-race ratings has been replaced by a dynamic counterpart. This allows for a much fairer way of assessing performance under the conditions the horse encountered.

Also, the in-depth analysis produced by reporters is now fully harnessed as part of the metric. Scenarios where horses were flattered or unlucky in running are now catered for, resulting in a much more accurate evaluation of that performance.

The benefits to Timeform customers begin with the launch of the new Jockey and Trainer Dashboard product. Large amounts of both the initial and subsequent statistic sets are powered by the new Run To Form metric, including Trainer Form visualisations and Jockey Radars.

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Free Daily Race Pass

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NEWCASTLE 15:20

Tuesday 09 March
2. DINGO DOLLAR (IRE) 146§
Ryan Mania silk Ryan Mania jockey uplift
Sandy Thomson
NT
1. BLAKLION 143+
Harry Skelton silk Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton
4. SHE'SASUPERMACK (IRE) 142
Conor O'Farrell silk Conor O'Farrell
Iain Jardine
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

19:40 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Callum Shepherd silk 7. MORLAIX 7/18
2nd Charles Bishop silk nk 1. CARMENERE 8/19
3rd Cam Hardie silk ½ 12. INTERNATIONAL LAW 12/113
12 ran. NRs: 4 
FULL RESULT

19:10 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Adam Kirby silk 1. UNFORGIVING MINUTE 5/61.83f
2nd Louis Steward silk 1 5. DR JEKYLL (IRE) 7/24.5
3rd Joanna Mason silk 1 7. ROLLER 7/24.5
J: Adam Kirby  
T: Sean Curran  
8 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT

18:40 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Lewis Edmunds silk 1. JEANS MAITE 4/91.44f
2nd Kieran Shoemark silk sh 3. ANDRE AMAR (IRE) 25/126
3rd Liam Keniry silk 4. CAPTAIN RYAN 17/29.5
T: Roy Bowring  
10 ran. NRs: 5 
FULL RESULT

18:10 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Hollie Doyle silk 1. OUTBOX 9/110
2nd Richard Kingscote silk 3. LUCKY'S DREAM 9/43.25
J: Hollie Doyle  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:40 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Kieran O'Neill silk 1. POWER OVER ME (IRE) 13/27.5
2nd Rossa Ryan silk 3. DIAMOND DOUGAL (IRE) 11/26.5
3rd Joe Fanning silk ½ 9. TURANGA LEELA 9/25.5
10 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

17:20 WETHERBY

1st Richard Johnson silk 5. LUPUS REGEM 9/25.5
2nd Paddy Brennan silk 4. IMPERIAL STORM (IRE) 11/43.75
3rd Billy Garritty silk 6. MASTER GUSTAV 16/117
T: Henry Daly  
12 ran. NRs: 12  13 
FULL RESULT

17:10 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Hollie Doyle silk 13. ROSIE POWERS (FR) 8/111.72f
2nd Callum Shepherd silk 12. ROSE FANDANGO 10/111
3rd Liam Keniry silk sh 5. JUST AMBER 16/117
J: Hollie Doyle  
All 13 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:00 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st Mr J. C. Barry silk 9. MEET AND GREET (IRE) 5/16
2nd Mr J. J. Codd silk ns 14. TOP BANDIT 5/23.5jf
3rd Mr B. O'Neill silk 3. DUNCREEVAN (IRE) 12/113
J: Mr J. C. Barry (5)  
18 ran. NRs: 20  21  5 
FULL RESULT

16:50 WETHERBY

1st Brian Hughes silk 6. SIGURD (GER) 11/112
2nd Richie McLernon silk 9. HANG TOUGH 8/19
3rd Sean Quinlan silk 8 3. CHASE THE WIND (IRE) 18/119
J: Brian Hughes  
10 ran. NRs: 1  10  5 
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results