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Run To Form

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A description of the Run To Form metric that is used in the Timeform jockey and trainers Statistics and Visuals Dashboard.

Contextual data is at the heart of Timeform’s methodologies. Complementing a finishing position, information such as performance ratings, timefigures and detailed digital reporting all help to frame a performance into a context in which it was achieved.

A key contextual metric used by Timeform (as well as others) in recent years, is Run To Form. By comparing a horse’s pre-race rating to that which it achieved, we can assess factors such as a horse’s consistency and trainer form. It can be a much better gauge of a horse, trainer or jockey than simple strike rate as it considers much more than a simple result.

A binary ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ view on whether a horse ran to form is overly simplistic in a large number of instances. For example, a horse may be subject to a pace or draw bias which stops it from showing the full extent of its abilities. In such a scenario, it would be unfair to evaluate this performance in a total negative way. Under new classification rules, this would be highlighted separately.

A blanket value for comparing pre- and post-race ratings has been replaced by a dynamic counterpart. This allows for a much fairer way of assessing performance under the conditions the horse encountered.

Also, the in-depth analysis produced by reporters is now fully harnessed as part of the metric. Scenarios where horses were flattered or unlucky in running are now catered for, resulting in a much more accurate evaluation of that performance.

The benefits to Timeform customers begin with the launch of the new Jockey and Trainer Dashboard product. Large amounts of both the initial and subsequent statistic sets are powered by the new Run To Form metric, including Trainer Form visualisations and Jockey Radars.

Click HERE to find out how you can subscribe to Timeform Race Passes and get the full benefit of the ultimate form guide.

 

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NEWMARKET (ROWLEY) 3:35

Thursday 19 April
4. ROARING LION (USA) 134p
Oisin Murphy silk Oisin Murphy
John Gosden hot trainer
3. MASAR (IRE) 129
William Buick silk William Buick
Charlie Appleby hot trainer
1. GLORIOUS JOURNEY 119p
James Doyle silk James Doyle
Charlie Appleby hot trainer
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

9:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st Eoin Walsh silk 3. TIGERWOLF (IRE) 2/13f
2nd Danny Brock silk 9. INSHAA 7/24.5
3rd Silvestre De Sousa silk 7. CRYPTONITE (IRE) 3/14
J: Eoin Walsh (3)  
8 ran. NRs: 1  2 
FULL RESULT

9:00 DUNDALK

1st G. F. Carroll silk 6. PREMIER LEAGUE (IRE) 14/115
2nd C. T. Keane silk ½ 4. IT'S ALL A JOKE (IRE) 5/23.5jf
3rd T. P. Madden silk hd 2. HIGHLY APPROVED (IRE) 11/26.5
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:45 KEMPTON PARK

1st Shane Kelly silk 5. SOGHAN (IRE) 7/24.5f
2nd Daniel Muscutt silk 8. MASTER ARCHER (IRE) 7/18
3rd Silvestre De Sousa silk nk 7. OCTOBER STORM 4/15
J: Shane Kelly  
All 13 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:30 DUNDALK

1st D. E. Sheehy silk 12. A LIKELY STORY (IRE) 10/111
2nd D. P. Linehan silk ¾ 1. ANNIE FIOR (IRE) 7/18
3rd C. P. Hoban silk sh 3. SEANIE (IRE) 12/113
J: D. E. Sheehy (5)  
14 ran. NRs: 16  6 
FULL RESULT

8:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st Tom Marquand silk 13. HIMSELF 10/111
2nd Silvestre De Sousa silk ½ 5. QEYAADAH (IRE) 9/110
3rd Ben Curtis silk ¾ 8. FLORENCIO 12/113
J: Tom Marquand  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:00 DUNDALK

1st R. P. Downey silk 2. POETIC CHOICE 7/18
2nd S. P. Davis silk 7. RAGTIME RED (IRE) 5/16
3rd K. J. Leonard silk 11. INNAMORARE (IRE) 9/110
J: R. P. Downey  
14 ran. NRs: 15 
FULL RESULT

7:45 KEMPTON PARK

1st Robert Havlin silk 5. MR MARRAKECH 2/13f
2nd Jim Crowley silk 2 9. WUFUD 9/25.5
3rd Martin Harley silk nk 1. BARTON MILLS 9/43.25
T: John Gosden  
11 ran. NRs: 4  8 
FULL RESULT

7:30 DUNDALK

1st Donnacha O'Brien silk 4. FULL MOON (IRE) 4/51.8f
2nd S. M. Crosse silk ½ 2. DOWNDRAFT (IRE) 10/111
All 4 ran.
FULL RESULT

7:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st Robert Havlin silk 1. IL PRIMO SOLE 5/23.5
2nd Pat Cosgrave silk 6. MAJOR PARTNERSHIP (IRE) 15/82.87f
3rd Oisin Murphy silk 12. GILDED HOUR (IRE) 12/113
T: John Gosden  
12 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results