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Run To Form

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A description of the Run To Form metric that is used in the Timeform jockey and trainers Statistics and Visuals Dashboard.

Contextual data is at the heart of Timeform’s methodologies. Complementing a finishing position, information such as performance ratings, timefigures and detailed digital reporting all help to frame a performance into a context in which it was achieved.

A key contextual metric used by Timeform (as well as others) in recent years, is Run To Form. By comparing a horse’s pre-race rating to that which it achieved, we can assess factors such as a horse’s consistency and trainer form. It can be a much better gauge of a horse, trainer or jockey than simple strike rate as it considers much more than a simple result.

A binary ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ view on whether a horse ran to form is overly simplistic in a large number of instances. For example, a horse may be subject to a pace or draw bias which stops it from showing the full extent of its abilities. In such a scenario, it would be unfair to evaluate this performance in a total negative way. Under new classification rules, this would be highlighted separately.

A blanket value for comparing pre- and post-race ratings has been replaced by a dynamic counterpart. This allows for a much fairer way of assessing performance under the conditions the horse encountered.

Also, the in-depth analysis produced by reporters is now fully harnessed as part of the metric. Scenarios where horses were flattered or unlucky in running are now catered for, resulting in a much more accurate evaluation of that performance.

The benefits to Timeform customers begin with the launch of the new Jockey and Trainer Dashboard product. Large amounts of both the initial and subsequent statistic sets are powered by the new Run To Form metric, including Trainer Form visualisations and Jockey Radars.

Click HERE to find out how you can subscribe to Timeform Race Passes and get the full benefit of the ultimate form guide.

 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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CHELMSFORD CITY 19:00

Thursday 25 April
4. HEY JONESY (IRE) 130
Kevin Stott silk Kevin Stott
Kevin Ryan
3. DREAM OF DREAMS (IRE) 128
Ryan Moore silk Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute hot trainer
1. BARON BOLT 124
Luke Morris silk Luke Morris
Paul Cole hot trainer
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

15:20 BEVERLEY

1st Jim Crowley silk 1. MOTAFAAWIT (IRE) 4/15
2nd Paul Hanagan silk 5. KING OF TONGA (IRE) 11/43.75
J: Jim Crowley  
All 7 ran.
QUICK RESULT

15:10 WARWICK

1st Wayne Hutchinson silk 6. MIDNIGHTREFERENDUM 4/15jf
2nd Edward Austin silk 3 11. NIGH OR NEVER (IRE) 6/17
3rd Jonathan Burke silk 6 5. FORGOT TO ASK (IRE) 4/15jf
T: Alan King  
11 ran. NRs: 1 
QUICK RESULT

15:00 PERTH

1st Sam Twiston-Davies silk 12. OROMO (IRE) 7/18
2nd James Bowen silk 11 3. CAPTAIN COURAGEOUS (IRE) 9/25.5f
3rd Lucy Alexander silk 1 14. DANCE OF FIRE 9/110
15 ran. NRs: 9 
FULL RESULT

14:50 BEVERLEY

1st Tom Eaves silk 5. SECRETINTHEPARK 33/134
2nd Graham Lee silk hd 7. JOHNNY CAVAGIN 4/15
3rd Kevin Stott silk 4 6. PRESTBURY PARK (USA) 9/25.5
J: Tom Eaves  
10 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

14:35 WARWICK

1st Jonathan Burke silk 7. DANSEUR DU LARGE (FR) 5/23.5f
2nd Charlie Poste silk sh 1. COOPERS SQUARE (IRE) 11/43.75
3rd Ben Poste silk 19 13. EATON MILLER (IRE) 6/17
T: Polly Gundry  
12 ran. NRs: 16  2  4  8 
FULL RESULT

14:25 PERTH

1st Leighton Aspell silk 5. DOUBLE W'S (IRE) 17/29.5
2nd Danny Cook silk 6. EYES OF A TIGER (IRE) 14/115
6 ran. NRs: 7 
FULL RESULT

14:15 BEVERLEY

1st Paul Hanagan silk 1. BAILEYS IN BLOOM (FR) 14/115
2nd Daniel Tudhope silk ½ 8. RUBY WONDER 14/115
3rd Harry Bentley silk nk 7. MAYBELLENE (IRE) 2/13f
J: Paul Hanagan  
8 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

14:00 WARWICK

1st Kielan Woods silk 5. MY CHARITY (IRE) 6/42.5f
2nd William Kennedy silk 6. ONE MORE FLEURIE (IRE) 14/115
3rd Bridget Andrews silk 15 2. FLOKI 6/17
J: Kielan Woods  
10 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

13:50 PERTH

1st Richard Johnson silk 1. RAKHINE STATE (IRE) 5/42.25f
2nd Grant Cockburn silk 4. CURRAMORE (IRE) 10/111
3rd Danny Cook silk hd 2. FANZIO (FR) 4/15
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results