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Timeform Expert View: Day three at Royal Ascot

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Posted in: Royal Ascot Tips

Racing Analyst Matt Gardner gives his three best bets for day three racing at Royal Ascot.


 


NAP: 13:15 Ascot - Golden Gates Handicap

The Golden Gates Handicap, one of the races added as part of Royal Ascot’s expanded programme this year, is a properly competitive three-year-old handicap over a mile and a quarter. There’s a wealth of potential improvers but the one that makes most appeal, both in terms of form achieved and potential for further progress, is GLOBAL STORM.


Global Storm has progressed with each run so far, creating an excellent impression when winning a hot-looking Newmarket handicap on reappearance. He did well that day, looking far more professional than he had as a juvenile and impressing with the ease with which he made up ground from behind at a meeting where front runners had often held sway.


The runner-up, Arthurian Fable, ran okay in the King George V Handicap on Wednesday and, with the prospect of rain-softened ground unlikely to faze him (won as a two-year-old on heavy) he ticks plenty of the right boxes.


 


NB: 15:35 Ascot - Gold Cup

The Gold Cup is clearly Stradivarius’ to lose, successful in the race for the last two years. He had a quite hard race in the Coronation Cup on his comeback however, forced to run fast over an inadequate trip in pursuit of the freewheeling Ghaiyyath, and the 12-day turnaround is a potential stumbling block.


One in opposition that could yet make up into a top-level stayer is TECHNICIAN. He capped a fine three-year-old campaign with a couple of wins at Longchamp, beating two of the best French stayers in Call The Wind and Holdthasigreen in the Prix Royal-Oak on his most recent start.


He’s a thorough stayer that seems likely to be well suited to this test, while any rain would very much be in his favour having done most of his winning on ground softer than good.


 


Longshot: 14:25 Ascot - Jersey Stakes

MISTER SNOWDON has a lot to find in the Jersey on the face of it, but this looks an open renewal and he certainly has the potential to improve a good deal. He made a winning debut at Wolverhampton in March, showing a smart turn of foot over six furlongs to overcome a steady gallop. He then went to Yarmouth in June and, despite racing freely and still looking green under pressure, again quickened well to get the better of John Gosden’s Enemy, who is well fancied for the Britannia Stakes.


Ground softer than good would be a complete unknown should the rain arrive, but he’s a promising individual that seems likely to be well suited to the demands of a bigger field and a stronger pace, and he may well be able to outrun his odds.


 
 

 


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ROYAL ASCOT 2023 COUNTDOWN

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ROYAL ASCOT RACES 2022

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NEXT RACE SMART STATS

2 K. R. Burke's number of winners in past 4 runnings. (saddles HEATHCLIFF'S GIRL)
£11.50 George Boughey's profit to a £1 level stake with favourites (saddles CALIFORNIA GEM)
£49.00 Nigel Tinkler's profit to a £1 level stake with debutants (saddles HEART OF SOFIA)
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