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Royal Ascot

Timeform Expert View: Day two at Royal Ascot

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Posted in: Royal Ascot Tips

Racing Analyst Ben Fearnley gives his three best bets for day two of Royal Ascot.


 


NAP – 1:50 Ascot

JUAN ELCANO sets the standard here on his fifth in the 2000 Guineas and probably should be a bit shorter in the betting than he is.


He’s up against a few potential improvers, particularly First Receiver, but classic form isn’t taken lightly and, with the step up in trip likely to be fine for him on pedigree, he should take a bit of beating if this doesn’t come too soon.


 


NB – 2:25 Ascot

Plenty of interesting types as usual but CONVICT has to be near the top of any shortlist, notably sharp and precocious as a juvenile given his talented family – which include the likes of Hamish and Beaten Up – tend to want time and distance, many of them not even making the track at two let along winning races.


The handicapper has had a swipe at Convict after he won a nursery at the back-end of 2019 but this step up in trip is certain to bring out improvement and he’s worth getting on side at around 9/1.


 


Longshot – 3:00 Ascot

This could get tactical which would count against Japan – who stays well – and possibly play into the hands of MEHDAAYIH if Dettori adopts front-running tactics on her again.


She wasn’t seen to best effect on any of her starts at Group 1 level in 2019 but was generally shaping up well, most notably when nailed late on in the Nassau (ridden too aggressively), and odds of 12/1 underestimate her chances in what is an open race in terms of ratings.


 
 

 


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NEXT RACE SMART STATS

41% Benoit de la Sayette's strike rate on favourites (rides MOVEONUP)
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