23 Jun 2018 - NEWSWOKINGHAM STAKES RESULT 2018: BACCHUS FOILS THE GAMBLE
Diamond Jubilee Stakes: Royal Harry can shine
Posted in: Royal Ascot Tips
The Diamond Jubilee Stakes has changed names twice since the turn of the century, to coincide with the celebrations surrounding the Queen's reign, and this will be the sixth edition of the race in its current guise.
It has proven to be a tricky race for punters to solve since Black Caviar just about obliged at 1/6 in the opening renewal back in 2012, with just one favourite scoring in five renewals since, and two double-figure priced winners to boot.
This year's renewal provides another puzzle in the form of Harry Angel, who sets a clear form standard but has a poor record at Ascot, with all four of his career defeats coming at the track. The four-year-old was one of the standout performers over six furlongs in Europe last season, with three Group 1 victories which included the July Cup at Newmarket, and it's interesting that his connections' enthusiasm hasn't been tempered consdering he was again below par in the Champion Sprint last October.
— Racing UK (@Racing_UK) July 15, 2017
The biggest threat is likely to come from abroad, in the form of Australian raider Redkirk Warrior. The sprinter is something of a globetrotter, having had stints in the UK and Hong Kong before arriving down under. It in Australia where he took his form to a new level, producing a career-best to win a Group 1 handicap at Flemington on his most recent start in March, racing nearest the stand-side rail while the placed horses were on the opposite side. He's a fascinating contender, but may well need to find a little more if he is to defeat Harry Angel.
Merchant Navy is another runner with strong Australian form to note, though he will represent Aidan O'Brien having been acquired by Coolmore. He is a Group 1-winning sprinter in his homeland, and burst onto the European scene when winning the Group 2 Greenlands Stakes at Naas last month. That success was a career-best effort, giving weight to the field after 11 weeks off, and staying on well to lead inside the final furlong. He will be a big danger to Harry Angel, for what could be his only start in Europe before heading back to Australia to take up stallion duties.
Another international raider due to take his chance is Bound For Nowhere, who finished fourth behind Harry Angel in last season’s red hot renewal of the Commonwealth Cup. He returned from a 209-day break to record back-to-back wins in America, the latter being a career-best performance at Grade 2 level. However, whilst Wesley Ward is a master of readying his runners for this meeting, he has a considerable about to find on form with the principles, and it is unlikely that he will get as close to his old rival as he did last season as a three-year-old. Lady Aurelia would have been another American runner to note, but she has been declared for Tuesday's King's Stand Stakes.
Closer to home, connections of last year's winner The Tin Man will be hopeful of another bold bid. He made a winning return in a listed contest at Windsor last month, though considering that this race looks stronger on paper, he would most likely need to improve on last year’s performance to retain his crown. However, for all that his course record is an asset, and he’s likely to make a bold bid. Last year's Champion Sprint winner Librisa Breeze deserves respect if taking his chance, but he has shown his best form on testing ground, and as a result he is likely to find this tough.
Harry Angel is difficult to oppose on form terms, and his poor record at Ascot means that he is an attractive price at around 3/1. As such, it is worth chancing that he can put things right at the Royal meeting.
Back Harry Angel at 9/2 in the Coronation Stakes on Friday 22 June
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