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Stat Selector: Wednesday December 6

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Our free Stat Selector picks out today's best bets using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Thomas Patrick – Haydock 12:50

Smart Stat: £48.37 - Tom Lacey's profit when having only one runner on the card (hurdles) since the start of the 2012/13 season

Un Guet Apens looks well-treated back over hurdles after winning over fences at Carlisle last time, however that was his first win since April 2014. On the flip-side, the unexposed Thomas Patrick – Tom Lacey’s only runner on the card - has only had four runs, but he shoved markedly improved form when stepped up to 23f at Exeter last time. That win came on heavy ground and he could be hard to peg back once more under similar conditions. Worcester runner-up Pop Rockstar looks the pick of the rest.

 

Tikkinthebox – Ludlow 13:00

Smart Stat: £50.15 - Jeremy Scott's profit with only one runner on the card (chases) since the start of the 2012/13 season

On the face of it, there’s isn’t much to recommend recent Hereford faller Tikkinthebox, however this looks a very winnable race and he wouldn’t need to improve much on his fair hurdling form to get in the mix. His best two efforts in that sphere came on similar right-handed venues and this longer trip looks a good move judging by his second to Master Burbidge at Taunton last March. Polo The Mumm, Red Square Revival and Badilou look the ones to beat.

 

One For Harry – Haydock 15:30

Smart Stat: 21% - Nicky Richards's strike rate with hurdlers running between 2m2f and up to 2m6f since the start of the 2012/13 season

Quids In is of interest if staying this longer trip, especially given he acts well on testing ground, however One For Harry is a proven stayer and he is back down to his last winning mark. That victory came at Wetherby last January, and it’s worth noting that six of One For Harry’s seven runs have come between the months of November and January – this is his time of year. He hasn’t excelled in two previous starts at the track but those efforts came over the old fixed brush hurdles and better is expected today.

 

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CHELTENHAM 1:55

Saturday 16 December
1. CLAN DES OBEAUX (FR) 169+
Harry Cobden silk Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls
11. GUITAR PETE (IRE) 167
Ryan Day silk Ryan Day
Nicky Richards
3. STARCHITECT (IRE) 166
Tom Scudamore silk Tom Scudamore
David Pipe
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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

9:00 DUNDALK

1st A. J. Slattery silk 7. SHARJAH (IRE) 25/126
2nd C. J. McGovern silk ¾ 10. TROPIC THUNDER (GER) 2/13f
3rd D. E. Sheehy silk ¾ 11. TRY AGAIN (IRE) 11/112
J: A. J. Slattery (10)  
14 ran. NRs: 15  16  17 
FULL RESULT

8:45 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Patrick Mathers silk 5. SAMPHIRE COAST 7/42.75f
2nd Darragh Keenan silk 1. ROSS RAITH ROVER 8/19
3rd Robert Winston silk ½ 10. MR POTTER 14/115
T: Derek Shaw  
11 ran. NRs: 13  7 
FULL RESULT

8:30 DUNDALK

1st Oisin James Orr silk 11. WOOSTER (IRE) 6/17
2nd Pat Smullen silk 2 12. NIVVO (IRE) 7/42.75f
3rd Donnacha O'Brien silk ½ 10. UNCLE HENRY (IRE) 18/119
J: Oisin James Orr (3)  
14 ran. NRs: 16  17  9 
FULL RESULT

8:15 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st P. J. McDonald silk 4. CAGED LIGHTNING (IRE) 4/15jf
2nd Paddy Bradley silk hd 6. FITZWILLY 12/113
3rd Fran Berry silk 2 1. ARGANTE (FR) 25/126
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:00 DUNDALK

1st Pat Smullen silk 6. REPARE MON (IRE) 7/18
2nd T. P. Madden silk 1 2. PASS THE BALL (IRE) 11/82.37f
3rd W. M. Lordan silk sh 10. TASTE THE SALT (IRE) 25/126
J: Pat Smullen  
14 ran. NRs: 15  16  17 
FULL RESULT

7:45 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Milly Naseb silk 2. HUMAN NATURE (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd Tom Eaves silk 6. NAUTICAL HAVEN 8/19
3rd Dougie Costello silk 1 8. BORN TO FINISH (IRE) 5/16
J: Milly Naseb (7)  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

7:30 DUNDALK

1st P. B. Beggy silk 2. ROCK ON DANDY (FR) 9/25.5
2nd Pat Smullen silk 7. HIGH KICKER (IRE) 14/115
3rd Shane Foley silk nk 13. MARINO MARVEL (IRE) 11/43.75f
J: P. B. Beggy  
14 ran. NRs: 15  16  17 
FULL RESULT

7:15 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Luke Morris silk 4. SIR HAMILTON (IRE) 12/113
2nd Stevie Donohoe silk 3 3. PADDY THE CHEF (IRE) 1/12f
J: Luke Morris  
T: Denis Quinn  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

7:00 DUNDALK

1st C. J. McGovern silk 5. TOGOVILLE (IRE) 7/18
2nd R. P. Cleary silk ½ 8. GEOLOGICAL (IRE) 20/121
3rd W. M. Lordan silk ½ 6. ALFREDO ARCANO (IRE) 7/24.5
J: C. J. McGovern (5)  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT
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