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Stat Selector: Wednesday December 6

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Our free Stat Selector picks out today's best bets using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Thomas Patrick – Haydock 12:50

Smart Stat: £48.37 - Tom Lacey's profit when having only one runner on the card (hurdles) since the start of the 2012/13 season

Un Guet Apens looks well-treated back over hurdles after winning over fences at Carlisle last time, however that was his first win since April 2014. On the flip-side, the unexposed Thomas Patrick – Tom Lacey’s only runner on the card - has only had four runs, but he shoved markedly improved form when stepped up to 23f at Exeter last time. That win came on heavy ground and he could be hard to peg back once more under similar conditions. Worcester runner-up Pop Rockstar looks the pick of the rest.

 

Tikkinthebox – Ludlow 13:00

Smart Stat: £50.15 - Jeremy Scott's profit with only one runner on the card (chases) since the start of the 2012/13 season

On the face of it, there’s isn’t much to recommend recent Hereford faller Tikkinthebox, however this looks a very winnable race and he wouldn’t need to improve much on his fair hurdling form to get in the mix. His best two efforts in that sphere came on similar right-handed venues and this longer trip looks a good move judging by his second to Master Burbidge at Taunton last March. Polo The Mumm, Red Square Revival and Badilou look the ones to beat.

 

One For Harry – Haydock 15:30

Smart Stat: 21% - Nicky Richards's strike rate with hurdlers running between 2m2f and up to 2m6f since the start of the 2012/13 season

Quids In is of interest if staying this longer trip, especially given he acts well on testing ground, however One For Harry is a proven stayer and he is back down to his last winning mark. That victory came at Wetherby last January, and it’s worth noting that six of One For Harry’s seven runs have come between the months of November and January – this is his time of year. He hasn’t excelled in two previous starts at the track but those efforts came over the old fixed brush hurdles and better is expected today.

 

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

5:35 SOUTHWELL

1st Richard Johnson silk 3. MILLDEAN SILVA (IRE) 9/43.25f
2nd Sam Twiston-Davies silk 10. WILD EVE 13/27.5
3rd John Kington silk ¾ 6. DEAR DORA (IRE) 12/113
T: Suzi Best  
9 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

5:25 STRATFORD-ON-AVON

1st James Bowen silk 2. TIDAL WATCH (IRE) 6/42.5f
2nd Harry Reed silk nk 4. LORD FENDALE (IRE) 11/26.5
3rd Richard Patrick silk 5. CANFORD THOMPSON 15/28.5
J: James Bowen  
8 ran. NRs: 1  7 
FULL RESULT

5:20 SLIGO

1st Mr P. W. Mullins silk 8. QUEENS BOULEVARD 4/71.57f
2nd Ms Lisa O'Neill silk ½ 3. JUST A BOY (IRE) 3/14
3rd Mr P. A. King silk ¾ 6. BROOKS FALLS (IRE) 16/117
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

5:15 PERTH

1st Lorcan Murtagh silk 1. PRINCE KHURRAM 6/17
2nd Blair Campbell silk 6. THE BANASTOIR (IRE) 6/17
J: Lorcan Murtagh (3)  
4 ran. NRs: 2  5 
FULL RESULT

5:10 KILLARNEY

1st K. J. Manning silk 5. DAWN HOOFER (IRE) 2/13
2nd C. T. Keane silk ½ 4. DANCING DOLL (IRE) 12/113
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

5:00 SOUTHWELL

1st David Bass silk 3. FLYING VERSE 6/17
2nd Richard Johnson silk 2 7. BEAUTIFUL PEOPLE (FR) 11/26.5
3rd Mark Quinlan silk 10. COPT HILL 25/126
J: David Bass  
T: David Dennis  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

4:50 STRATFORD-ON-AVON

1st Jamie Bargary silk 6. BRINESTINE (USA) 8/19
2nd Nick Scholfield silk 5. TWO HOOTS (IRE) 5/23.5f
3rd Robert Dunne silk 8 8. VALSHAN TIME (IRE) 20/121
8 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

4:45 SLIGO

1st R. P. Treacy silk 8. FLEURYS FORT (IRE) 11/26.5
2nd L. A. McKenna silk 6. WEATHER WATCH (IRE) 10/111
3rd A. W. Short silk 2. ALL'S QUIET (IRE) 11/43.75f
J: R. P. Treacy (2)  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

4:40 PERTH

1st Sean Bowen silk 3. REAR ADMIRAL (IRE) 8/19
2nd Mr Billy Garritty silk 2 5. TALKONTHESTREET (IRE) 11/43.75jf
J: Sean Bowen  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT
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