Smart Stat: £160.50 - Seamus Mullins's profit with bumper debutants since the start of the 2011/12 season
The ones with experience don’t set an exacting standard here, so it is easy to see this race going to a newcomer, and if you take a statistical approach, Oborne Lady looks the one to side with. She hails from a yard with a fantastic record with their first-time-out bumper runners, and Oborne Lady makes enough appeal on paper – half-sister to useful hurdler/fairly useful chaser Los Amigos and useful hurdler/chaser Tom Horn – to make her of interest here. It’s also encouraging that she has attracted support in the market this morning.
Smart Stat: £63.82 - Neil King's profit when having only one runner on the card (hurdles) since the start of the 2012/13 season
Canyon City was unable to win on the Flat for Andre Fabre in France last year, but he still reached a fairly useful level of form, and has since taken well to hurdling for new connections. He shaped well on his debut in this sphere and duly build on that when winning a novice hurdle over this C&D last time, caught out of his ground when the pace lifted on the home turn, but showing a good turn of foot once finding his stride and he was well in command in the final 50 yards. This looks a relatively competitive novice, but Neil King has a good record when having only one runner on the card and he is worth chancing under a penalty.
Smart Stat: 40% - A. P. Heskin's strike rate on hurdling favourites since the start of the 2011/12 season
Boyhood is one of the least exposed in this field and rates as the type to progress further this season. He showed improved form to open his account on handicap hurdle debut at Doncaster last November and shaped well from a revised mark when last seen at Bangor in March. Tom George has his horses in good order at present and Boyhood still appeals as being on a workable mark, so it taken to make a winning return under Adrian Heskin, who has a good record when riding the favourite.