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Stat Selector: Tuesday March 13

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The Stat Selector picks out three bets from day one of the Cheltenham Festival using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Footpad - 14:10 Cheltenham

Smart Stat: 2 - W. P. Mullins's number of winners in past 10 runnings

Footpad wasn't the best of this field over hurdles but has been transformed for the switch to chasing, winning all three of his starts in Ireland to date - including two Grade 1 races - and, having already beaten Petit Mouchoir, this may well boil down to a match between him and the main English challenger Saint Calvados, jumping likely to decide things. Willie Mullins has won two of the last three renewals and may well continue that excellent record.

 

Ramses de Teillee - 14:50 Cheltenham

Smart Stat: 3 - David Pipe's number of winners in past 10 runnings

David Pipe has won the last two renewals of the Ultima (with Un Temps Pour Tout) and the team will presumably have been glad to see conditions coming up testing for this season's race, with their main hope Ramses de Teillee kept exclusively to soft/heavy ground for his four chasing starts to date. Ramses de Teillee is unexposed and could yet have more to offer (goes with plenty of zest and shapes as though a well-run race over this trip will suit)

 

Mossback - 16:50 Cheltenham

Smart Stat: 3 - Gordon Elliott's number of winners in past 10 runnings

Gordon Elliott is very much the trainer to be with when it comes to finding the winner of this race in recent years, and though current favourite Jury Duty is very much respected, Mossback certainly shouldn't be forgotten about. Mossback has improved plenty for the switch to fences this season and ran right up to his best when powering clear of the field with impressive Thyestes winner Monbeg Notorious in a Grade 2 last time. He's bred to relish further than three miles (by Yeats and out of a Bob Back mare) and looks worth chancing with the excellent Lisa O'Neill in the saddle.

 

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GOODWOOD 3:35

Wednesday 26 September
7. THREADING (IRE) 124
Silvestre De Sousa silk Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston
1. FIRST SITTING 124
Gerald Mosse silk Gerald Mosse horse for course
Chris Wall
6. GABR 122
Jim Crowley silk Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

3:15 PERTH

1st James Bowen silk 2. ONTOPOFTHEWORLD (IRE) 11/82.37f
2nd Derek Fox silk 4. MUMGOS DEBUT (IRE) 11/112
J: James Bowen  
T: Peter Bowen  
All 5 ran.
QUICK RESULT

3:05 GOODWOOD

1st Gerald Mosse silk 7. LADY DANCEALOT (IRE) 7/24.5jf
2nd Ryan Moore silk hd 4. ICONIC KNIGHT (IRE) 7/24.5jf
3rd Oisin Murphy silk hd 3. HANDYTALK (IRE) 15/28.5
J: Gerald Mosse  
All 12 ran.
FULL RESULT

2:50 REDCAR

1st Daniel Tudhope silk 4. PREJUDICE 4/15jf
2nd Stevie Donohoe silk 3. AL FAJIR MUKBILE (IRE) 4/15jf
3rd David Allan silk 1 5. ONE TO GO 20/121
T: Luca Cumani  
12 ran. NRs: 13  14 
FULL RESULT

2:40 PERTH

1st Richard Johnson silk 1. MAKE MY HEART FLY (IRE) 1/12f
2nd Paddy Brennan silk 6 2. CARROLLS MILAN (IRE) 10/111
3rd Ross Chapman silk 7 8. KEEP THE RIVER 8/19
All 8 ran.
QUICK RESULT

2:30 GOODWOOD

1st Josephine Gordon silk 6. ENIGMATIC (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd Oisin Murphy silk 1. SOUTH SEAS (IRE) 11/43.75f
3rd Jimmy Quinn silk sh 8. SEDUCE ME 16/117
T: Alan Bailey  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

2:20 REDCAR

1st Paul Hanagan silk 12. CHITRA 5/16
2nd Sam James silk ½ 4. KERMOUSTER 14/115
3rd Connor Beasley silk 18. HIGHJACKED 40/141
4th Theodore Ladd silk ¾ 15. CHAMPAGNE MONDAYS 20/121
J: Paul Hanagan  
19 ran. NRs: 9 
FULL RESULT

2:10 PERTH

1st Paddy Brennan silk 3. GHOST SERGE (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd Harry Bannister silk 5 1. BRANDY JAMES (GER) 10/111.9f
3rd Brian Hughes silk 3 5. GOOD BOY ALFIE 5/16
T: Sophie Leech  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

2:00 GOODWOOD

1st Ryan Moore silk 5. PABLO ESCOBARR (IRE) 4/71.57f
2nd Martin Harley silk ¾ 8. THE OLYMPIAN (IRE) 4/15
3rd Hector Crouch silk ¾ 7. SLADE KING (IRE) 25/126
J: Ryan Moore  
11 ran. NRs: 12 
FULL RESULT
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