Smart Stat: 29% - John Gosden's strike rate at LINGFIELD PARK since the start of the 2016 season
This looks a cracking handicap for the grade with several progressive, in-form types on show, but preference is for Lisbet given John Gosden’s record at Lingfield. The well-bred colt showed his best form when third over a mile at Southwell last time, travelling as well as any, still going well when denied a run and snatched up over two furlongs out and keeping on after. The step up in trip now making his handicap debut will suit, and he is bred to be much better than an opening mark of 67.
Smart Stat: 20% - Mark Johnston's strike rate at LINGFIELD PARK since the start of the 2016 season
Auchterarder was a precocious two-year-old, making a winning start at Beverley in May last year, and has showed improved form since returning from a break on the all-weather on her last three starts. She wasn’t seen to best effect in a race that is working out well at Wolverhampton last time, losing ground/momentum when stumbling and clipping heels approaching the home turn. She finished well once finding her stride after, though, and makes appeal now handicapping, an opening mark of 87 not excessive given the pick of her form.
Smart Stat: £10.51 - Joseph Tuite's profit to a £1 level stake with favourites
This doesn’t look the strongest race of its type and Bythebay sets a fairy useful standard having finished runner-up over C&D on his debut last month. He outrun odds of 50/1 on that occasion, but there was no fluke about his performance, and he will likely come on a fair bit for that experience for a yard that aren’t renowned for first-time-out winners.