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Stat Selector: Tuesday 2 March

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We've picked out three interesting runners using trends and statistics.

West To The Bridge - 13:00 Catterick

Smart Stat: 23% - Dan Skelton's strike rate with chasers at up to 2m3f

West To The Bridge hasn't raced over fences since December 2019, but he's been in good nick over hurdles recently, proving better than ever when second on his latest appearance at Wetherby. He's usually dropped out but ran really well from the front at Wetherby, making a progressive rival pull out all the stops to beat him by a length and three quarters. That was a useful performance which will make him very much the one to beat if running to the same sort of level now back over fences, albeit he has had the odd jumping issue on his previous starts in this sphere for Dan Skelton.

 

Al Kout - 16:30 Newcastle

Smart Stat: £27.50 - Heather Main's profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break

Al Kout ran right up to his best when last seen filling the runner-up spot at Kempton in November, putting up a good fight against a useful rival. He raced clear of the field in the early stages and stuck to his task well after being tackled entering the final two furlongs, ultimately passing the post just half a length behind Imperium, who has won again since. Al Kout is only 4 lb higher in the weights here and should mount a bold bid to go one place better for Heather Main, who is likely to have him ready to go after nearly four months on the sidelines.

 

Ursa Minor - 18:00 Newcastle

Smart Stat: 32% - John Gosden's strike rate at Newcastle since the start of the 2017 season

Smart Stat: 28% - Robert Havlin's strike rate at Newcastle

Smart Stat: 23% - John Gosden's strike rate with horses running in races between 7f and up to 10f

Ursa Minor failed to meet expectations after 15 months off when only third at Wolverhampton in December, while he then ran even worse when down the field over this course and distance last time, possibly finding the race coming too soon. Nevertheless, there are reasons why he might be expected to bounce back here, with blinkers being fitted on his first start since a breathing operation. It's well worth remembering how promising he had looked previously, notably boasting some strong two-year-old form, and he deserves another chance to prove himself better than a BHA mark of 84 for John Gosden and Robert Havlin, both of whom have enjoyed plenty of success at Newcastle in recent seasons.

 
 
 

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Free Daily Race Pass (Result)

LEOPARDSTOWN 15:45

Sunday 11 April
2. BOLSHOI BALLET (IRE) 1st
Ryan Moore silk Ryan Moore
Aidan O'Brien, Ireland
1. FLYING VISIT (IRE) 2nd
K. J. Manning silk K. J. Manning
J. S. Bolger, Ireland
7. TAIPAN (FR) 3rd
Shane Foley silk Shane Foley
Mrs J. Harrington, Ireland
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

17:30 PLUMPTON

1st Rex Dingle silk 1. CREDO (IRE) 1/12f
2nd Page Fuller silk 20 5. SPITFIRE GIRL (IRE) 17/29.5
J: Rex Dingle  
4 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

17:20 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st R. C. Colgan silk 8. AKHLAAQ 16/117
2nd William James Lee silk ¾ 15. PINPOINTED (IRE) 12/113
3rd Ross Coakley silk hd 13. MUNFALLET (IRE) 7/18
J: R. C. Colgan  
All 15 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:11 KELSO

1st Sean Quinlan silk 5. GEORDIES DREAM 28/129
2nd Alain Cawley silk 1 3. DIXIELAND SWING (IRE) 7/18
3rd Brian Hughes silk ¾ 11. WELL EDUCATED (IRE) 10/111.9f
J: Sean Quinlan  
13 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

17:03 WARWICK

1st K. Brogan silk 2. REVELS HILL (IRE) 8/19
2nd Jordan Nailor silk nk 10. FAINT HOPE 16/117
3rd Tom Cannon silk 15 7. HEART OF A LION (IRE) 11/26.5
J: K. Brogan (5)  
T: Harry Fry  
10 ran. NRs: 8  9 
FULL RESULT

16:55 PLUMPTON

1st Charlie Hammond silk 7. COUNTERACT 6/42.5f
2nd Kevin Jones silk 7 1. AWAY FOR SLATES (IRE) 8/19
T: Suzy Smith  
7 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

16:50 LEOPARDSTOWN

1st R. P. Whelan silk 1. DREAM TALE 6/17
2nd R. P. Cleary silk ½ 7. ONEIROI (IRE) 7/18
3rd Nikita Amelia Kane silk nk 2. KOSMAN (IRE) 12/113
4th C. D. Hayes silk ¾ 9. SOD'S LAW 25/126
J: R. P. Whelan  
All 16 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:41 KELSO

1st Mr Nick Orpwood silk 3. RIO DES ECHANAULT (FR) 11/82.37f
2nd Mr James Robottom silk 6. WORCESTER PEARMAIN 8/19
J: Mr Nick Orpwood (5)  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:33 WARWICK

1st Luca Morgan silk 2. IMPERIAL KNIGHT (IRE) 11/43.75jf
2nd Kielan Woods silk 1 5. ASK HENRY (IRE) 15/28.5
J: Luca Morgan (7)  
T: Ben Pauling  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:25 PLUMPTON

1st Caoilin Quinn silk 6. JUST A SIP 10/34.33
2nd Charlie Price silk 14 1. THE WIRE FLYER 12/113
3rd Micheal Nolan silk ½ 8. KENTFORD MALLARD 14/115
J: Caoilin Quinn (7)  
9 ran. NRs: 3  5 
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results