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Stat Selector: Tuesday 2 June

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We've picked out three bets on today's action using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Nashy – 13:00 Kempton

Smart Stat: £23.68 - Sir Michael Stoute's profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break

Sir Michael Stoute saddled a winner and an encouraging second when racing returned at Newcastle on Monday, so his horses are clearly forward enough, and with that in mind, Nashy makes a fair bit of appeal. Nashy was an expensive purchase as a yearling, and is bred to be a smart middle-distance performer. He shaped well on debut over a mile here in October, and will be well suited by the step up in trip now. Ryan Moore takes over in the saddle and a bold bid is expected.

 

Gigi’s Beach – 17:40 Kempton

Smart Stat: £30.51 - Hugo Palmer's profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break

Smart Stat: 16% - Hugo Palmer's strike rate with handicap debutants

These three-year-old handicaps are going to be extremely competitive, with several likely to be ahead of their mark. In this case the stats strongly point towards Gigi’s Beach, who is making his handicap debut. Admittedly, he didn’t show much in three runs in 2019, but he has a smart pedigree, and he cost £125,000 at the breeze-ups last year, so he clearly has some ability. Gigi’s Beach has been gelded since last seen, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if he showed much-improved form now given Hugo Palmer’s record with such types.

 

Medal Winner – 18:00 Newcastle

Smart Stat: £11.65 - Archie Watson's profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break

Medal Winner progressed markedly with each start last season, getting off the mark in fine style on his third start at Brighton in July, despite still not looking the finished article. He was very easy to back on that occasion, but the manner in which he drew clear in the closing stages was impressive, and the handicapper hasn’t gone overboard with an opening mark of 90. There should be even more to come from him and he is one to keep on the right side.

 
 

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EPSOM DOWNS 16:55

Saturday 04 July
6. KAMEKO (USA) 142
Oisin Murphy silk Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding
13. RUSSIAN EMPEROR (IRE) 133p
Seamie Heffernan silk Seamie Heffernan horse in focus
Aidan O'Brien, Ireland
3. ENGLISH KING (FR) 131p
Frankie Dettori silk Frankie Dettori jockey uplift horse in focus
Ed Walker hot trainer
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

16:15 EPSOM DOWNS

1st William Buick silk 6. SUMMER ROMANCE (IRE) 9/110
2nd Andrea Atzeni silk ¾ 1. CLOAK OF SPIRITS (IRE) 10/34.33
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:05 NAAS

1st Oisin James Orr silk 17. KASSABA (IRE) 3/14
2nd D. A. McCormack silk ¾ 18. ZAWARA (IRE) 16/117
3rd W. M. Lordan silk 12. PARADISO (IRE) 11/43.75
18 ran. NRs: 19  20  21 
FULL RESULT

15:55 BELLEWSTOWN

1st B. J. Cooper silk 13. VERY EXCELLENT (IRE) 16/54.2
2nd Philip Enright silk 12. TOP LINE TOMMY (IRE) 12/113
3rd Davy Russell silk 12 7. OAK PARK (IRE) 5/42.25f
J: B. J. Cooper  
14 ran. NRs: 1  17  6 
FULL RESULT

15:50 HAYDOCK PARK

1st Graham Lee silk 9. POET'S LADY 5/16
2nd Eoin Walsh silk ¾ 7. JAAIZAH 11/112
3rd Kieran O'Neill silk ½ 11. WOLFLET 3/14f
J: Graham Lee  
T: David Barron  
9 ran. NRs: 3  5  6 
FULL RESULT

15:40 EPSOM DOWNS

1st Ryan Moore silk 5. LOVE (IRE) 11/102.1f
2nd Seamie Heffernan silk 9 2. ENNISTYMON (IRE) 6/17
3rd Frankie Dettori silk ¾ 3. FRANKLY DARLING 7/42.75
J: Ryan Moore  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

15:35 NAAS

1st C. D. Hayes silk 12. STAR OF CASHEL (IRE) 4/15f
2nd G. P. Halpin silk 9. MADAKET MYSTERY (IRE) 13/27.5
3rd C. T. Keane silk ½ 4. MISS MOLLY T (IRE) 9/110
J: C. D. Hayes  
11 ran. NRs: 5 
FULL RESULT

15:20 BELLEWSTOWN

1st D. J. Hand silk 3. IMPORTANT MESSAGE 14/115
2nd C. P. McNamara silk 6. MIRACULUM (IRE) 5/23.5f
3rd J. B. Kane silk 5 5. AINMISFEARR (IRE) 25/126
J: D. J. Hand (4)  
14 ran. NRs: 15  16  17 
FULL RESULT

15:15 HAYDOCK PARK

1st David Allan silk 2. FIRST KINGDOM (IRE) 11/82.37f
2nd Rossa Ryan silk ¾ 9. GRANDE RUMORE 5/16
3rd Eoin Walsh silk 13. WONDROUS WORDS (IRE) 9/110
J: David Allan  
10 ran. NRs: 6  7  8 
FULL RESULT

15:05 NAAS

1st D. W. O'Connor silk 8. ELEUTHERA 4/15f
2nd H. J. Horgan silk ¾ 14. LIZBUNCON (IRE) 33/134
3rd S. M. Crosse silk 11. TEDDY BOY (IRE) 5/16
15 ran. NRs: 18  19  20  3  9 
FULL RESULT
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