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Stat Selector: Thursday June 21

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Our free Stat Selector identifies today's three best bets, picked out using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Zaaki – 15:05 Royal Ascot

Smart Stat: 2 - Sir Michael Stoute's number of winners in past 10 runnings

Zaaki has showed improved form since switching to Sir Michael Stoute this season, opening his account in a mile minor event at Thirsk in April before shaping better than the bare result on all-weather/handicap debut at Chelmsford last time. He was arguably unlucky not to win, travelling best entering the home straight but unable to get on terms with the front two who were better positioned. A stronger gallop – something which he should get here – would have also suited and he is worth chancing to progress further for a yard who were among the winners yesterday in what looks an open renewal of the Hampton Court.

 

Ostilio – 17:00 Royal Ascot

Smart Stat: £58.01 - Simon Crisford's profit when having one runner at a flat meeting since the start of the 2013 season

As you would expect, this is a very competitive renewal of the Britannia with any number of unexposed three-year-olds on show, but the one who could be worth chancing at double-figure odds is Ostilio. He finished runner-up to the subsequent St James’s Palace winner Without Parole before opening his account in fine style on handicap debut at Newmarket last month, looking well ahead of his opening mark. That performance was backed up by a solid timefigure and a subsequent 6 lb rise looks lenient, so he is expected to go close in a wide-open event.

 

Cross Counter – 17:35 Royal Ascot

Smart Stat: 23% - Charlie Appleby's strike rate with horses running over 10f+ since the start of the 2013 season

Charlie Appleby has a good record with his horses running over middle distances and saddles two here, but the one to be interested in is Cross Counter. He lost his unbeaten record at Sandown last time, but he showed improved form, beaten only by a smart prospect, and the feeling is the handicapper has taken a chance in giving him an opening mark of 98. There should be more to come from Cross Counter, who is having just his third career start, and with the yard already amongst the winners this week, he looks the way to go.  

 

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

9:10 PONTEFRACT

1st Ben Curtis silk 4. ETIKAAL 2/13f
2nd Tom Eaves silk ¾ 5. FULL INTENTION 11/112
J: Ben Curtis  
T: Grant Tuer  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

9:00 KILBEGGAN

1st Ms Lisa O'Neill silk 1. BRAID BLUE (IRE) 7/42.75f
2nd Mr T. Hamilton silk 6 6. BETSY BOOTS (IRE) 7/24.5
J: Ms Lisa O'Neill (3)  
7 ran. NRs: 7 
FULL RESULT

8:55 HAMILTON PARK

1st Connor Beasley silk 7. SPRAY THE SEA (IRE) 5/23.5jf
2nd Rob J. Fitzpatrick silk 4. QUOTELINE DIRECT 5/23.5jf
3rd Stevie Donohoe silk ½ 3. TAKE A TURN (IRE) 17/29.5
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:45 NEWMARKET (JULY)

1st James Doyle silk 1. HIMSELF 9/25.5
2nd John Fahy silk ½ 8. ZAFARANAH (USA) 9/25.5
3rd Jim Crowley silk 7. FIELDSMAN (USA) 9/110
J: James Doyle  
12 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

8:35 PONTEFRACT

1st Franny Norton silk 3. ALMUNTHER (IRE) 7/24.5
2nd David Allan silk nk 6. BREATHABLE 5/23.5jf
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:30 KILBEGGAN

1st M. P. Walsh silk 12. TIMIYAN (USA) 12/113
2nd J. W. Kennedy silk nk 11. ROGUE ANGEL (IRE) 4/15jf
3rd A. E. Lynch silk 22 4. FULL CRY (IRE) 8/19
J: M. P. Walsh  
14 ran. NRs: 15  16 
FULL RESULT

8:25 HAMILTON PARK

1st Stevie Donohoe silk 2. ATTICUS BOY (IRE) 4/51.8f
2nd Paula Muir silk sh 6. GRANITE CITY DOC 11/43.75
6 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

8:15 NEWMARKET (JULY)

1st Andrea Atzeni silk 2. GORGEOUS NOORA (IRE) 7/24.5
2nd Fran Berry silk hd 4. RESTLESS ROSE 8/19
T: Luca Cumani  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:05 PONTEFRACT

1st C. J. McGovern silk 4. WAARIF (IRE) 9/43.25f
2nd David Allan silk ¾ 7. FASHION THEORY 4/15
J: C. J. McGovern (5)  
6 ran. NRs: 1  3  8 
FULL RESULT
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