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Stat Selector: Thursday June 21

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Our free Stat Selector identifies today's three best bets, picked out using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Zaaki – 15:05 Royal Ascot

Smart Stat: 2 - Sir Michael Stoute's number of winners in past 10 runnings

Zaaki has showed improved form since switching to Sir Michael Stoute this season, opening his account in a mile minor event at Thirsk in April before shaping better than the bare result on all-weather/handicap debut at Chelmsford last time. He was arguably unlucky not to win, travelling best entering the home straight but unable to get on terms with the front two who were better positioned. A stronger gallop – something which he should get here – would have also suited and he is worth chancing to progress further for a yard who were among the winners yesterday in what looks an open renewal of the Hampton Court.

 

Ostilio – 17:00 Royal Ascot

Smart Stat: £58.01 - Simon Crisford's profit when having one runner at a flat meeting since the start of the 2013 season

As you would expect, this is a very competitive renewal of the Britannia with any number of unexposed three-year-olds on show, but the one who could be worth chancing at double-figure odds is Ostilio. He finished runner-up to the subsequent St James’s Palace winner Without Parole before opening his account in fine style on handicap debut at Newmarket last month, looking well ahead of his opening mark. That performance was backed up by a solid timefigure and a subsequent 6 lb rise looks lenient, so he is expected to go close in a wide-open event.

 

Cross Counter – 17:35 Royal Ascot

Smart Stat: 23% - Charlie Appleby's strike rate with horses running over 10f+ since the start of the 2013 season

Charlie Appleby has a good record with his horses running over middle distances and saddles two here, but the one to be interested in is Cross Counter. He lost his unbeaten record at Sandown last time, but he showed improved form, beaten only by a smart prospect, and the feeling is the handicapper has taken a chance in giving him an opening mark of 98. There should be more to come from Cross Counter, who is having just his third career start, and with the yard already amongst the winners this week, he looks the way to go.  

 

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GOODWOOD 3:35

Wednesday 26 September
3. SPARK PLUG (IRE) 128
Oisin Murphy silk Oisin Murphy horse for course
Brian Meehan
7. THREADING (IRE) 124
Silvestre De Sousa silk Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston
1. FIRST SITTING 124
Gerald Mosse silk Gerald Mosse horse for course
Chris Wall
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1st Jason Watson silk 5. GEMINI 3/14
2nd David Probert silk sh 10. YASIR (USA) 16/117
3rd Martin Harley silk 6 2. SEINESATIONAL 5/42.25f
J: Jason Watson (3)  
All 11 ran.
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8:15 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Martin Dwyer silk 7. BUSBY (IRE) 14/115
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3rd Jason Watson silk ¾ 5. DREAMBOAT ANNIE 14/115
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2nd Tom Marquand silk 6. MUNEYRA 1/12f
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1st David Probert silk 4. MIZAAH (IRE) 20/121
2nd Jamie Spencer silk 7. COMMANDER HAN (FR) 6/17
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1st Miss Becky Smith silk 9. PALINDROME (USA) 7/24.5f
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2nd Marc Monaghan silk 9. SO HI CLASS (IRE) 16/117
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T: James Tate  
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FULL RESULT

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1st Adam Wedge silk 5. JONAGOLD 9/25.5jf
2nd Sean Bowen silk nk 11. MARINERS MOON (IRE) 5/16
3rd Harry Bannister silk nk 9. HEURTEVENT (FR) 10/111
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