Smart Stat: 4 - John Gosden's number of winners in past 10 runnings
First Eleven looked a pattern-class performer in the making when winning a handicap at Newbury by five lengths in May, and solidified that view when unlucky not to win the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot last time. There was no doubt he shaped like the best horse at the weights that day, denied a run over two furlongs out and having to switch, staying on strongly and was in front soon after the line. This step up in trip should be well within reach and he looks the one to beat for John Gosden who has an excellent record in this race.
Smart Stat: 21% - John Gosden's strike rate with horses running in races between 7f and up to 10f since the start of the 2013 season
John Gosden saddles two here, but it is Emaraaty who makes most appeal. Admittedly, he was a major disappointment in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot last time, but given his previous effort at Goodwood, he is well worth another chance. He run to a standard good enough to win at Group 3 level that day, and he may have been amiss last time given how poorly he performed. It is a positive that he is out again rather quickly, though, and on his best form, he sets a high standard in this listed event.
Smart Stat: 37% - William Buick's strike rate on favourites since the start of the 2013 season
Leo Minor found a jolt of improvement to get off the mark for Robert Cowell over this C&D last month, seemingly suited by the return to patient tactics. He has been raised 6 lb for that win, but the pick of his form suggests he should remain competitive, and he looked a horse at the top of his game last time. William Buick, who has an excellent record when riding favourites, retains the ride, and he is fancied to follow up.