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Stat Selector: Thursday July 12

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Our free Stat Selector identifies today's three best bets, picked out using the most interesting trends and statistics.

First Eleven – 13:50 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 4 - John Gosden's number of winners in past 10 runnings

First Eleven looked a pattern-class performer in the making when winning a handicap at Newbury by five lengths in May, and solidified that view when unlucky not to win the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot last time. There was no doubt he shaped like the best horse at the weights that day, denied a run over two furlongs out and having to switch, staying on strongly and was in front soon after the line. This step up in trip should be well within reach and he looks the one to beat for John Gosden who has an excellent record in this race.

 

Emaraaty – 16:45 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 21% - John Gosden's strike rate with horses running in races between 7f and up to 10f since the start of the 2013 season

John Gosden saddles two here, but it is Emaraaty who makes most appeal. Admittedly, he was a major disappointment in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot last time, but given his previous effort at Goodwood, he is well worth another chance. He run to a standard good enough to win at Group 3 level that day, and he may have been amiss last time given how poorly he performed. It is a positive that he is out again rather quickly, though, and on his best form, he sets a high standard in this listed event.

 

Leo Minor – 17:20 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 37% - William Buick's strike rate on favourites since the start of the 2013 season

Leo Minor found a jolt of improvement to get off the mark for Robert Cowell over this C&D last month, seemingly suited by the return to patient tactics. He has been raised 6 lb for that win, but the pick of his form suggests he should remain competitive, and he looked a horse at the top of his game last time. William Buick, who has an excellent record when riding favourites, retains the ride, and he is fancied to follow up.

 

 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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GOODWOOD 3:35

Wednesday 26 September
3. SPARK PLUG (IRE) 128
Oisin Murphy silk Oisin Murphy horse for course
Brian Meehan
1. FIRST SITTING 124
Gerald Mosse silk Gerald Mosse horse for course
Chris Wall
7. THREADING (IRE) 124
Silvestre De Sousa silk Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

8:45 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Jason Watson silk 5. GEMINI 3/14
2nd David Probert silk sh 10. YASIR (USA) 16/117
3rd Martin Harley silk 6 2. SEINESATIONAL 5/42.25f
J: Jason Watson (3)  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

8:15 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Martin Dwyer silk 7. BUSBY (IRE) 14/115
2nd Jamie Spencer silk 6. KODICAT (IRE) 5/23.5f
3rd Jason Watson silk ¾ 5. DREAMBOAT ANNIE 14/115
J: Martin Dwyer  
T: Conrad Allen  
8 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT

7:45 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Jim Crowley silk 2. HABUB (USA) 3/14
2nd Tom Marquand silk 6. MUNEYRA 1/12f
J: Jim Crowley  
T: Owen Burrows  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

7:15 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st David Probert silk 4. MIZAAH (IRE) 20/121
2nd Jamie Spencer silk 7. COMMANDER HAN (FR) 6/17
3rd Martin Harley silk 1 8. AREEN HEART (FR) 8/19
T: Owen Burrows  
12 ran. NRs: 1  5 
FULL RESULT

6:45 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Oisin Murphy silk 7. MIRBAT 9/25.5
2nd William Cox silk nk 4. RUX RUXX (IRE) 3/14f
3rd William Carver silk nk 1. SONNET ROSE (IRE) 6/17
J: Oisin Murphy  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

6:15 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Pat Cosgrave silk 7. STARRY EYES (USA) 7/24.5
2nd Frankie Dettori silk 1 5. HANDMAIDEN 4/61.66f
3rd Oisin Murphy silk 6. MAWAHIB (IRE) 9/43.25
J: Pat Cosgrave  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

6:00 BEVERLEY

1st Miss Becky Smith silk 9. PALINDROME (USA) 7/24.5f
2nd Miss Samantha Pugh silk nk 4. DUTCH COED 16/117
3rd Miss Serena Brotherton silk 10. HARD TOFFEE (IRE) 7/18
4th Miss Amie Waugh silk 8. WHATWOULDYOUKNOW (IRE) 12/113
All 17 ran.
FULL RESULT

5:45 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Oisin Murphy silk 5. HARD TASKMASTER (IRE) 7/24.5jf
2nd Marc Monaghan silk 9. SO HI CLASS (IRE) 16/117
3rd Pat Cosgrave silk 2 3. DOMBRA 9/25.5
J: Oisin Murphy  
T: James Tate  
11 ran. NRs: 10 
FULL RESULT

5:40 WARWICK

1st Adam Wedge silk 5. JONAGOLD 9/25.5jf
2nd Sean Bowen silk nk 11. MARINERS MOON (IRE) 5/16
3rd Harry Bannister silk nk 9. HEURTEVENT (FR) 10/111
J: Adam Wedge  
11 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT
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