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Stat Selector: Thursday July 12

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Our free Stat Selector identifies today's three best bets, picked out using the most interesting trends and statistics.

First Eleven – 13:50 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 4 - John Gosden's number of winners in past 10 runnings

First Eleven looked a pattern-class performer in the making when winning a handicap at Newbury by five lengths in May, and solidified that view when unlucky not to win the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot last time. There was no doubt he shaped like the best horse at the weights that day, denied a run over two furlongs out and having to switch, staying on strongly and was in front soon after the line. This step up in trip should be well within reach and he looks the one to beat for John Gosden who has an excellent record in this race.

 

Emaraaty – 16:45 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 21% - John Gosden's strike rate with horses running in races between 7f and up to 10f since the start of the 2013 season

John Gosden saddles two here, but it is Emaraaty who makes most appeal. Admittedly, he was a major disappointment in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot last time, but given his previous effort at Goodwood, he is well worth another chance. He run to a standard good enough to win at Group 3 level that day, and he may have been amiss last time given how poorly he performed. It is a positive that he is out again rather quickly, though, and on his best form, he sets a high standard in this listed event.

 

Leo Minor – 17:20 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 37% - William Buick's strike rate on favourites since the start of the 2013 season

Leo Minor found a jolt of improvement to get off the mark for Robert Cowell over this C&D last month, seemingly suited by the return to patient tactics. He has been raised 6 lb for that win, but the pick of his form suggests he should remain competitive, and he looked a horse at the top of his game last time. William Buick, who has an excellent record when riding favourites, retains the ride, and he is fancied to follow up.

 

 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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SOUTHWELL 14:20

Tuesday 11 December
3. WELD AL EMARAT 100
Nathan Evans silk Nathan Evans horse in focus
Michael Easterby
6. MR MINERALS 99+
Finley Marsh silk Finley Marsh horse in focus
Richard Hughes
8. MAJESTIC MOON (IRE) 98
Shelley Birkett silk Shelley Birkett
Julia Feilden
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

19:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Mark Crehan silk 6. BERLUSCA (IRE) 6/17
2nd George Bass silk 1 3. RUBENSIAN 3/14
J: Mark Crehan (3)  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Martin Harley silk 6. AIRCRAFT CARRIER (IRE) 5/23.5
2nd Stevie Donohoe silk 7 1. WESTERN DUKE (IRE) 5/16
3rd Luke Catton silk 3. PADDY A (IRE) 16/117
T: John Ryan  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Lewis Edmunds silk 7. YOU'RE COOL 14/115
2nd Franny Norton silk ¾ 2. FOXY FOREVER (IRE) 5/16
3rd Hollie Doyle silk hd 9. BELLEVARDE (IRE) 8/19
T: John Balding  
8 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

17:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Rob Hornby silk 5. ENGROSSED (IRE) 16/117
2nd Jack Mitchell silk nk 9. REGAL BANNER 5/23.5
3rd David Probert silk 4. CLERISY 11/102.1f
J: Rob Hornby  
T: Martyn Meade  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Robert Havlin silk 10. SHE'S GOT YOU 4/71.57f
2nd Martin Harley silk 7 9. REGAL AMBITION 16/117
3rd Sean Levey silk nk 4. FORTY FOUR SUNSETS (FR) 12/113
T: John Gosden  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Luke Morris silk 2. UNFORGIVING MINUTE 11/82.37f
2nd David Probert silk 1 7. SECONDO (FR) 12/113
3rd Stevie Donohoe silk ½ 4. MISTY BIRNAM (SAF) 17/29.5
J: Luke Morris  
T: Paul D'Arcy  
9 ran. NRs: 9 
FULL RESULT

16:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Robert Winston silk 2. INVOLVED 9/25.5
2nd Martin Harley silk 6. KYNANCE (IRE) 4/111.36f
5 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

15:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Paula Muir silk 3. MOSSY'S LODGE 4/15f
2nd Phil Dennis silk 1 1. CHAMPAGNE RULES 7/18
3rd Gabriele Malune silk hd 12. FINAL ATTACK (IRE) 5/16
J: Paula Muir (5)  
All 13 ran.
FULL RESULT

15:15 MUSSELBURGH

1st Craig Nichol silk 3. ATTENTION PLEASE (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd Blair Campbell silk hd 2. ELMONO (FR) 5/23.5
J: Craig Nichol  
T: Rose Dobbin  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results