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Stat Selector: Thursday 21 November

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Our free Stat Selector has picked out three bets on today's action using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Saint de Reve - 14:50 Wincanton

Smart Stat: 5 - Paul Nicholls's number of winners in past 7 runnings

Smart Stat: 33% - Paul Nicholls's strike rate at Wincanton since the start of the 2014/15 season

Paul Nicholls can boast an excellent strike rate at his local track in recent seasons, and he is likely to have high hopes of adding to his tally when Saint de Reve lines up here in a race that has been particularly kind to the trainer of late. Admittedly, Saint de Reve has looked a slow burner in four outings under Rules to date, but he shaped with more promise than in bumpers when third on his hurdling debut at Exeter two weeks ago, looking well served by starting out over this sort of trip, and his scope for further improvement identifies him as the one to beat in a race lacking depth.

 

Plath - 16:25 Chelmsford

Smart Stat: 24% - Sir Michael Stoute's strike rate at Chelmsford since the start of the 2015 season

Plath made an encouraging start to her career when fourth at Kempton last month, running to a fair level despite looking as if she'd come on for the run, notably showing her greenness at the start (slowly into the stride). That form is as good as any in this line-up have achieved, and, given the likelihood of even better to come with that experience under her belt, she is fancied to take plenty of beating and can see off a whole host of interesting newcomers to make it second time lucky for a trainer who does well with his runners here.

 

Noble Behest - 17:30 Chelmsford

Smart Stat: 21% - Ian Williams's strike rate at Chelmsford since the start of the 2015 season

Ian Williams has established himself as another trainer to follow at Chelmsford in recent years, with 24 winners (from 116 runners) at the venue, and the one who appeals as the best of his four runners on this evening's card is Noble Behest. The five-year-old ran his best race for a while when second at Wolverhampton last time, keeping on well to be beaten a little over two lengths by a progressive sort. He remains potentially well treated judged on the pick of his form, and, with a record of five wins from seven starts over 2m+, this looks a good opportunity for him to get back to winning ways.

 

 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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LEICESTER 14:00

Wednesday 11 December
2. COOLANLY (IRE) 145p
Connor Brace silk Connor Brace
Fergal O'Brien hot trainer
3. ROCCO (IRE) 144
Sam Twiston-Davies silk Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies
1. COMMODORE BARRY (IRE) 142
David Bass silk David Bass
Kim Bailey
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

19:15 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Angus Villiers silk 6. MUTABAAHY (IRE) 3/14
2nd William Carson silk ¾ 9. SIR HECTOR (IRE) 9/43.25f
3rd Luke Morris silk 2 10. BLACKCURRENT 20/121
J: Angus Villiers (7)  
10 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

18:45 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Angus Villiers silk 6. NOBLE BEHEST 9/43.25f
2nd Grace McEntee silk hd 1. BATTLE OF MARATHON (USA) 4/15
3rd Thomas Greatrex silk 8 7. IN DEMAND (IRE) 7/24.5
J: Angus Villiers (5)  
T: Ian Williams  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:15 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Shane Foley silk 9. FASTAR (IRE) 10/111
2nd Callum Rodriguez silk ½ 8. FUENTE 12/113
3rd Alistair Rawlinson silk sh 2. MOHAREB 3/14jf
J: Shane Foley  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:45 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Daniel Muscutt silk 3. BORN TO REASON (IRE) 10/111
2nd Tom Marquand silk ns 4. LAWYERSGUNSN'MONEY 6/17
3rd Ben Curtis silk 3 5. DISRUPTOR (FR) 3/14
All 13 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:15 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Shane Foley silk 10. ALOYSIUS LILIUS (IRE) 13/27.5
2nd Luke Morris silk 11. BAHUTA ACHA 6/42.5f
3rd William Carson silk nk 6. BIG LACHIE 12/113
J: Shane Foley  
All 13 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:45 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Luke Morris silk 4. COLOURING 5/16
2nd Angus Villiers silk sh 3. TASTE THE NECTAR (USA) 7/18
3rd Theodore Ladd silk ¾ 9. TRIPLE SPEAR 3/14f
J: Luke Morris  
T: Ed Walker  
10 ran. NRs: 1  13  6 
FULL RESULT

16:15 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Robert Havlin silk 5. MILLICENT FAWCETT 9/43.25
2nd Richard Kingscote silk 7 4. LOVE EXPLODES 15/82.87f
3rd Tom Marquand silk 7. REGAL LILLY (IRE) 9/25.5
T: John Gosden  
8 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

15:45 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Adrian McCarthy silk 6. GODDESS OF FIRE 7/24.5
2nd Ben Curtis silk 7. AMI LI BERT (IRE) 13/27.5
3rd Shane Foley silk hd 11. HALFACROWN (IRE) 8/19
T: John Ryan  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

15:30 FONTWELL PARK

1st Page Fuller silk 14. CLONDAW ROBIN (IRE) 11/26.5
2nd Sean Houlihan silk nk 10. MOONLIT SEA 11/112
3rd Leighton Aspell silk 12. POTTLEREAGHEXPRESS (IRE) 10/34.33f
J: Page Fuller (3)  
T: Zoe Davison  
11 ran. NRs: 3  5  8 
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results