Stat Selector: Thursday 14 January

Snougar - 12:50 Bangor

Smart Stat: 21% - Donald McCain's profit to a £1 level stake at Bangor since the start of the 2015/16 season

Donald McCain tends to operate at a strike rate around the 14% mark but that climbs to an impressive 21% at his local course Bangor - he has sent out more winners there than anywhere else. McCain is represented in the opening handicap chase by Snougar, who returned to form when fourth at Catterick last time and is back down to his last winning mark. The application of blinkers for the first time could also spark improvement.

Investment Manager - 13:00 Fontwell

Smart Stat: 27% - Harry Cobden's strike rate at Fontwell

Harry Cobden's strike rate of 20% is impressive but that climbs to a remarkable 27% at Fontwell. He clearly rides this course well and his presence in the saddle is an advantage for Investment Manager, who has attracted a spot of overnight support. He didn't show a great deal on his hurdling debut at Taunton but looked badly in need of the experience and should progress markedly with that outing under his belt.

Arij - 20:00 Chelmsford

Smart Stat: £40.76 - Simon and Ed Crisford's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a Flat meeting
Smart Stat: 28% - Simon and Ed Crisford's strike rate with horses running over 10f+

Simon and Ed Crisford post a healthy level-stake profit when sending only one runner to a meeting and they rely on Arij at Chelmsford. Arij is a steadily-progressive sort who tops Timeform's weight-adjusted ratings having been raised only 1 lb after finishing a close-up fourth at Wolverhampton last time. He wasn't ideally placed on that occasion and could yet have a bit more to offer under more suitable circumstances.