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Stat Selector: Sunday November 19

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Get the most interesting trends and statistics from today's horse racing with the free Stat Selector tips and best bets.

Lisp – 12:55 Fontwell

Smart Stat: 21% - Alan King's strike rate in early season since the start of the 2012/13 season

The market has this as a match between Jukebox Jive and Thounder but it wouldn’t be a huge shock if Lisp outran his odds. He didn’t achieve a great deal in three starts on the Flat for Charles Hills but two of those came over a mile, a trip which isn’t likely to suit given his breeding (related to stayers Thomas Campbell and Coeur de Lion). It’s still very early days with him and he may well do better now sent hurdling for Alan King, who does well during this period of the season.

 

Melrose Boy – 13:15 Cheltenham

Smart Stat: 24% - Harry Fry's strike rate with hurdlers running between 2m2f and up to 2m6f since the start of the 2011/12 season

The Smart Stats all point to a bet here on Melrose Boy. Harry Fry has won the last two renewals of this race (including with Unowhatimeanharry in 2015) and has an excellent strike-rate with his hurdlers running at this sort of distance. Melrose Boy is potentially well treated from a BHA mark of 123 based on his second to River Wylde (third in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle) at Ludlow last season, and with this step up in trip expected to suit him, he looks to have an excellent chance of giving his yard a third successive win in this handicap.

 

Fergal Mael Duin – 14:05 Fontwell

Smart Stat: £26.28 - Colin Tizzard's profit with chasers running after a break since the start of the 2011/12 season

Fergal Mael Duin completely lost his way last season after finishing a good second in this race (beat the re-opposing Cyclop) but he has a good record fresh (won both of his reappearances for the last two seasons) and may well have benefited from a break for a yard that have a solid level-stake profit with chasers returning from absences. He is one to consider here now only 1 lb above his last winning mark.

 

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FFOS LAS 2:40

Monday 18 December
2. SOLSTICE STAR 145
Richard Johnson silk Richard Johnson
Martin Keighley
3. RAYVIN BLACK 144
Thomas Garner silk Thomas Garner
Oliver Sherwood
1. TORNADO IN MILAN (IRE) 144
Miss Isabel Williams silk Miss Isabel Williams
Evan Williams
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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

4:00 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Faye McManoman silk 5. COOKIE RING (IRE) 10/34.33
2nd Hollie Doyle silk hd 8. TOUCH THE CLOUDS 7/18
3rd Paddy Bradley silk 2 2. HOW'S LUCY 4/15
J: Faye McManoman (7)  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:45 THURLES

1st Mr D. O'Connor silk 7. RHINESTONE (IRE) 11/43.75
2nd Mr P. W. Mullins silk 19 10. SANCTA SIMONA (FR) 4/71.57f
3rd Mr R. Deegan silk 7 8. RONALD PUMP 12/113
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:35 SOUTHWELL

1st Mr N. George silk 1. DANDY DUKE (IRE) 6/42.5f
2nd Mr Adam Elias silk 4. GROUNDUNDERREPAIR (IRE) 15/82.87
3rd Mr C. J. Todd silk 7 10. BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY (IRE) 16/117
J: Mr N. George (5)  
T: Tom George  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:30 NAVAN

1st Ms L. O'Neill silk 2. RAPID ESCAPE (IRE) 2/51.4f
2nd Mr J. J. Codd silk 11 3. LADY ISCHIA (IRE) 3/14
5 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

3:25 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Martin Harley silk 4. THE EAGLE'S NEST (IRE) 11/43.75
2nd Shane Gray silk ¾ 1. LAGENDA 7/24.5
T: Rae Guest  
5 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

3:10 THURLES

1st Denis O'Regan silk 3. DOM DOLO (FR) 10/34.33
2nd A. W. Short silk 2. LAVERTEEN (FR) 5/16
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:05 SOUTHWELL

1st Gavin Sheehan silk 4. OSCAR STAR (IRE) 7/24.5
2nd Trevor Whelan silk 7 3. LITTLE MILLIE (IRE) 7/18
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:00 NAVAN

1st Robbie Power silk 7. SIZING TITANIUM (IRE) 5/16cf
2nd A. E. Lynch silk 1 10. BILBO BAGINS (IRE) 9/110
3rd M. P. Walsh silk ¾ 1. KILFENORA (IRE) 12/113
J: Robbie Power  
All 12 ran.
FULL RESULT

2:55 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Aaron Jones silk 2. EXCELLENT GEORGE 5/16
2nd Jonathan Fisher silk 3. BAHAMIAN HEIGHTS 9/43.25f
3rd Luke Morris silk 1 6. ARNARSON 5/16
J: Aaron Jones (3)  
8 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT
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