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Stat Selector: Sunday November 19

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Get the most interesting trends and statistics from today's horse racing with the free Stat Selector tips and best bets.

Lisp – 12:55 Fontwell

Smart Stat: 21% - Alan King's strike rate in early season since the start of the 2012/13 season

The market has this as a match between Jukebox Jive and Thounder but it wouldn’t be a huge shock if Lisp outran his odds. He didn’t achieve a great deal in three starts on the Flat for Charles Hills but two of those came over a mile, a trip which isn’t likely to suit given his breeding (related to stayers Thomas Campbell and Coeur de Lion). It’s still very early days with him and he may well do better now sent hurdling for Alan King, who does well during this period of the season.

 

Melrose Boy – 13:15 Cheltenham

Smart Stat: 24% - Harry Fry's strike rate with hurdlers running between 2m2f and up to 2m6f since the start of the 2011/12 season

The Smart Stats all point to a bet here on Melrose Boy. Harry Fry has won the last two renewals of this race (including with Unowhatimeanharry in 2015) and has an excellent strike-rate with his hurdlers running at this sort of distance. Melrose Boy is potentially well treated from a BHA mark of 123 based on his second to River Wylde (third in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle) at Ludlow last season, and with this step up in trip expected to suit him, he looks to have an excellent chance of giving his yard a third successive win in this handicap.

 

Fergal Mael Duin – 14:05 Fontwell

Smart Stat: £26.28 - Colin Tizzard's profit with chasers running after a break since the start of the 2011/12 season

Fergal Mael Duin completely lost his way last season after finishing a good second in this race (beat the re-opposing Cyclop) but he has a good record fresh (won both of his reappearances for the last two seasons) and may well have benefited from a break for a yard that have a solid level-stake profit with chasers returning from absences. He is one to consider here now only 1 lb above his last winning mark.

 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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NEWCASTLE 3:40

Tuesday 23 October
5. SWISSTERIOUS 114
Clifford Lee silk Clifford Lee
K. R. Burke
1. CONCIERGE (IRE) 102
Oisin Murphy silk Oisin Murphy
George Scott
6. IMPLICIT (IRE) 101
David Allan silk David Allan
James Tate hot trainer
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

3:00 YARMOUTH

1st William Buick silk 13. NASHIRAH 11/102.1f
2nd Hayley Turner silk ½ 5. FABIOLLA 20/121
3rd Robert Havlin silk nk 8. HANDMAIDEN 13/82.62
13 ran. NRs: 1  15 
QUICK RESULT

2:50 EXETER

1st Richard Johnson silk 1. BRADFORD BRIDGE (IRE) 1/12f
2nd Alan Johns silk 7 2. TAKE EM OUT (IRE) 16/117
T: Philip Hobbs  
All 5 ran.
QUICK RESULT

2:45 GOWRAN PARK

1st Declan McDonogh silk 13. TANKERVILLE (USA) 4/51.8f
2nd William James Lee silk 6. KILLOURNEY (IRE) 10/111
3rd W. M. Lordan silk 1 3. FOCUS REQUIRED (IRE) 10/111
16 ran. NRs: 16  18  19 
QUICK RESULT

2:40 NEWCASTLE

1st Dane O'Neill silk 1. TURJOMAAN (USA) 8/131.61f
2nd Oisin Murphy silk 7. WIRETAP (FR) 2/13
3rd Kevin Stott silk 8 8. DREAM CHICK (IRE) 14/115
J: Dane O'Neill  
T: Roger Varian  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

2:30 YARMOUTH

1st Robert Havlin silk 6. MEHDAAYIH 4/15
2nd Nicky Mackay silk nk 4. FANNY LOGAN (IRE) 8/19
3rd Jim Crowley silk 5. MAQSAD (FR) 4/91.44f
T: John Gosden  
9 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

2:20 EXETER

1st Adam Wedge silk 3. STILL BELIEVING (IRE) 7/42.75
2nd Micheal Nolan silk ½ 1. BEAU DU BRIZAIS (FR) 11/102.1f
J: Adam Wedge  
All 3 ran.
FULL RESULT

2:15 GOWRAN PARK

1st Seamie Heffernan silk 3. ALBUQUERQUE (IRE) 6/17
2nd Donnacha O'Brien silk nk 9. EMPIRE STATE (USA) 3/14f
3rd Declan McDonogh silk ¾ 10. GEORGEVILLE 9/25.5
15 ran. NRs: 14  17  18  19 
FULL RESULT

2:10 NEWCASTLE

1st Kevin Stott silk 8. BUCCANEERS VAULT (IRE) 13/27.5
2nd Graham Lee silk 5. RUSSIAN REALM 16/117
3rd Andrew Mullen silk ¾ 7. JOHN KIRKUP 20/121
J: Kevin Stott  
T: Paul Midgley  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

2:00 YARMOUTH

1st Harry Bentley silk 5. FRANKELLINA 5/42.25f
2nd Robert Havlin silk hd 8. OUSSEL FALLS 11/26.5
3rd William Buick silk 2 9. SUMMER FLAIR (IRE) 5/23.5
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results