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Stat Selector: Saturday November 18

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Get the most interesting trends and statistics from today's horse racing with the free Stat Selector tips and best bets.

Premier Bond – 13:50 Lingfield

Smart Stat: £17.05 - Nicky Henderson's profit with chasers running after a break since the start of the 2011/12 season

This looks a competitive renewal, and Minella Rocco’s presence means that nearly half of the field race from out of the handicap, including Premier Bond (only 1 lb), but he still makes a fair bit of appeal. He remains unexposed over fences, and the way he stayed on in the closing stages to finish third in the Kim Muir last season suggests he should be well suited by today’s extra furlong. He still looks fairly treated and Nicky Henderson does well with his horses returning from a break.

 

Eagle Creek – 14:10 Lingfield

Smart Stat: £58.35 - Simon Crisford's profit when having one runner at a flat meeting since the start of the 2012 season

Eagle Creek created a very favourable impression when winning his maiden on return over this C&D in April and, though he didn’t progress as expected in turf handicaps after, he returned to form at Kempton last time. It seems, at this stage at least, that Eagle Creek is much more effective on an artificial surface and everything looks in place for a big run here. He has a good draw to work with, Champion Jockey Silvestre de Sousa on board for the first time, and has the potential to prove better than an official mark of 96.

 

Thomas Campbell – 15:00 Cheltenham

Smart Stat: 25% - Nicky Henderson's strike rate in early season since the start of the 2012/13 season

It’s hard to get away from the claims of Thomas Campbell, who built on the conspicuous promise of last season’s handicap runs when landing a gamble on his return at this course last month. That was his first crack at three miles, and it appears to be the making of him, everything - bar his jumping, which was still novicey - coming easily to him, and it will be disappointing if he isn’t able to take this step up in grade in his stride on his way to even better things.

 

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

3:50 EXETER

1st Richard Johnson silk 2. EARTH MOOR (IRE) 1/41.25f
2nd Adam Wedge silk nk 4. ZOFFANY BAY (IRE) 11/43.75
T: Philip Hobbs  
All 5 ran.
QUICK RESULT

3:45 GOWRAN PARK

1st S. M. Crosse silk 12. TUAMHAIN 5/16f
2nd Declan McDonogh silk 9. ISHIGATI (IRE) 6/17
3rd Shane Foley silk nk 7. AUBINEAU (USA) 8/19
4th C. T. Keane silk 10. VILLA MARIA 8/19
J: S. M. Crosse (7)  
16 ran. NRs: 18  19  4 
QUICK RESULT

3:40 NEWCASTLE

1st Oisin Murphy silk 1. CONCIERGE (IRE) 8/19
2nd Shane Gray silk 7. PRINCES DES SABLES 5/16
3rd Nathan Evans silk nk 8. BRANDY SPIRIT 33/134
J: Oisin Murphy  
T: George Scott  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:30 YARMOUTH

1st Jack Mitchell silk 6. MYSTIC MEG 6/17
2nd Rossa Ryan silk 1. ESPRIT DE BAILEYS (FR) 7/24.5f
3rd Theodore Ladd silk 6 15. REVELEON 20/121
T: Hugo Palmer  
12 ran. NRs: 10  11  4 
FULL RESULT

3:20 EXETER

1st Mr Joshua Newman silk 1. THOMAS BLOSSOM (IRE) 6/17
2nd Mr Jack Andrews silk 1 8. ELYSIAN PRINCE 7/24.5f
3rd Miss Millie Wonnacott silk 4 12. LADIES DANCING 8/19
J: Mr Joshua Newman (3)  
T: Ali Stronge  
All 15 ran.
QUICK RESULT

3:15 GOWRAN PARK

1st G. F. Carroll silk 10. CENTRIFOLIA 7/24.5f
2nd Donnacha O'Brien silk 15. ROYAL NAVY WARSHIP (USA) 6/17
3rd C. T. Keane silk ¾ 1. ST GALLEN (IRE) 16/117
4th R. P. Cleary silk 8. KING OF LEINSTER (IRE) 22/123
16 ran. NRs: 17  18  19 
FULL RESULT

3:10 NEWCASTLE

1st Joe Fanning silk 5. GLENAMOY LAD 4/15jf
2nd Tony Hamilton silk sh 13. WARSAW ROAD (IRE) 4/15jf
3rd C. J. McGovern silk 8. MUSCIKA 12/113
J: Joe Fanning  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:00 YARMOUTH

1st William Buick silk 13. NASHIRAH 11/102.1f
2nd Hayley Turner silk ½ 5. FABIOLLA 20/121
3rd Robert Havlin silk nk 8. HANDMAIDEN 13/82.62
13 ran. NRs: 1  15 
FULL RESULT

2:50 EXETER

1st Richard Johnson silk 1. BRADFORD BRIDGE (IRE) 1/12f
2nd Alan Johns silk 7 2. TAKE EM OUT (IRE) 16/117
T: Philip Hobbs  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT
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