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Stat Selector: Saturday 17 October

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We've picked out three bets on today's action using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Project Mars – 13:43 Stratford

Smart Stat: £28.79 - Fergal O'Brien's profit to a £1 level stake with hurdlers running after a break

Project Mars was more hit than miss for Nick Gifford’s yard, but after a 21-month absence, and a switch to the Fergal O’Brien team, he has returned a much more consistent performer, running three good races for this new stable this year. Runner-up on his stable debut at Fontwell in January, he went one better at Huntingdon the following month, and he continued in good heart when third at Kelso in March. The O’Brien yard are in red-hot form at present and certainly know how to ready one after a break, so fitness should not be an issue for Project Mars, who tops the shortlist on his return to action.

 

Benaud – 13:50 Leopardstown

Smart Stat: 3 - Joseph Patrick O'Brien's number of winners in past 7 runnings

Joseph O’Brien is bidding for a fourth successive victory in this race, and Benaud looks to hold a similar profile to at least two of his three previous winners. Baroness and Zoom Zoom Babe, who won this race in 2017 and 2019 respectively, had both shown relatively little in their three outings prior to making their handicap debut in this race, but both showed much improved form to get off the mark.

Benaud didn’t show an awful lot in his first three outings, but he did show improved form to finish a very good fourth in a Limerick maiden last time (a race that has already produced a winner) and he remains open to further progress. The step back up in trip, as well as the switch to handicap company, could prove the key to him, so he gets the vote to open his account.

 

Ontario – 15:00 Leopardstown

Smart Stat: 4 - Aidan O'Brien's number of winners in past 10 runnings

As is the case with the majority Irish Group 1 races, the roll of honour for the Killavullan Stakes has Aidan O’Brien’s fingerprints all over it, the master trainer winning the race nine times since 2000, including with the likes of Footstepsinthesand. He boasts another strong hand in this year’s renewal in the shape of Mexico City and, more interestingly, Ontario.

After breaking his maiden at the third attempt (though he did finish first past the post in his previous race), Ontario continued to progress with racing, finishing third in the Futurity and second the Royal Lodge. He failed to land the odds when quickly turned out at Tipperary last time, but excuses can be made for that run. He sets the form standard in this contest and should prove difficult to hold out.

 
 
 

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LINGFIELD PARK 14:45

Thursday 29 October
2. CLOAK OF SPIRITS (IRE) 128
Andrea Atzeni silk Andrea Atzeni
Richard Hannon hot trainer
7. LAVENDER'S BLUE (IRE) 124
Jim Crowley silk Jim Crowley
Amanda Perrett
12. SOFFIKA (IRE) 121p
Ryan Moore silk Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

20:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st Jason Watson silk 11. FRENCH POLISH 4/15
2nd Daniel Muscutt silk 2. SINCERITY 11/112
3rd David Probert silk nk 13. SPRING GLOW 16/117
J: Jason Watson  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:00 DUNDALK

1st A. J. Slattery silk 12. CARIDADI (IRE) 10/111
2nd M. P. Sheehy silk nk 7. CLONARD ABBEY (IRE) 10/111
3rd James J. Doyle silk sh 1. WOJOOD 3/14f
J: A. J. Slattery (3)  
14 ran. NRs: 15  16  17 
FULL RESULT

19:45 KEMPTON PARK

1st Callum Shepherd silk 3. LUNCIES 85/403.12
2nd David Egan silk 5. DUBLIN PHARAOH (USA) 15/28.5
5 ran. NRs: 4 
FULL RESULT

19:30 DUNDALK

1st Shane Foley silk 3. STORM STEPS (IRE) 5/23.5f
2nd Siobhan Rutledge silk 12. BELL MANANNAN (IRE) 11/112
3rd L. T. McAteer silk 15. NIGHTLY WAILING (IRE) 17/29.5
J: Shane Foley  
14 ran. NRs: 10  17  2 
FULL RESULT

19:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st Hollie Doyle silk 4. DANCE TO PARIS 9/25.5
2nd Oisin Murphy silk nk 8. INDIGO TIMES (IRE) 2/13f
J: Hollie Doyle  
T: Lucy Wadham  
6 ran. NRs: 1  3 
FULL RESULT

19:00 DUNDALK

1st William James Lee silk 10. LIGHTNING BOLTZ (IRE) 10/34.33
2nd C. T. Keane silk ½ 1. AIKIDO (IRE) 5/23.5f
3rd W. M. Lordan silk ¾ 7. TAKEKO (IRE) 25/126
14 ran. NRs: 15  16  17 
FULL RESULT

18:45 KEMPTON PARK

1st Adam Kirby silk 3. DYAMI (FR) 11/82.37
2nd Shane Kelly silk 9. THE NOSEY PARKER (IRE) 16/117
3rd Hollie Doyle silk nk 7. BLACK BOX 9/110
J: Adam Kirby  
T: George Baker  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:30 DUNDALK

1st C. P. Hoban silk 9. GUIDING (IRE) 14/115
2nd M. P. Sheehy silk 7. ALICE MILLIGAN (IRE) 8/19
3rd D. E. Sheehy silk nk 13. ROYAL MARKSMAN (IRE) 125/1126
J: C. P. Hoban  
14 ran. NRs: 15  16  17 
FULL RESULT

18:15 KEMPTON PARK

1st Edward Greatrex silk 8. TAKEONEFORTHETEAM 11/26.5
2nd Adam Kirby silk 1 2. PRIZE FIGHTING 3/14f
3rd April Pearson silk 2 7. LIAM'S LASS (IRE) 18/119
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT
Go to Horse Racing Results