Stat Selector: Saturday 14 May

Blind Beggar - 15:15 Navan

Smart Stat: 20% - Ger Lyons' strike rate with sprinters

Blind Beggar shaped encouragingly after seven months off when filling the runner-up spot at Tipperary last time, looking the likeliest winner when going clear over a furlong out before being worn down in the final 100 yards. He was still beaten just a length and a quarter and that must be considered a very promising start to life with Ger Lyons (formerly trained by Richard Fahey), a trainer who is a dab hand with sprinters. It's surely just a matter of time before Blind Beggar is winning races in Ireland and this looks as good an opportunity as any from only 3 lb higher in the weights than last time.

Pawapuri - 16:10 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 25% - William Haggas' strike rate in early season

Pawapuri confirmed the promise of her debut when fourth on her latest outing at this course, sticking to her task well to be beaten only two and a half lengths and leaving the impression she would have benefited from setting a stronger gallop. That form sets the standard in this line-up and the small 'p' attached to her Timeform rating denotes that she is likely to progress further, particularly now stepping up in trip to a mile and a half. As such, Pawapuri rates a confident selection to get off the mark at the third attempt for William Haggas, who has his team in top form (72% of horses running to form).

Arbutus - 16:25 Navan

Smart Stat: 3 - Aidan O'Brien's number of winners in past 4 runnings

Aidan O'Brien saddles two runners as he seeks his fourth successive win in this listed contest. Shark Bay showed improved form when filling the runner-up spot in a minor event at Naas last time, but preference is for stablemate Arbutus, who looked an excellent prospect himself when making a successful debut over this course and distance three weeks ago. He was well on top at the finish after going in snatches and the manner of that victory, plus his scope for significant improvement, suggests he should be well up to making an impact at this level.