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Stat Selector: Saturday 1 August

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We've picked out three bets on today's action using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Danilova – 12:20 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 2 - Charlie Appleby's number of winners in past 10 runnings

This looks a good-looking minor event and Danilova makes plenty of appeal following her encouraging debut. Bred in the purple, she made a good start to her career, faring best of the newcomers when runner-up to her more experienced stablemate over his course and distance last month. There should be plenty more to come from her and, given Charlie Appleby’s record in this race, she is one to keep on side.

 

Baarrij – 13:30 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 23% - William Haggas's strike rate with handicap debutants

Baarrij is a well-bred filly who has made a promising start to her career, building on the promise of her debut run when opening her account at Windsor in June. She had clearly come on plenty for the initial experience at Newbury, always well positioned and well on top in the closing stages. William Haggas has a good record with such types, and an opening mark of 83 could well underestimate her, with the step up to a mile and a quarter likely to unlock further improvement.

 

Vivid Diamond – 15:50 Newmarket

Smart Stat: 21% - Mark Johnston's strike rate at NEWMARKET (JULY) since the start of the 2016 season

This could turn out to be a trappy event, but at the prices, Vivid Diamond makes a fair bit of appeal. At the weights, she comes out on top of Timeform’s weight-adjusted ratings, her win at listed level last season proving herself a near-smart performer. Her versatility, plus the return to this longer trip, will work in her favour here, and she looks the one to side with.

 
 
 

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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

18:15 WINDSOR

1st Andrea Atzeni silk 4. WONDERWORK (IRE) 7/24.5
2nd Oisin Murphy silk 2 2. DASCHAS 5/23.5f
T: Marco Botti  
All 6 ran.
QUICK RESULT

17:50 HAYDOCK PARK

1st Daniel Tudhope silk 2. DHABYAH 5/16
2nd Hector Crouch silk 1. COCONUT 7/24.5
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:40 WINDSOR

1st Sean Levey silk 5. TYPHOON TEN (IRE) 9/110
2nd Andrea Atzeni silk ½ 9. SECOND COLLECTION 10/34.33f
3rd David Probert silk 8. A SURE WELCOME 14/115
J: Sean Levey  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:35 NAAS

1st M. P. Sheehy silk 12. SIMPLY TRUE (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd Adam Farragher silk 11. LORD PARK (IRE) 2/13f
3rd P. A. Harnett silk ¾ 3. BARDO CONTIGUO (IRE) 15/28.5
4th J. P. Shinnick silk 9. ALLY CAY (IRE) 8/19
J: M. P. Sheehy (4)  
16 ran. NRs: 18  19  8 
FULL RESULT

17:20 ROSCOMMON

1st Mr J. J. Codd silk 8. PAPAL LODGE (IRE) 11/26.5
2nd Mr J. P. O'Rourke silk ½ 6. MEET AND GREET (IRE) 80/181
3rd Mr P. W. Mullins silk 1 10. WEARAPINKRIBBON (IRE) 4/61.66f
14 ran. NRs: 16  17  9 
FULL RESULT

17:15 HAYDOCK PARK

1st Ben Curtis silk 5. SONGKRAN (IRE) 2/13
2nd William Buick silk 2 1. DREAMWEAVER (IRE) 8/111.72f
J: Ben Curtis  
4 ran. NRs: 4  6  7  8 
FULL RESULT

17:10 WINDSOR

1st David Probert silk 3. EXPEDIENT (IRE) 13/27.5
2nd Oisin Murphy silk 6. QUICKSTEP LADY 4/111.36f
3rd George Bass silk 8 1. BRUNEL'S BOY 4/15
T: Henry Candy  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:05 NAAS

1st G. M. Ryan silk 16. ZAWARA (IRE) 9/43.25
2nd W. M. Lordan silk ¾ 5. AMHRAN NA BHFIANN (IRE) 8/151.53f
3rd William James Lee silk 7 13. PIN YOUR HOPES (IRE) 50/151
J: G. M. Ryan (5)  
16 ran. NRs: 18  19  2 
FULL RESULT

16:50 ROSCOMMON

1st Denis O'Regan silk 13. WARREEDY (IRE) 14/115
2nd Mr S. Fenelon silk 6 3. RUDY CATRAIL (IRE) 7/18
3rd L. P. Dempsey silk 17 7. RAILWAY MUICE (IRE) 18/119
13 ran. NRs: 15  17  2  5 
FULL RESULT
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