Smart Stat: 22% - Olly Murphy's strike rate at FAKENHAM since the start of the 2016/17 season
Olly Murphy does well with his runners at Fakenham and Sure Touch is of interest now making his handicap debut. He shaped very well on his hurdling debut at Southwell in November where he was left with too much to do and, though he didn't build on that as expected at Ayr last time, he looked one paced at the business end of the race, suggesting he'll relish this step up in trip. An opening mark of 105 is fair and a big run is expected now wearing a first-time tongue strap.
Smart Stat: 20% - Venetia Williams's strike rate with chasers at up to 2m3f
Frenchy du Large was progressive over hurdles last season, but is very much a chaser on looks, and quickly dispelled his chase debut effort (unseated his rider at the second fence) when opening his account with plenty in hand at Uttoxeter last month. He was once again well backed to do so, and gave his supporters some compensation in good style, leaving the impression he will progress further with racing. A 9 lb rise in the weights looks more than fair and he is fancied to follow up.
Smart Stat: 21% - Kevin Philippart de Foy's strike rate in winter
Mudlahhim opened his account for this yard at Kempton in the summer and, for all he hasn't progressed as expected since, he finds himself dropping in class here so should be very competitive. He was easy enough to back when hitting the frame in a course and distance handicap last month, running respectably, and he will also benefit from the 7 lb that his apprentice rider takes off. She was also on board for his victory at Kempton.