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Stat Selector: Monday 15 April

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Having picked out a 2/1 winner at Wincanton yesterday, our free Stat Selector has picked out three bets on Saturday using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Whispering Leaves - 14:30 Windsor

Smart Stat: 22% - Clive Cox's strike rate at WINDSOR since the start of the 2015 season

With all but one of today's 14-strong field making their debuts this afternoon, we're relying on things like pedigree and market clues to get a better picture of things. The fact that all three of Archie Watson's three-year-old fillies have won so far is perhaps the reason why Lambeth Walk is so popular in the market this morning, and while her claims on paper are obvious, she's worth taking on at the prices considering she's an odds-on favourite at the time of writing. One who makes appeal at a much bigger price isWhispering Leaves, who represents the Clive Cox team. She makes plenty of appeal on paper in her own right (closely related to 2-y-o 5f winner Dark Shadow), and considering her trainer has a 22% strike-rate here since 2015, it may be worth chancing that Whispering Leaves knows her job on debut at around the 16/1 mark this morning. 

  

Whitehall - 14:50 Pontefract

Smart Stat: 22% -Silvestre De Sousa's strike rate at PONTEFRACT

While Whitehall signed off last term with two below-par runs, he had proven to be a consistently useful performer in handicaps over the summer, scoring over this trip at Nottingham last June. She's switched yards to Geoffrey Harker over the winter, and an extended break over winter should hopefully have freshened him up. Whitehall strictly has around 8 lb to find on Timeform ratings with the principals, though a return to his peak form would make him dangerous, and Silvestre De Sousa is a notable booking. Indeed, De Sousa has a strong record at Ponte Carlo over the past few seasons, and Whitehall looks worth chancing to take this at the prices.

  

Tynecastle Park - 15:50 Pontefract

Smart Stat: 24% -Sir Mark Prescott Bt's strike rate with horses running over 10f+

Tynecastle Park arrives here in fine form having racked up back-to-back wins on the fibresand over slightly further than two miles at Southwell last month, and his hurdling form means that the extra four and a half furlongs this afternoon shouldn't be an issue. He's yet to win on the turf, but looks to have been found a particularly good opportunity to do so by Sir Mark Prescott, having been raised just 3 lb by the handicapper for his latest success. Indeed, Prescott has a good record with his runners over further than ten furlongs, and Tynecastle Park is a strong fancy to complete the hat-trick.  

  

 

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LINGFIELD PARK 16:45

Friday 19 April
8. OH THIS IS US (IRE) 128
Tom Marquand silk Tom Marquand
Richard Hannon
3. CARDSHARP 127
Joe Fanning silk Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston
11. STRAIGHT RIGHT (FR) 127
David Probert silk David Probert
Andrew Balding hot trainer
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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

20:30 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Robert Havlin silk 1. MEHDAAYIH 1/41.25f
2nd Hollie Doyle silk 14 3. CAFE ESPRESSO 9/43.25
T: John Gosden  
2 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

20:00 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Franny Norton silk 2. LORD LAMINGTON 2/13
2nd Alistair Rawlinson silk 3 4. TIGRAY (USA) 16/117
All 4 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:45 CLONMEL

1st Shane Foley silk 1. CONRON (IRE) 13/27.5
2nd Declan McDonogh silk 10. MASTERMIND (IRE) 7/24.5f
3rd C. T. Keane silk 7. UNION GAP (IRE) 5/16
J: Shane Foley  
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:30 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Theodore Ladd silk 11. ADMIRAL ROOKE (IRE) 7/24.5jf
2nd Paddy Mathers silk 6. ALWAYS AMAZING 5/16
3rd Brett Doyle silk ½ 2. SPENNY'S LASS 6/17
J: Theodore Ladd (5)  
All 12 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:15 CLONMEL

1st R. P. Cleary silk 4. PROSPECTUS 2/13f
2nd Ben Martin Coen silk 3. WATERVILLE DANCER (IRE) 6/17
J: R. P. Cleary  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:00 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Daniel Muscutt silk 4. LEXINGTON EMPIRE 15/82.87f
2nd P. J. McDonald silk 6. JUANITO CHICO (IRE) 8/19
7 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

18:45 CLONMEL

1st William James Lee silk 12. CORK HARBOUR (IRE) 2/13f
2nd C. T. Keane silk ½ 6. MISTY MILLIE (IRE) 7/18
3rd C. D. Hayes silk 10. SUMMER'S DREAM 25/126
14 ran. NRs: 16  17  18  9 
FULL RESULT

18:30 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st P. J. McDonald silk 5. GLENN COCO 3/14
2nd Ryan Moore silk ¾ 3. QAROUN 2/13f
3rd Rossa Ryan silk 1 1. ROGUE 50/151
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:15 CLONMEL

1st R. P. Whelan silk 2. TIRMIZI (FR) 6/17
2nd G. F. Carroll silk ½ 7. STORMY TALE (IRE) 3/14
3rd C. T. Keane silk 1 6. FREE RANGER (IRE) 9/43.25f
J: R. P. Whelan  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT
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