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Stat Selector: Monday 1 June

ArticleImage

We've picked out three bets on today's action using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Shoot To Kill - 15:55 Newcastle

Smart Stat: £22.47 - George Scott's profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break

Shoot To Kill showed fair form without winning in five outings as a two-year-old, and, though well beaten on his only two attempts in handicaps, he has certainly shown enough to suggest that a BHA mark of 74 won't prove beyond him when everything falls right. Indeed, the form of his second in a minor event at Chelmsford in September puts him right in the mix here on Timeform's weight-adjusted ratings, and, with further improvement not ruled out after a gelding operation during the winter, this looks a good opportunity for him to open his account for the George Scott yard that is well capable of readying one after a break.

 

Fox Hill - 16:30 Newcastle

Smart Stat: £23.00 - Eric Alston's profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break

Fox Hill developed into a model of consistency for the Eric Alston yard last season, finishing out of the first three only once in her last six outings. That streak included a pair of wins, and she shaped as if still on a fair mark when we last saw her finishing third at Hamilton in September, never nearer than at the finish after a sluggish start. Still beaten less than three lengths at the line, the forecast strong pace here is expected to see her once again coming home stronger than most, so she could be worth chancing to pick up where she left off last season at rewarding odds.

 

Valyrian Steel - 18:15 Newcastle

Smart Stat: 22% - Roger Varian's strike rate at Newcastle since the start of the 2016 season

Those with previous experience in the finale set only a fairly useful standard, so it could be siding with one of the several interesting newcomers, with none making more appeal than Valyrian Steel. A €600,000 purchase as a yearling, she must have plenty about her physically, on top of a useful pedigree, by Frankel and out of a two-year-old winner who is herself a half-sister to Kick On and Nordic Lights (both smart performers). Roger Varian, who has an excellent strike rate at Newcastle in recent seasons, is no stranger to first-time-out winners, either, so everything looks set fair for a big run in what is likely to prove an informative heat.

 
 
 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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NAVAN 19:45

Friday 03 July
2. PATRICK SARSFIELD (FR) 112p
Declan McDonogh silk Declan McDonogh horse in focus
Joseph Patrick O'Brien, Ireland
13. TARTLETTE 111
Seamie Heffernan silk Seamie Heffernan
Shane Crawley, Ireland
15. MAJOR REWARD (IRE) 111
J. M. Sheridan silk J. M. Sheridan
Denis Hogan, Ireland
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

18:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Tom Queally silk 10. GAVI DI GAVI (IRE) 11/26.5
2nd Callum Shepherd silk 2 12. MOLLY MAI 10/111
3rd Luke Morris silk hd 9. CRITICAL THINKING (IRE) 12/113
J: Tom Queally  
T: Alan King  
11 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

17:50 HAMILTON PARK

1st David Nolan silk 1. LE CHIFFRE 6/42.5f
2nd Ben Robinson silk 3. RECLAIM VICTORY (IRE) 20/121
3rd Callum Rodriguez silk 10. GOT THE T SHIRT 8/19
J: David Nolan  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:40 NAVAN

1st R. P. Cleary silk 1. STANHOPE 7/18
2nd R. P. Whelan silk ½ 6. MIACOMET (IRE) 11/26.5
3rd C. D. Hayes silk ¾ 4. CELTIC MANOR (IRE) 25/126
J: R. P. Cleary  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Hollie Doyle silk 3. SMOOTH SPIRIT 6/17
2nd Daniel Muscutt silk sh 1. FARHAN (IRE) 15/28.5
3rd Silvestre De Sousa silk 7. MASTER OF BRAZIL 4/61.66f
J: Hollie Doyle  
11 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

17:20 HAMILTON PARK

1st Paul Mulrennan silk 1 2. REDARNA 28/129
2nd Shane Gray silk 5. STAR SHIELD 10/34.33
3rd Clifford Lee silk sh 9. MAKTHECAT (FR) 11/43.75f
T: Dianne Sayer  
8 ran. NRs: 7 
FULL RESULT

17:10 NAVAN

1st Seamie Heffernan silk 3. FOREST OF DREAMS (IRE) 16/54.2
2nd C. T. Keane silk 2. COILL AVON (IRE) 10/34.33
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Jim Crowley silk 1. AL SALT (IRE) 2/71.28f
2nd P. J. McDonald silk 5. BYFORD (FR) 18/119
3rd Silvestre De Sousa silk 9. WIGHTMAN (IRE) 18/119
J: Jim Crowley  
9 ran. NRs: 11  8 
FULL RESULT

16:50 HAMILTON PARK

1st Barry McHugh silk 8. SILVER DUST (IRE) 4/15
2nd Kevin Stott silk ¾ 7. DAWAAWEEN (IRE) 5/61.83f
3rd Paddy Mathers silk 3 9. SARVI 18/119
J: Barry McHugh  
8 ran. NRs: 3  4 
FULL RESULT

16:40 NAVAN

1st C. T. Keane silk 5. NIMBOSTRATUS (FR) 13/82.62
2nd W. M. Lordan silk ½ 2. HAZEL (IRE) 8/111.72f
J: C. T. Keane  
7 ran. NRs: 4 
FULL RESULT
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