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Stat Selector: Friday June 22

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Our free Stat Selector identifies today's three best bets, picked out using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Quantum of Solace - 14:10 Market Rasen

Smart Stat: 43% - Paddy Brennan's strike rate on hurdling favourites since the start of the 2013/14 season

Quantum of Solace scored for his new yard at the second attempt at Perth last month, quickening to lead before the last and winning comfortably, and he's fancied to defy a 00-7 lb rise in the weights and follow up here, with the added bonus that Sheena West's Le Chiffre is long retired. Paddy Brennan is again on board, and considering his excellent strike rate on hurdling favourites over the last five seasons, there's every chance that his excellently-named mount will once again live and let fly. 

 

Admired - 14:55 Redcar

Smart Stat: 21% - Sir Michael Stoute's strike rate in mid season since the start of the 2013 season

Like many runners from this yard over the years, Admired has very much been a work in progress on her four starts to date, qualifying for a mark after three fair runs as a two-year-old last term. She showed plenty to work with on her reappearance at Goodwood last month, her first start in this company, giving the impression that she was still rough around the edges. It's interesting that she is stepped up in trip so early into her career (her dam stayed 12f), and considering her trainer's strong record in mid-season, it could be worth chancing that she is far sharper for her reappearance, and is able to take advantage of what looks a workable mark.

 

Dark Rose Angel - 17:00 Royal Ascot

Smart Stat: £47.75 - Simon Crisford's profit with horses running in first time headgear since the start of the 2013 season

The Sandringham is the most competitive race of the day at Royal Ascot, in which Dark Rose Angel is fancied to run well at a huge price. She showed useful form as a two-year-old, winning a maiden at Doncaster last August before finishing an excellent second behind subsequent multiple Group 1-winner Laurens in the May Hill Stakes at Doncaster. She has disappointed on three starts since, including twice this season, failing to convince with her application in cheekpieces. Simon Crisford tries blinkers with her now, and considering his strong record with horses in first time headgear, it would be no surprise to see her bounce back to her best form - which would give her every chance in a wide open affair.

 

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GOODWOOD 3:35

Wednesday 26 September
3. SPARK PLUG (IRE) 128
Oisin Murphy silk Oisin Murphy horse for course
Brian Meehan
7. THREADING (IRE) 124
Silvestre De Sousa silk Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston
1. FIRST SITTING 124
Gerald Mosse silk Gerald Mosse horse for course
Chris Wall
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1st Jason Watson silk 5. GEMINI 3/14
2nd David Probert silk sh 10. YASIR (USA) 16/117
3rd Martin Harley silk 6 2. SEINESATIONAL 5/42.25f
J: Jason Watson (3)  
All 11 ran.
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8:15 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Martin Dwyer silk 7. BUSBY (IRE) 14/115
2nd Jamie Spencer silk 6. KODICAT (IRE) 5/23.5f
3rd Jason Watson silk ¾ 5. DREAMBOAT ANNIE 14/115
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2nd Tom Marquand silk 6. MUNEYRA 1/12f
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1st David Probert silk 4. MIZAAH (IRE) 20/121
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3rd Oisin Murphy silk 6. MAWAHIB (IRE) 9/43.25
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1st Miss Becky Smith silk 9. PALINDROME (USA) 7/24.5f
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2nd Marc Monaghan silk 9. SO HI CLASS (IRE) 16/117
3rd Pat Cosgrave silk 2 3. DOMBRA 9/25.5
J: Oisin Murphy  
T: James Tate  
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FULL RESULT

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1st Adam Wedge silk 5. JONAGOLD 9/25.5jf
2nd Sean Bowen silk nk 11. MARINERS MOON (IRE) 5/16
3rd Harry Bannister silk nk 9. HEURTEVENT (FR) 10/111
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