Smart Stat: 25% - Charlie Appleby's strike rate with horses running in races between 7f and up to 10f
Amber Island has shaped with encouragement in minor events at Newmarket and Yarmouth before putting her experience to good use to open her account in a similar event at Leicester in September. She can’t have been 100 per cent when finishing last in a nursery at Newmarket on her final start, and this good-looking filly is well worth another chance now making her all-weather debut from what could be a potentially lenient mark.
Smart Stat: 18% - Alan King's strike rate with handicap chase debutants
Senior Citizen showed fairly useful form over hurdles last season, but he immediately bettered that form on his chasing debut/reappearance at Doncaster last month, shaping very well as he was the only one held up that was able to cut into the winner’s advantage. He jumped soundly on that occasion and rates the type that will make up into a much better chaser, so he looks a big player from a handicap mark of 125, which is 2 lb lower than his last hurdles start.
Smart Stat: 21% - Olly Murphy's strike rate with staying hurdlers
Dundrum Wood cost connections £270,000 after winning an Irish point and he confirmed the positive impression he made on hurdling debut when bolting up by 14 lengths at Market Rasen last time. That was his first run since undergoing a breathing operation, but he also seemed well suited by a more positive ride over a longer trip, bringing his stamina into play. The step up to three miles now may bring about further improvement and he hails from a yard that do well with such types.