Imperial Alcazar - 17:05 Newbury
Smart Stat: £22.13 - Fergal O'Brien's profit to a £1 level stake with only one runner on the card (bumpers)
Imperial Alcazar shaped well on his debut over C&D in November and duly took a significant step forward when finding only one too good in a listed event at Ascot last time, keeping on well to go second close home. That form leaves him 3 lb clear of the field on weight-adjusted ratings here - a race that has been won by the likes of Ballyandy and Barters Hill (beating Buveur d'Air and Altior) in recent years - and he looks sure to take all the beating for the Fergal O'Brien yard, with further progress on the cards.
Zofelle - 18:30 Newcastle
Smart Stat: £32.58 - Hugo Palmer's profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break
Zofelle looked potentially useful when making a winning debut at Doncaster last July, knowing her job and matching the way she moved smoothly into contention with a decisive finishing kick (won by four lengths). Admittedly, she then shaped as if amiss when well held on her only subsequent start in a listed event at Newbury in October, but Hugo Palmer has given her plenty of time to recover from whatever was ailing her on that occasion, and she deserves another chance to confirm the promise of her impressive debut, back down significantly in grade today.
Hanati - 20:00 Newcastle
Smart Stat: £58.76 - Simon Crisford's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting
Hanati showed improved form to get off the mark at the second attempt at Wolverhampton in January, before running to a similar level when second on her most recent outing on the fibresand at Southwell. The bare form of that effort gives her a bit to find with Hanakotoba on weight-adjusted ratings here, but she has far more scope for improvement than that rival and looks to offer the better value of the pair at the current prices, representing the Simon Crisford yard that does well when sending only one runner to a meeting.