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The Long Ranger: Royal Ascot 2018 handicaps

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The Long Ranger picks out his best bets in some of the handicaps at Royal Ascot 2018.

Royal Hunt Cup

Finding a horse that’s likely to excel in a strongly-run, large-field scenario can be half the battle in a race such as the Hunt Cup (acknowledging that draw can scupper even the best-laid plans), and Mubtasim ticks plenty of boxes as a horse that may well come into his own under such circumstances. He’s without a win since his two-year-old season and yet to even run in a handicap, but there are a few reasons for thinking that a race such as this could be the making of him.

Firstly, arguably the best effort of his career to date was achieved at this track, when third in last season’s Jersey. Mubtasim was dropped out and nearest at the finish that day, shaping as though sure to be at least as effective over a mile, but has still to be tried at the trip, finding six furlongs inadequate on his reappearance this time round before again leaving the impression a mile was likely to suit when a running-on second to the smart Tabarrak in a seven-furlong listed event at Haydock last month. Strictly from a handicapping angle, it’s hard to make a case for Mubtasim being necessarily well treated, but it’s more the expectation that he’ll thrive in the Hunt Cup scenario that makes him interesting, likely to be dropped out before hopefully weaving his way through late.

Wokingham

Unexposed horses find it harder to get into high-end handicaps these days, a BHA mark of around 99 the bare minimum required to get into the Wokingham in recent years, and that’s one of the reasons why the unbeaten and highly-promising Dreamfield is at such odds for the 2018 renewal. At the time of writing he’s a general 4/1 shot and, whilst fully accepting that a mark of 103 could underplay his ability by some way (he holds entries in the Diamond Jubilee and July Cup), it’s very hard to recommend backing a horse in the Wokingham at such a price.

So, we’ll try a couple at longer odds. Gilgamesh and Growl have very different profiles but, all things being equal, are well enough treated to be thereabouts at the very least should things drop right. Gilgamesh is still lightly raced for a four-year-old and, on the evidence this season, still on the up, faring best of those who raced on the ‘wrong’ side when seventh in the Victoria Cup here before scrambling home in a handicap at York. Both those races were over seven furlongs, but Gilgamesh has an impressive cruising speed that suggests he could be even more effective back at a strongly-run six. It’s the same scenario that brings out the very best in Growl, too, the minimum trip no use to him behind Kachy at Chester on his first run back last month. That should have put him spot on for this and there’s no denying he’s back to a good mark now, 7 lb lower than when beaten less than a length in the Stewards’ Cup last year. Growl has put up some of his very best efforts at this course, including when runner-up to The Tin Man in the Champions Sprint a few years back, and Out Do showed last season that age is no barrier to success in handicaps such as the Wokingham these days.

Recommended Bets:

1 pt – Mubtasim, Royal Hunt Cup, Royal Ascot - 20th June

25/1 general    

0.5 pt each – Gilgamesh & Growl, Wokingham Handicap, Royal Ascot - 23rd June

16/1 & 20/1 general

 

Already Recommended:

1 point win Recoletos,Queen Anne Stakes, Royal Ascot – 19th June

10/1 bet365, Ladbrokes, Boylesports, Betway, 9/1 Coral, some smaller firms

2 points win Sioux Nation, Commonwealth Cup, Royal Ascot – 22nd June

6/1 bet365, Skybet, Ladbrokes, Coral, 5/1 general

1 point each-way City Light, Diamond Jubilee, Royal Ascot – 23rd June

16/1 general, 20/1 bet365, Boylesports

 

 

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KELSO 15:25

Tuesday 22 January
5. MAHLERVOUS (IRE) 146
Sean Bowen silk Sean Bowen
Warren Greatrex hot trainer
4. SKY KHAN 144
Derek Fox silk Derek Fox
Lucinda Russell
6. UPTOWN FUNK (IRE) 143
Brian Hughes silk Brian Hughes
Keith Dalgleish hot trainer
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

19:55 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Jason Hart silk 6. ARROWZONE 8/19
2nd Joe Fanning silk ½ 1. AQUA LIBRE 22/123
3rd David Probert silk ½ 4. BIG BAD LOL (IRE) 4/15
J: Jason Hart  
T: Kevin Frost  
12 ran. NRs: 7 
FULL RESULT

19:25 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Adam Kirby silk 4. MARTINEO 7/18
2nd Luke Morris silk nk 8. KUPA RIVER (IRE) 15/82.87f
J: Adam Kirby  
T: Paul D'Arcy  
7 ran. NRs: 1  7 
FULL RESULT

18:55 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Joe Fanning silk 3. STAR ASCENDING (IRE) 5/16
2nd Eoin Walsh silk nk 5. ICE CANYON 11/26.5
3rd Phil Dennis silk 9. FLOOD DEFENCE (IRE) 7/24.5
J: Joe Fanning  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:25 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Adam Kirby silk 5. FEARSOME 5/23.5
2nd Luke Morris silk 5 3. TECHNOLOGICAL 10/34.33
3rd Martin Harley silk 2 4. THAQAFFA (IRE) 8/19
J: Adam Kirby  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:55 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Shane Kelly silk 8. MANFADH (IRE) 40/141
2nd Luke Morris silk 2 1. CAPTAIN DAN (IRE) 5/23.5
3rd James Sullivan silk ¾ 10. KING OF NAPLES 40/141
J: Shane Kelly  
10 ran. NRs: 12  2  9 
FULL RESULT

17:25 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Tony Hamilton silk 4. WAR TIGER (USA) 3/14
2nd Adam Kirby silk 2. KINVER EDGE (USA) 4/111.36f
5 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

16:50 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Ben Sanderson silk 1. YOLO AGAIN (IRE) 40/141
2nd Rossa Ryan silk sh 3. WEDDING DATE 10/111
3rd Finley Marsh silk hd 2. UNCLE JERRY 7/24.5jf
J: Ben Sanderson (5)  
T: Roger Fell  
8 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT

16:15 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Cameron Noble silk 3. HEATHERDOWN (IRE) 15/82.87f
2nd Tony Hamilton silk ½ 2. MICRONIZE (IRE) 7/18
2nd Liam Keniry silk 0 7. MACS BLESSINGS (IRE) 18/119
J: Cameron Noble (5)  
T: Michael Bell  
11 ran. NRs: 11 
FULL RESULT

16:00 SEDGEFIELD

1st Henry Brooke silk 1. EMERALD CHIEFTAN (IRE) 4/15
2nd Thomas Dowson silk 7 6. BERTIE BLAKE (IRE) 11/82.37f
3rd Mr Charlie Todd silk 17 8. MILLROSE BELL (IRE) 25/126
J: Henry Brooke  
8 ran. NRs: 4 
FULL RESULT
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