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Newcastle 16:50 Odds Comparison

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Hereford

| Going: Good (Good to Soft in places) | Briefing

Huntingdon

| Going: Good | Briefing

Lingfield Park

| Going: Good (Good to Soft in places) | Briefing
16:50 Tue 14 October 2025
SSR logo
NORTHUMBRIA LEISURE CELEBRATING 52 YEARS NOVICE STAKES (5)
Distance 1m 2f 42y
Prize £3,888 Age 3yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 8
Going Std

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4 (8)
Tom Marquand silk
ALOBAYYAH No form
J: Tom Marquand T: William Haggas
ISP: 5/6
Industry Starting Price: 5/6 -

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1st
5 (3)
James Doyle silk
ANTRIM No form
J: James Doyle T: John & Thady Gosden
ISP: 7/4
Industry Starting Price: 7/4 -

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8 (4)
P. J. McDonald silk
TYRAXES (IRE) No form
J: P. J. McDonald T: Andrew Balding
ISP: 3/1
Industry Starting Price: 3/1 -

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3rd
7 (7)
David Nolan silk
PROVISION No form
J: David Nolan T: Paul Midgley
ISP: 50/1
Industry Starting Price: 50/1 -

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6 (1)
Paul Mulrennan silk
HANGOVER BAY No form
J: Paul Mulrennan T: Craig Lidster
ISP: 66/1
Industry Starting Price: 66/1 -

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2nd
2 (5)
James Sullivan silk
SUPERFORTRESS (IRE) No form
J: James Sullivan T: Ruth Carr
ISP: 100/1
Industry Starting Price: 100/1 -

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3 (2)
Tom Eaves silk
TIMELY APPROACH No form
J: Tom Eaves T: Tracy Waggott
ISP: 200/1
Industry Starting Price: 200/1 -

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1 (6)
Kaiya Fraser silk
I AM SIMBA No form
J: Kaiya Fraser T: Rebecca Menzies
ISP: 250/1
Industry Starting Price: 250/1 -

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Timeform logo Analyst's Verdict

ALOBAYYAH brings winning form having scored on debut and retains potential despite failing to make an impact in Group 3 company after a lengthy absence (reportedly struck into). This longer trip will suit and she can get back on track. Antrim could have more to offer having been gelded, while Tyraxes is also bred to do a lot better.

Betting Forecast

8/111.72 Alobayyah, 7/24.5 Tyraxes, 4/15 Antrim, 66/167 Hangover Bay, 80/181 Superfortress, 100/1101 Provision, 300/1301 I Am Simba, 500/1501 Timely Approach

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UPCOMING RACE

12:30 Bangor-On-Dee (R1) 2m7f32y C4 Novice 5 runners
Analyst Verdict 1-2-3
IN THE AGE is better than he could show on last month's Aintree hurdle debut and can come good at the second time of asking in this sphere, perhaps at the expense of Harry Derham point recruit Firm But Fair.
Trainer : Dan Skelton Age/weight: 5 / 11-0 Form : 13-5 Days off: 17
1
Harry Skelton silk
IN THE AGE (FR) Harry Skelton
6/52.2 11/102.1 11/102.1 11/102.1
£100,000 Irish point recruit who made a winning start for new connections in Southwell bumper last winter. Off 8 months, held up in a race not run to suit such tactics when fifth on 2½m Aintree hurdle debut 17 days ago. Up in trip. Sure to progress for leading yard. Position Prediction: 1
Trainer : Harry Derham Age/weight: 4 / 10-12 Form : Days off:
5
Paul O'Brien silk
FIRM BUT FAIR (IRE) Paul O'Brien
9/25.5 4/15 4/15 4/15
£60,000 purchase after finishing third in an Irish point in April. Could have a big say now hurdling for a new yard in flying form. Position Prediction: 2
Trainer : Donald McCain Age/weight: 6 / 11-0 Form : 342- Days off: 284
4
Theo Gillard silk
SKUNA BAY (IRE) Theo Gillard
9/25.5 9/25.5 9/25.5 4/15
Placed in points and reached the frame in 3 maiden hurdles last season, posting best effort when 3 lengths second at Wetherby (2½m, soft) on final start. Likely to stay 3m. Position Prediction: 3
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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

N/A N/A N/A N/A

£19.44

Harriet Dickin's profit to a £1 level stake when having only one runner on the card (hurdles) (saddles EL ARCO)
N/A N/A N/A N/A

23%

Sam Twiston-Davies's strike rate at HEREFORD (rides RACE TO BASE)
N/A N/A N/A N/A

25%

Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies's strike rate in early season (saddles RACE TO BASE)