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Kempton Park 16:00 Odds Comparison

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Result

Ayr

| Going: Soft (Good to Soft in places) | Briefing

Kempton Park

| Going: Standard to Slow | Briefing

Warwick

| Going: Good to Soft | Briefing

Wolverhampton

| Going: Standard | Briefing
16:00 Mon 11 November 2024
RTV logo
RACING TV CONDITIONAL JOCKEYS' HANDICAP HURDLE (4)
Distance 2m
Prize £4,753 Rated (0-110) Age 3yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 5
Going Gd/Sft

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1st
5
Freddie Mitchell silk
SANITISER No form
J: Freddie Mitchell T: Gary & Josh Moore
ISP: 7/4
Industry Starting Price: 7/4 -

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3
Elizabeth Gale silk
IKIGAI STAR (IRE) No form
J: Elizabeth Gale (8) T: Charlie Longsdon
ISP: 5/2
Industry Starting Price: 5/2 -

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4
Philip Armson silk
EZMERELLDA (IRE) No form
J: Philip Armson (3) T: Alan King
ISP: 10/3
Industry Starting Price: 10/3 -

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2nd
1
Freddie Gordon silk
DOUGLAS DC (IRE) No form
J: Freddie Gordon T: Tony Carroll
ISP: 15/2
Industry Starting Price: 15/2 -

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2
Nick Slatter silk
POP THE CHAMPAGNE (FR) No form
J: Nick Slatter T: David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
ISP: 9/1
Industry Starting Price: 9/1 -

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Timeform logo Analyst's Verdict

A case can be made for all 5 in quite a trappy finale. SANITISER can't be faulted for consistency over hurdles and perhaps this is the day he'll get his head in front. Ezmerellda and Ikigai Star are feared most.

Betting Forecast

5/23.5 Ikigai Star, 11/43.75 Sanitiser, 3/14 Ezmerellda, 15/28.5 Douglas Dc, 17/29.5 Pop The Champagne

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UPCOMING RACE

12:05 Warwick (R1) 2m C4 Stks 10 runners
Analyst Verdict 1-2-3
Those with previous hurdles form only set a fair standard but useful Flat performer AVIEMORE appeals as the type who could make his mark now hurdling for the Harry Derham stable and earns the vote before market clues. Lavender Hill Mob surely has a bigger effort in his locker and is a threat, along with See The Green who returns to calmer waters. Dr Waksman is another hurdles debutant to note.
Trainer : Harry Derham Age/weight: 4 / 11-0 Form : Days off: 104
2
Paul O'Brien silk
AVIEMORE Paul O'Brien
2/13 2/13 2/13 15/82.88 15/82.88
Useful on Flat (stays 1½m), successful twice at 10f for Charlie Johnston during 2024. Joined very good NH yard for 30,000 gns in October and he very much appeals as the type to make his mark in this sphere. Stable won this 12 months ago. Position Prediction: 1
Trainer : James Owen Age/weight: 4 / 11-0 Form : 24 Days off: 37
7
Sam Twiston-Davies silk
LAVENDER HILL MOB Sam Twiston-Davies
4/51.8 4/51.8 8/111.73 8/111.73 4/61.67
Useful Flat performer and hopes were high for him over hurdles but he's run to just a fair level in 2 starts, taking a keen hold in first-time cheekpieces when well held at Cheltenham 37 days ago. May yet have more to offer. Position Prediction: 2
Trainer : Anthony Charlton Age/weight: 4 / 11-7 Form : 14 Days off: 45
1
Luke Scott silk
SEE THE GREEN Luke Scott (5)
14/115 14/115 14/115 12/113 12/113
Fairly useful on Flat for Owen Burrows and made a successful start to his hurdle career in Ludlow juvenile (15.7f) in November. He's not the biggest however, and could only run to a similar level under a penalty when fourth of 5 in juvenile hurdle at Sandown (2m) 45 days ago. Position Prediction: 3
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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

15/82.88 7/42.75 13/82.63 13/82.62 6/42.5

42%

Craig Nichol's strike rate on hurdling favourites (rides JET TO VEGAS)
3/14 3/14 11/43.75 11/43.75 11/43.75

22%

Jamie Snowden's strike rate with hurdlers at up to 2m2f (saddles ADMIRAL STEWART)