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Carlisle 14:00 Odds Comparison

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Result

Ayr

| Going: Soft (Good to Soft in places) | Briefing

Leicester

| Going: Chase: Soft (Good to Soft in places), Hurdles: Heavy (Soft in places) | Briefing

Newcastle

| Going: Standard | Briefing

Down Royal (IRE)

| Going: Good to Yielding (Good in places) | Briefing
14:00 Mon 11 November 2024
RTV logo
WEATHERBYS nhstallions.co.uk GRADUATION CHASE (2)
Distance 1m 7f 207y
Prize £26,015 Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 4
Going Gd/Sft

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4
Harry Cobden silk
KALIF DU BERLAIS (FR) No form
J: Harry Cobden T: Paul Nicholls
ISP: 4/11
Industry Starting Price: 4/11 -

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3
Keith Donoghue silk
PATH D'OROUX (FR) No form
J: Keith Donoghue T: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland
ISP: 5/1
Industry Starting Price: 5/1 -

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2
Harry Skelton silk
UNEXPECTED PARTY (FR) No form
J: Harry Skelton T: Dan Skelton
ISP: 15/2
Industry Starting Price: 15/2 -

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1st
1
Danny McMenamin silk
NELLS SON No form
J: Danny McMenamin T: Nicky Richards
ISP: 12/1
Industry Starting Price: 12/1 -

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Timeform logo Analyst's Verdict

None of these can be ruled out but preference is for Dan Skelton's Grand Annual Chase victor UNEXPECTED PARTY who shaped as if his reappearance fifth in Aintree's Old Roan Chase would put him spot on here. Paul Nicholls saddles an interesting chasing newcomer in the shape of Adonis Hurdle winner Kalif du Berlais and Irish-challenger Path d'Oroux also warrants plenty of respect in this intriguing contest.

Betting Forecast

15/82.87 Unexpected Party, 9/43.25 Kalif Du Berlais, 3/14 Path D'oroux, 17/29.5 Nells Son

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UPCOMING RACE

19:15 Newcastle (R7) 7f14y C5 Hcap 10 runners
Analyst Verdict 1-2-3
BRAZILIAN ROSE completed the hat-trick with something up her sleeve at this course at the weekend and she's an obvious choice to go in again if the quick turnaround doesn't scupper her. Streak Lightning and Ahamoment are two of several others who arrive in good order.
Trainer : Rebecca Menzies Age/weight: 4 / 9-9 Form : 13308-111 Days off: 4
3 (3)
Kaiya Fraser silk
BRAZILIAN ROSE (IRE) Kaiya Fraser (3)
11/82.38 5/42.25 5/42.25 5/42.25 11/102.1
11/4, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at this course (6f) 4 days ago, comfortably. Absolutely thriving at present and boasts leading claims in her bid for the four-timer. Position Prediction: 1
Trainer : Ruth Carr Age/weight: 8 / 9-4 Form : 168833-22 Days off: 10 Wearing : cheekpieces
8 (4)
Joanna Mason silk
STREAK LIGHTNING (IRE) Joanna Mason
17/29.5 17/29.5 17/29.5 7/18 13/27.5
3-time C&D winner. Creditable second of 8 in handicap at this C&D (9/2) 10 days ago. Likely to be on the premises again. Position Prediction: 2
Trainer : David & Nicola Barron Age/weight: 6 / 8-12 Form : 0741044-2 Days off: 13
11 (8)
Billy Loughnane silk
AHAMOMENT (IRE) Billy Loughnane
6/17 11/26.5 11/26.5 11/26.5 9/25.5
C&D winner. Latest win at Ayr in September. Creditable 3 lengths second of 10 to Tasever in handicap at this C&D (6/1) 13 days ago, no match for winner. Worthy of respect. Position Prediction: 3
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HORSE RACING SMART STATS

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£44.61

Lucinda Russell's profit to a £1 level stake with hurdlers being stepped up in trip for the first time (saddles VISUAL IMPACT)