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Timeform's Tote Placepot: Shergar Cup day at Ascot

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Every week, we’re using Timeform Race Passes to pick a Placepot for the headline card. Get our tips and best bets for Shergar Cup day at Ascot

To make our Placepot selections – available below – we’ve used the Timeform ratings, Flags, Pace Map, Analyst Verdict and form archives – all of which you can access with Timeform Race Passes. Not a subscriber? Try it out with our Free Daily Race Pass, which is the feature race of the day, the (Group 1) Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh, due off at 16:15.

New to the Placepot?

For those unfamiliar with the Tote’s raceday ritual, the Placepot simply requires you to pick one horse to finish placed in each of the first six races of a given meeting. You can also add alternative horses to some or all of the races, or ‘legs’, to create more lines and boost your chances of winning. Until recently, the cost of each combination, or 'line' was set at £1, but Tote now allow online bettors to place just 10p on each line, as long as you meet the minimum total stake of 50p with your 'perm', or combination of lines.

If you’re successful, you’ll win an equal share of an overall pot (proportionate to your stake) made up of the stakes from all entries – no matter which placed horses made up your winning line(s), or what price they were. However, because of the way the Tote works, the fewer people who select your horses, the better your potential return.

 

Our Selections:

Leg 1: 13:00 Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Curtain Raiser Classified Stakes

As the Statistics Hub shows, Eve Johnson-Houghton has a notably strong record over this distance here – the third best run-to-form record of any trainer (10+ runners) over the past five seasons, in fact – and HMS PRESIDENT looks an interesting prospect dropping back in trip given his very consistent record over 10f, including when recording his highest Timeform rating of 100 a year ago this weekend. The two ‘eggs’ for his most recent runs probably paint a harsher picture than the reality, not beaten far last time and shaping well when badly hampered and having his chances ended the time before that. Given it’s the first race of the Shergar Cup it’s probably also an advantage having a jockey booked who’s familiar with the course, Kieran Shoemark having ridden 11 winners here over the past five seasons.

 

Leg 2: 13:35 Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises Classified Stakes

EPSOM FAITHFUL sets the standard on our weight-adjusted ratings coming into this contest, sitting 3lb clear of her rivals, and she's the one we're going to side with in leg two. Pat Phelan's progressive mare got back on the winning trail here in decisive fashion when dropped back to 6 furlongs for her most latest run, and she should surely be involved at the business end of the race this time too now stepping back up in trip, in receipt of 5lb from the main danger, Orbaan.

 

Leg 3: 14:10 Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap)

We're going to take a chance with LAMPANG here in the hope that he can quickly bounce back to form following his run in the Stewards' Cup at Goodwood. That effort can be excused given he didn't get the smoothest of runs through, as is often an excuse for many in an ultra-competitive handicap, though prior to that Tim Easterby's charge had picked up a couple of victories this campaign over 6 furlongs. Dropping back to the minimum trip, we're hoping that he can make good use of his stamina ridden up with the pace. He tops our weight-adjusted ratings by 1lb here, and should be well positioned to strike, with the race looking likely to set up nicely for him, given the predicted 'even pace'.

 

 

Leg 4: 14:45 Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap)

We’re going to take a chance on THEMAXWECAN here. His recent form figures make grim viewing – he’s not finished inside the first 10 on his last three stars – but his poor recent form means he’s dropped to a mark 6 lb lower than his last winning one. The Timeform reporter noted, “he shouldn't be dismissed back in something less competitive in his next few starts, especially back at 2m+” after his most recent run at Goodwood and this course & distance winner is handicapped to go close if he can bounce back to anywhere near his best under Jamie Spencer.

MAKE MY DAY is another interesting contender dropping back in trip. He shaped well on his first two starts on the Flat this season but has shaped like a non-stayer on his last two runs over extreme distances, so this drop back in distance looks a good move. He finished 1½ lengths behind Super Superjack (fav for this race) over this C&D in May and has a 10 lb pull in the weights with that rival now.

 

Leg 5: 15:20 Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge Cup Handicap

Lots of these are very close on ratings, but CHARGING THUNDER’s recent record is one of a few that catch the eye, racing off just 10lb higher than he was four runs and three wins ago, and is a horse who’s been a model of consistency his entire career. His main rivals look to be Pride of Priory and The Whipmaster, but given the likely SP of the former and stable form of the latter, Charging Thunder looks the value selection.

 

Leg 6: 15:55 Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap)

MONTASSIB has posted two very good efforts in top-quality handicaps on his last two stars and it’s likely there's more to come from him stepping up to 1m. He looks a solid pick for William Haggas and Danny Tudhope.

BOPEDRO ran a race full of promise on his debut for David O’Meara - who does so well with new recruits - here a couple of weeks ago where he was the only one to make ground from the rear in a slowly-run race. The Timeform Pace Map is forecasting a strong pace this time which will be much more to his liking and he should go close off the same mark.

 

Timeform Placepot perm:

Leg 1: 3 Leg 2: 5 Leg 3: 1 Leg 4: 6, 7 Leg 5: 2 Leg 6: 6, 3.

1 x 1 x 1 x 2 x 1 x 2 = 4 lines.

 

 

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YORK 15:35

Wednesday 17 August
2. BAAEED 140
Jim Crowley silk Jim Crowley horse in focus
William Haggas hot trainer
5. MISHRIFF (IRE) 135
James Doyle silk James Doyle
John & Thady Gosden hot trainer
7. NATIVE TRAIL 131
William Buick silk William Buick
Charlie Appleby hot trainer
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

20:55 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Thore Hammer Hansen silk 6. DAWAHY (IRE) 15/82.87f
2nd Joey Haynes silk 1. MAKAMBE (IRE) 9/110
3rd Callum Shepherd silk ¾ 4. DEFILADE 10/111
12 ran. NRs: 7 
FULL RESULT

20:20 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st P. J. McDonald silk 3. EL HABEEB (IRE) 2/51.4f
2nd Jason Watson silk 1 1. CADMUS (IRE) 5/23.5
All 4 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:05 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Rhys Clutterbuck silk 2. SEMSER 6/17
2nd Tyler Heard silk ¾ 9. MASHKUUR (IRE) 7/24.5f
3rd Dylan Hogan silk 8. ENGRAVE 4/15
J: Rhys Clutterbuck (3)  
T: Gary Moore  
11 ran. NRs: 12 
FULL RESULT

19:45 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Callum Shepherd silk 4. LASTING LEGACY 13/82.62f
2nd Callum Hutchinson silk nk 2. ROZALIA 7/24.5
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:30 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Kieran O'Neill silk 3. SANDSTORM (FR) 40/141
2nd Stevie Donohoe silk 5. MOUNTAIN ROAD (FR) 33/134
T: Alice Haynes  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:10 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Gina Mangan silk 7. JENNY REN 6/17
2nd Thore Hammer Hansen silk 12. NACHOS CHEESE (IRE) 17/29.5
3rd Marco Ghiani silk nk 11. FELLOWSHIP (IRE) 5/23.5jf
J: Gina Mangan (5)  
10 ran. NRs: 10  5 
FULL RESULT

18:55 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st Hollie Doyle silk 3. BEAR PROFIT (IRE) 7/24.5
2nd James Doyle silk ns 5. APHELIOS 5/42.25f
J: Hollie Doyle  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:35 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st P. J. McDonald silk 4. SPECIAL FORCES 5/42.25f
2nd George Rooke silk nk 2. DOUBLE TIME 11/112
3rd Saffie Osborne silk 2 6. SALVE JAPAN 20/121
T: James Tate  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:20 CHELMSFORD CITY

1st James Doyle silk 2. INTERVENTION 7/18
2nd Sam James silk 1 6. TWILIGHT SECRET 10/34.33
J: James Doyle  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT
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