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Timeform's Tote Placepot: Scottish Grand National Day at Ayr

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Every week, we’re using Timeform Race Passes to pick a Placepot for the headline card. Get our tips for Sunday's Scottish Grand National Day at Ayr.

To make our Placepot selections – available below – we’ve used the Timeform ratings, Flags, Pace Map, Analyst Verdict and form archives – all of which you can access with Timeform Race Passes. Not a subscriber? Try it out with our Free Daily Race Pass which is of course the Scottish Grand National, due off at 15:35. 

New to the Placepot?

For those unfamiliar with the Tote’s raceday ritual, the Placepot simply requires you to pick one horse to finish placed in each of the first six races of a given meeting. You can also add alternative horses to some or all of the races, or ‘legs’, to create more lines and boost your chances of winning. Until recently, the cost of each combination, or 'line' was set at £1, but Tote now allow online bettors to place just 10p on each line, as long as you meet the minimum total stake of 50p with your 'perm', or combination of lines.

If you’re successful, you’ll win an equal share of an overall pot (proportionate to your stake) made up of the stakes from all entries – no matter which placed horses made up your winning line(s), or what price they were. However, because of the way the Tote works, the fewer people who select your horses, the better your potential return. 

Our Selections

Leg 1: 13:15 - Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (listed)

BANKER LEG: Just the six set to lineup for this at the time of writing, and it’s difficult to look beyond the progressive KING D'ARGENT, who represents the red-hot Skelton team. A winner of his last two starts, he sets the standard here on our weight-adjusted ratings, sitting 3lb clear of his nearest rival, and there may well be room for further improvement still in his locker. We'll keep him onside in the opening contest on the card, and we're confident he'll run a nice race again. 

 

Leg 2: 13:50 - CPMS Novices' Champion Handicap Chase

Plenty in with a chance here, with a handful of horses coming into this contest off the back of a victory. That said, the one who we are sweet on is the Christian Williams-trained FIVE STAR GETAWAY. Flagging as a 'Horse in Focus' he's done nothing but improve on his starts this season, winning his last three on the bounce in good style, and there could still be a bigger performance in the son of Getaway. That view is highlighted by the addition of the Timeform small 'p' attached to his rating, and it would be something of a surprise if he weren't involved at the business end of the race.

One worth keeping on side at a bigger price is ADMIRAL BARRATRY. He has improved over fences this season, winning at Fakenham before a solid second at that venue when trying to give over a stone to a subsequent winner, with the front pair pulling well clear of the rest. Something clearly wasn't right at Sandown last time and he's not one to give up on yet.

 

Leg 3: 14:25 - Coral Scottish Champion Hurlde (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2)

THYME WHITE has contested some of the best 2m Handicap Hurdles of the season and although he was well held at Cheltenham last time, this good ground and sharp track should be much more to this strong traveling sorts liking. He remains open to improvement aged just five and should go close for soon to be champion trainer, Paul Nicholls.

Milkwood looks to be on a good mark but he had a hard race at Cheltenham and looks a favourite worth opposing. One that has definitely been overlooked by the early market is GLORY AND FORTUNE for Tom Lacey. He gave the now 156-rated Buzz a race in a novice hurdle at Doncaster last February with the pair well clear of the third, and he could be well treated on that effort from his current mark of 130. He found the Betfair Hurdle too much on his return to hurdles but ran an encouraging race at Stratford last time, run down late on by a next-time-out winner having raced freely and wide throughout. This is just his third start in a handicap over hurdles and he remains unexposed in this sphere.

Leg 4: 15:00 - Jordans Electrics LTD Future Champion Novices' Chase (Grade 2)

Allmankind has taken extremely well to chasing and did all he could behind the monster that is Shishkin in the Arkle, but the concern here is whether he can run to his best over an extra half mile. If he can, then he’ll obviously set a high standard, but TAMAROC DU MATHAN is developing into a classy chaser himself, and this trip/ground are ideal for him. The fact that he skipped Cheltenham and has had a light season overall is also in his favour, and there's very little between him and the favourite.

 

Leg 5: 15:35 - Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

On to the big one, and we’ll chance two at decent prices.

Ireland’s domination over their British counterparts has been well documented since the 23-5 drubbing at Cheltenham, and it’s ironic that Vintage Clouds, one of the few winners for the home team, is now a non-runner for this race. Without getting into the debate on why that might be the case, it’s apparent the British handicappers seem to have treated visiting horses leniently, and tomorrow’s sole Irish entry, MISTER FOGPATCHES could be another one. Whilst he arrives 1lb out of the handicap, he runs off a mark of 129 – consequently just 4lb higher than when 4th of 14 on his last outing, which looks strong form given the presence of the subsequent winner of the Topham as well as the 4th there, and a couple more subsequent winners in behind. He doesn’t have much to find on the principals on Timeform ratings, aged just 8, goes well on good ground, and has been the subject of some support in the last day or so.

Whilst Dingo Dollar looks a strong candidate for in-form Scottish yard Sandy Thomson, top on Timeform ratings, Thomson enters another much lower down the weights that could be going under the radar, THE FERRY MASTER currently at around 14/1. The pace looks an even one and this progressive gelding should be right up there, having done very little wrong this season. As the comment for his previous 4th place reads, “had been off for 12 weeks since Newcastle and didn't run so well, the absence, shorter trip and more testing ground all possible factors when assessing whether he'll be back to form next time”. He’s had a month shorter lay-off for this, and given he has already won twice over 3m on good and gd/sft, it’s easy to see the lightly-raced 8yo step it up again and go close.

 

Leg 6: 16:10 - Play Coral "Racing-Super-Series" For Free Handicap Hurdle

ASHINGTON won twice as a novice for John Quinn and got off the mark for Brian Ellison at Sedgefield 24 days ago. His runner-up effort in the Scottish County Hurdle last year stands out as a good piece of form and a repeat of that should see him go very close here.

 

Timeform Placepot perm;

Leg 1: 2 Leg 2: 4, 8 Leg 3: 5, 10 Leg 4: 2 Leg 5: 20, 17 Leg 6: 4

1 x 2 x 2 x 1 x 2 x 1 = 8 lines

 
 

 

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Free Daily Race Pass (Result)

HAYDOCK PARK 15:10

Saturday 08 May
14. COPPERLESS 1st
Aidan Coleman silk Aidan Coleman
Olly Murphy
9. CORMIER (IRE) 2nd
Danny McMenamin silk Danny McMenamin
Brian Ellison
5. CAMPROND (FR) 3rd
Tom O'Brien silk Tom O'Brien
Philip Hobbs
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

19:35 THIRSK

1st Cameron Noble silk 4. RAADOBARG (IRE) 4/71.57f
2nd Connor Murtagh silk 14. SOLAR JOE 28/129
3rd Cam Hardie silk 5. FORD MADOX BROWN 7/18
J: Cameron Noble (3)  
T: Roger Varian  
11 ran. NRs: 10  15  16  6  9 
FULL RESULT

19:20 WARWICK

1st Jonjo O'Neill Jr. silk 5. GARRY CLERMONT (FR) 11/43.75f
2nd Mr Jack Andrews silk 6. XCITATIONS 6/17
3rd Lorcan Williams silk 6 1. ROCKADENN (FR) 7/18
11 ran. NRs: 10  2  3  8 
QUICK RESULT

19:05 THIRSK

1st James Sullivan silk 9. SOCIOLOGIST (FR) 11/26.5
2nd Jason Hart silk 6 4. DAAWY (IRE) 16/117
3rd Jack Garritty silk ¾ 1. FURZIG 5/16
T: Scott Dixon  
9 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

18:50 WARWICK

1st Harry Reed silk 4. SANDYMOUNT ROSE (IRE) 10/111.9f
2nd Robert Dunne silk 15 1. LIBERTY BELLA 2/13
J: Harry Reed  
3 ran. NRs: 3  5 
FULL RESULT

18:35 THIRSK

1st David Allan silk 8. BARNEY'S BAY 11/26.5
2nd Phil Dennis silk 7. BLOWING WIND (IRE) 18/119
3rd Andrew Mullen silk 2. KRAKEN POWER (IRE) 12/113
J: David Allan  
T: Tim Easterby  
14 ran. NRs: 1  4 
FULL RESULT

18:20 WARWICK

1st Robert Dunne silk 2. POUNDING POET (IRE) 11/43.75
2nd James Davies silk ¾ 9. I'M A STARMAN 11/26.5
3rd Charlie Hammond silk 5. ROSY WORLD 5/23.5f
J: Robert Dunne  
T: Tom Lacey  
10 ran. NRs: 1  6 
FULL RESULT

18:05 THIRSK

1st Cameron Noble silk 13. REDESDALE REBEL 11/112
2nd Kevin Stott silk 1 12. HIGHJACKED 9/25.5jf
3rd Callum Rodriguez silk ¾ 8. STALLONE (IRE) 9/25.5jf
4th Phil Dennis silk 4. JILL ROSE 15/28.5
J: Cameron Noble (3)  
18 ran. NRs: 19  7 
FULL RESULT

17:45 WARWICK

1st David Bass silk 11. SAYADAM (FR) 15/82.87
2nd Luca Morgan silk 6. MISTER WATSON 13/27.5
3rd Mr David Maxwell silk 17 2. KEPY BLANC (FR) 7/18
J: David Bass  
T: Kim Bailey  
11 ran. NRs: 5 
FULL RESULT

17:40 HEXHAM

1st Tom Midgley silk 1. BETTY BALOO 2/13
2nd Ryan Mania silk 8. STARSINHEREYES 16/117
3rd Brian Hughes silk 5. MOURNE LASS (IRE) 11/102.1f
J: Tom Midgley (7)  
T: Tim Easterby  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT
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