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Timeform's Tote Placepot: Saturday at Royal Ascot

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Every week, we’re using Timeform Race Passes to pick a Placepot for the headline card. Get our tips for Day Five of Royal Ascot 2021 on Saturday.

To make our Placepot selections – available below – we’ve used the Timeform ratings, Flags, Pace Map, Analyst Verdict and form archives – all of which you can access with Timeform Race Passes. Not a subscriber? Try it out with our Free Daily Race Pass, which is the (Group 1) Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot, due off at 16:20.

New to the Placepot?

For those unfamiliar with the Tote’s raceday ritual, the Placepot simply requires you to pick one horse to finish placed in each of the first six races of a given meeting. You can also add alternative horses to some or all of the races, or ‘legs’, to create more lines and boost your chances of winning. Until recently, the cost of each combination, or 'line' was set at £1, but Tote now allow online bettors to place just 10p on each line, as long as you meet the minimum total stake of 50p with your 'perm', or combination of lines.

If you’re successful, you’ll win an equal share of an overall pot (proportionate to your stake) made up of the stakes from all entries – no matter which placed horses made up your winning line(s), or what price they were. However, because of the way the Tote works, the fewer people who select your horses, the better your potential return. 

Our Selections

Leg 1: 14:30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed)

Aidan O’Brien has a cracking recent record in the Chesham, winning it three times in the last five years, so his sole representative Point Lonsdale looks the obvious place to start, but his current odds of 5/4 make little appeal and we’re going to look to the left-field for our selection in the Saturday opener.

First up we're going to include NEW SCIENCE in our two selections for the Chesham. Representing the in-form Charlie Appleby yard, he created a great impression when winning on debut at Yarmouth, a performance worthy of the Timeform Large 'P' being attached to his rating. The son of Lope De Vega does have 9lb to find on the likely favourite, but he's expected to improve plenty for that first run, and he can serve it up to Aidan O'Brien's charge.

One at a bigger price, WITHERING was sent off at 50/1 for his debut at Lingfield but made a very promising start to his racing career nonetheless. He took a while to get the hang of things, but once the penny dropped he thundered home between horses and just failed to win, with his closing sectionals earning him the Sectional Flag. He obviously has to improve on that effort but he can be expected to do so on just his second start, and he can be expected to come home strongly on the Ascot straight course, which should suit much better than Lingfield.

 

Leg 2: 15:05 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3)

A cracking renewal of the Jersey in which Charlie Appleby looks to hold a strong hand, Creative Force and Naval Crown setting a good standard, but it’s the other Godolphin runner we’re going to take a chance on at a much bigger price.

STORM DAMAGE comes here on the back of his winning debut at Kempton, form some way short of the horses at the head of the market, but he looked something out of the ordinary there with a power-packed debut performance. Racing wide throughout, he tanked along before forging clear and his performance was good on the clock, too. He’s by Night Of Thunder who’s progeny tend to go well with cut in the ground, so Friday’s forecast rain holds no fears, and he looks to be drawn well in stall 9 surrounded by plenty of pace to aim at. He can outrun his odds.

 

Leg 3: 15:40 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2)

Next up we have the Hardwicke Stakes, a race won by Sir Michael Stoute on a remarkable eleven ocassions, and he has Highest Ground representing him this time around. The one we're going to take a punt on however is William Haggas' progressive ILARAAB, who has gone from strength to strength this campaign, and has certainly earned this crack at a Group 2 prize. Highlighted as a 'Horse in Focus', Ilaraab has won his last six starts in a row, and is still open to further improvement, as the Timeform small 'p' attached to his rating denotes. Stepping up in grade, he ticks plenty of boxes, particularly that he handles soft ground and has just 5lb to find on our weight-adjusted ratings, so we're hopeful of a bold effort from him as he steps in to pattern company.

Leg 4: 16:20 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1)

On to the day's feature now, and this looks a cracking renewal if all the leading contenders line up for it on Saturday afternoon, including Dream Of Dreams who was narrowly edged out 12 months ago. From a ratings perspective, it's Ed Walker's Starman who tops our ratings, and looks a sprinter going places, though his only defeat to date came in this last year, and with similar conditions likely for this year's race which may yet rule him out altogether, we're keen to take him on.

The one we're going to opt for is the British Champion Sprint Stakes winner GLEN SHIEL. Hollie Doyle landed her first ever Group 1 victory on him at this course on Champions Day back in October, accounting for the two market principles that day, and she will be looking to bag her first Royal Ascot Group 1 triumph on him too. Deploying typical front-running tactics should enhance his chances here, at a track where positive tactics are often advantageous, and he doesn't have a great deal to find on ratings.

 

Leg 5: 17:00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap)

King’s Lynn could be thrown in here off 100 after his luckless run in the Group 1 King’s Stand Stakes on Tuesday where we think he would have placed at the very least granted a clear run. However, this big field handicap is a completely different ball game and we’re going to look elsewhere for a bit of value, with three selections in the race.

TIS MARVELLOUS is an Ascot specialist, finishing fourth behind Battaash in last year’s King’s Stand and second in this behind Cape Byron two years ago, and he goes off the same mark as his 2019 effort here. His last run looks a strong bit of form too, finishing two lengths behind King’s Lynn at Newbury who boosted that form on Tuesday, and he gets a handy pull at the weights with that rival here. His draw in 6 could potentially be better, but you can expect him to be flashing home late and fast under Derby-winning jockey Adam Kirby.

Another who has a decent record from his trips to Ascot is the James Fanshawe-trained FRESH. A quick glance at the Timeform Race Pass for the Wokingham flags him up as 'Horse for Course Positive', and he got back to winning ways here last time out, weaving his way through in good style to land an 18-runner Handicap. Fresh shouldn't be too inconvenienced by the soft ground, having won on good to soft previously, though very testing conditions do remain an unknown with this son of Bated Breath.

We’ve had two who meet criteria on Flags and form, and for our third and final selection we’ll consider how the race is likely to pan out, and who looks set to benefit. The Pace Forecast reads ‘Extreme’ and with at least two more likely to have been sat in midfield already taken out, that view can only be consolidated. It’s clear looking at the Pace Map that those drawn low and down the centre are likely to make the running, and it’s possible those drawn stands-side will be left better-placed as a result. The going must be taken into account also and one who’s shown himself game in all conditions is the veteran MR LUPTON, drawn 28. He looks well-handicapped on his best form, up only 4lbs for a win at York, and another race run to benefit those held up can see him in a good light yet again.

 

Leg 6: 17:35 - Golden Gates Stakes (Handicap)

With so many to attempt to rule out here, we’ll take the same tack as for the preceding selection and find a less-popular pick who looks likely to have the run of the race.

However, given the predicted strong pace at a trip and track where hold-up horses generally have an advantage anyway, and the general bias at this distance towards those drawn high, the eye is drawn strongly to ALFAADHEL – not least as he carries the Horse In Focus and Sectional Flags, and is top rated. With a victory on soft already under his belt, he’s impossible to ignore.

For those keen on a gamble, IRISH LEGEND also fits the bill, and makes appeal at a current price of around 20/1 for a yard who once again have hit form at this time of the year. He won his maiden on Heavy going so soft ground doesn’t look to be a concern, and given this Sea The Stars colt escaped too much of a penalty after his last win when all out to hold on in a blanket finish, any improvement here could well see him in the frame.

 

Timeform Placepot perm;

Leg 1: 3, 8 Leg 2: 15 Leg 3: 6 Leg 4: Leg 5: 6, 8,27 Leg 6: 6,14.

2 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 3 x 2 = 12 lines

 
 

 

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Free Daily Race Pass (Result)

GOODWOOD 15:35

Friday 30 July
13. SUESA (IRE) 1st
William Buick silk William Buick
Francois Rohaut, France
11. DRAGON SYMBOL 2nd
Oisin Murphy silk Oisin Murphy
Archie Watson
9. GLASS SLIPPERS 3rd
Tom Eaves silk Tom Eaves
Kevin Ryan
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

17:50 NEWMARKET (JULY)

1st Tom Marquand silk 6. TWILIGHT MADNESS 15/28.5
2nd Jack Mitchell silk 7. CHIPSTEAD 3/14f
3rd Adam Kirby silk ¾ 8. LION RING (IRE) 16/117
J: Tom Marquand  
9 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

17:40 MUSSELBURGH

1st Miss Becky Smith silk 4. OUT OF BREATH 9/43.25f
2nd Miss Emily Easterby silk hd 1. CHIEF CRAFTSMAN 14/115
3rd Miss Violet Barton silk ¾ 8. DREAM POINT (IRE) 8/19
T: Grant Tuer  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:30 GALWAY

1st C. P. McNamara silk 8. JAZZAWAY (IRE) 9/110
2nd S. Fitzgerald silk hd 12. WESTERN VICTORY (IRE) 10/111
3rd Miss A. B. O'Connor silk 18. LITTERALE CI (FR) 11/112
4th D. J. O'Keeffe silk ½ 16. LINE OUT (IRE) 40/141
J: C. P. McNamara (3)  
19 ran. NRs: 21  22  23  5 
QUICK RESULT

17:25 BATH

1st Charles Bishop silk 4. PORTELET BAY 5/16
2nd Ryan Tate silk ¾ 5. RUBY COTTAGE (IRE) 11/43.75f
T: David Evans  
7 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

17:20 GOODWOOD

1st Ryan Moore silk 1. WINK OF AN EYE 11/43.75f
2nd Joe Fanning silk nk 5. STATE OF BLISS (IRE) 14/115
3rd Oisin Murphy silk hd 13. SCAMPI 13/27.5
J: Ryan Moore  
11 ran. NRs: 11  3  4 
FULL RESULT

17:15 NEWMARKET (JULY)

1st Hayley Turner silk 11. MAJESTIC GLORY 11/82.37f
2nd Dane O'Neill silk 1. ALFLAILA 13/82.62
3rd David Egan silk 7. MYSTERY FOX (IRE) 4/15
9 ran. NRs: 3  4 
FULL RESULT

17:00 GALWAY

1st Denis O'Regan silk 2. ARCADIAN SUNRISE (IRE) 5/16
2nd D. G. Hogan silk ½ 12. BUA BOY (IRE) 10/111
3rd B. J. Cooper silk 5 14. THE LITTLE YANK (IRE) 8/19
4th M. P. O'Connor silk 9. GOULANE CHOSEN (IRE) 50/151
17 ran. NRs: 1  15 
FULL RESULT

16:55 BANGOR-ON-DEE

1st Ben Jones silk 6. GLENDRUID (IRE) 5/23.5jf
2nd K. Brogan silk 9. WHITE WALKER 5/23.5jf
3rd Luca Morgan silk 4. NORLEY (IRE) 9/25.5
J: Ben Jones  
8 ran. NRs: 10  11  7 
FULL RESULT

16:50 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Harry Russell silk 6. TYCHE 9/110
2nd John Egan silk sh 9. BOY GEORGE 5/16
3rd Pat Cosgrave silk 1. INEXPLICABLE (IRE) 7/18
J: Harry Russell (3)  
11 ran. NRs: 4  5 
FULL RESULT
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