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Timeform's Tote Placepot: Saturday at Kempton

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Every week, we’re using Timeform Race Passes to pick a Placepot for the headline card. Get our tips and best bets for Saturday's racing at Kempton.

To make our Placepot selections – available below – we’ve used the Timeform ratings, Flags, Pace Map, Analyst Verdict and form archives – all of which you can access with Timeform Race Passes. Not a subscriber? Try it out with our Free Daily Race Pass, which is the feature race of the day, the 15:00 Classic Handicap Chase at Warwick.

 

New to the Placepot?

For those unfamiliar with the Tote’s raceday ritual, the Placepot simply requires you to pick one horse to finish placed in each of the first six races of a given meeting. You can also add alternative horses to some or all of the races, or ‘legs’, to create more lines and boost your chances of winning. Until recently, the cost of each combination, or 'line' was set at £1, but Tote now allow online bettors to place just 10p on each line, as long as you meet the minimum total stake of 50p with your 'perm', or combination of lines.

If you’re successful, you’ll win an equal share of an overall pot (proportionate to your stake) made up of the stakes from all entries – no matter which placed horses made up your winning line(s), or what price they were. However, because of the way the Tote works, the fewer people who select your horses, the better your potential return.

 

Our Selections

Leg 1: 12:20 - Play Coral 'Racing-Super Series' For Free Juvenile Hurdle

Of the five runners set to contest this, only two have had their first starts over hurdles, neither of whom have set the bar too high. With that in mind, a chance is taken on DIRHAM EMIRATI, who looks an interesting recruit for the in-form Gary Moore team. He was a fairly useful performer on the flat, and he can go close in the opener on his first start for his new connections.

 

Leg 2: 12:55 - Watch Racing Free Online At Coral Novices' Hurdle

'Horse in Focus' REE OKKA got off the mark over hurdles at the second time of asking when striking at Chepstow, whilst the form of his hurdling debut, in which he finished second, is starting to work out well, with the winner that day placing twice in Grade 2 company since, whilst the third and eighth placed horses have come out and won. Ree Okka sets the standard on our weight-adjusted ratings, and has the small 'p' attached to his rating, which denotes there could be further improvement to come, and we're hopeful that he can make it two wins from three starts, for a Harry Fry team who have a 19.67% strike-rate at Kempton over the past 5 seasons.

 

Leg 3: 13:32 - Coral 'Fail-To-Finish' Free Bets Handicap Chase

A field of seven set to battle this one out, and we're going to side CHAMPAGNE COURT to land the spoils. You have to look back to 2019 for his last victory over fences, but he showed he still retains plenty of ability when scoring on his latest start over hurdles last month.

A quick glance at the Timeform Pace Map suggests that we're likely to see a 'very weak' pace in this race, which should set the race up nicely for those on the front-end. With that in mind, Champagne Court looks sure to be well placed to make his effort, from a ratings perspective he has just 1lb to find with Kap Auteuil, and the Jeremy Scott yard have been going great guns as of late, with 7 winners from his last 24 runners. So plenty of boxes ticked there, and he's our selection for Leg 3.

 

Leg 4: 14:05 - Coral Silviniaco Conti Chase (Grade 2)

The small field theme continues here, and with just four in this Grade 2 feature, finding the winner is a must. This happens to be another contest where there is a 'very weak' pace predicted, and with no obvious front-runner lining up amongst these, this looks like it may well become a tactical heat.

Rouge Vif made his yard debut for Paul Nicholls in the Shloer Chase when soundly beaten back in November, and he's still trying to rediscover his best form. The latter comment also applies to 7-time Grade 1 winner Defi Du Seuil, who is clearly capable of much better but posted another below par effort when last in action, and he'll certainly need to bounce back if he's to get back on the winning trail - with his Timeform report comments suggesting he's "best watched at present".

The one we're going to side with though is the Colin Tizzard-trained ELDORADO ALLEN, who has produced a couple of decent efforts this campaign already, and he gets our vote. He made a winning return to action at Exeter before putting in another good effort in the Peterborough Chase when cliaming third, and he ranks the most solid option in what looks a tricky contest. It's also worth noting the Timeform race report which followed his Exeter triumph, which reads "his potential to improve further lies primarily with returning to 2½m", and hopefully he will realise some of that promise now stepping up in trip here.

 

Leg 5: 14:40 - Coral Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed)

A typically competitive renewal of the Lanzarote, and a case can be made for plenty in this lineup. We're going to chance two against the field in this year's renewal in the hope of navigating through to the final leg of this week's Placepot.

The first of our selections comes in the shape of CH'TIBELLO, who represents the Dan Skelton team. He's had a couple of runs already this campaign so should be spot on from a fitness perspective, and has shown signs that he still retains plenty of his old ability. This year's renewal of the Lanzarote looks likely to be run at a very strong gallop, as is often the case, and if that proves to be, then the race may suit Ch'tibello's patient hold-up tactics. Talented 7lb claimer Tristan Durrell maintains the partnership on the 2019 County Hurdle winner, and hopefully he can pick up the pieces in the closing stages if they go too hard out in front.

Similarly, we're going to chance one at a bigger price who will also benefit from a pace collapse here. Step forward BOLD PLAN, who has almost always been ridden in midfield or further back, and is in fact one of very few runners about which such a comment can be made. It’s also a big part of the reason he carries a question mark for his rating – despite not running to form for two years, he has been left poorly positioned in at least two of his three races this season and did not have a hard race when never involved last time. However, as the report reads for that outing, he “will be well treated if/when he bounces back”. He’s around 25/1 at the time of writing and whilst market support or lack thereof may help establish his fitness come Saturday morning, and if he ever is to bounce back, this is the sort of contest in which it looks most likely to happen.

 

Leg 6: 15:15 - Coral Committed To Safer Gambling Handicap Chase

Regular readers may recall us putting up CARIBEAN BOY at Ascot before Christmas, on which occasion he made a rare jumping lapse at the first, costing the unfortunate Daryl Jacob his extended current spell out of the saddle. That recommendation was partly based on the fine record of Nicky Henderson at Ascot, who is similarly prolific in chases here at Kempton – as is replacement rider James Bowen, who appears to excel over fences here, placed in eight of his 12 such rides here over the last five seasons.

More importantly, to renew the case for the horse: despite being top-weight he runs off his lowest mark since his last handicap win nearly two years ago (1lb off top-rated), picking up a Grade 2 novice since, and Kempton’s flat track may be the perfect place to first conquer 3m (not counting his very brief previous effort) – as indeed it has been for so many before him including King George winner Tornado Flyer. After all, Caribbean Boy stayed on well over 2m 4f the last twice at Cheltenham and both those times he was probably caught too far back in big fields, which looks unlikely to be the case this weekend. The reapplication of headgear should count in his favour, too.

 

Timeform Placepot perm;

Leg 1: 3 Leg 2: 3 Leg 3: 5 Leg 4: 1 Leg 5: 2,18 Leg 6: 1.

1 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 2 x 1 = 2 lines

 
 

 

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ASCOT 15:35

Saturday 22 January
4. SHISHKIN (IRE) 189p
Nico de Boinville silk Nico de Boinville horse in focus
Nicky Henderson
2. ENERGUMENE (FR) 188p
P. Townend silk P. Townend horse in focus
W. P. Mullins, Ireland hot trainer
3. FIRST FLOW (IRE) 179
David Bass silk David Bass horse for course
Kim Bailey
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

14:35 HAYDOCK PARK

1st Charlie Deutsch silk 1. ROYALE PAGAILLE (FR) 5/23.5f
2nd Aidan Coleman silk 3. SAM BROWN 8/19
3rd Hugh Nugent silk 9. FORTESCUE 16/117
All 10 ran.
QUICK RESULT

14:30 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Sean Levey silk 6. KODIAS SANGARIUS (IRE) 12/113
2nd Hollie Doyle silk ns 8. LITTLE PRAYER (IRE) 9/110
3rd Tom Marquand silk nk 4. LUCKY MAN (IRE) 3/14
J: Sean Levey  
10 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

14:20 ASCOT

1st Harry Skelton silk 1. MOLLY OLLYS WISHES 13/82.62f
2nd P. Townend silk 2. MY SISTER SARAH (IRE) 3/14
T: Dan Skelton  
5 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

14:15 NAVAN

1st B. Hayes silk 14. MACS CHARM (IRE) 12/113
2nd J. W. Kennedy silk ½ 2. BANKS BOY (IRE) 14/115
3rd Keith Donoghue silk 11 4. ENDLESSLY (IRE) 13/27.5
4th S. F. O'Keeffe silk 15. ARAGON (IRE) 28/129
J: B. Hayes  
26 ran. NRs: 16  28  29 
FULL RESULT

14:08 TAUNTON

1st Lee Edwards silk 1. WHATSDASTORY (IRE) 9/110
2nd Bryony Frost silk 3. FORTUNES MELODY 7/24.5jf
3rd Thomas Doggrell silk 5 5. MOLLY CAREW 7/24.5jf
J: Lee Edwards  
All 8 ran.
QUICK RESULT

14:00 HAYDOCK PARK

1st Danny McMenamin silk 6. TOMMY'S OSCAR (IRE) 4/71.57f
2nd Kielan Woods silk 5 3. GLOBAL CITIZEN (IRE) 25/126
T: Ann Hamilton  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

13:55 LINGFIELD PARK

1st Darragh Keenan silk 8. SHOOT TO KILL (IRE) 14/115
2nd Daniel Muscutt silk nk 1. DIDEROT 2/13f
3rd Hollie Doyle silk ¾ 2. KEYSER SOZE (IRE) 9/110
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

13:45 ASCOT

1st Harry Skelton silk 9. UNEXPECTED PARTY (FR) 3/14f
2nd Nico de Boinville silk 3. FILS D'OUDAIRIES (FR) 5/16
3rd Jonjo O'Neill Jr. silk 4 1. GARRY CLERMONT (FR) 9/25.5
T: Dan Skelton  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

13:40 NAVAN

1st S. F. O'Keeffe silk 5. THE VERY MAN (IRE) 20/121
2nd Patrick O'Hanlon silk 13. PALACE ROCK (IRE) 4/15cf
3rd A. P. Kelly silk sh 10. BREAD AND BUTTER (IRE) 15/28.5
4th J. J. Slevin silk 11. HOMME D'UN SOIR (FR) 33/134
All 17 ran.
FULL RESULT
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