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Timeform Expert View: Saturday at Doncaster and Newbury

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For the final time this Flat season, Timeform Flat Editor David Johnson runs through his best bets for Saturday's ITV Racing action at Doncaster and Newbury.

 

15:30 Doncaster - SCOTT DOBSON MEMORIAL NURSERY HANDICAP

I’ll be looking to Megallan and Baradar to run well in the Futurity Trophy thirty-five minutes earlier, even if they aren’t able to beat Wembley, as a horse that split these when third at Newbury last time looks to have plenty in his favour and that is JUMBY.

He was really impressive when making a winning debut at Ascot in July, form that worked out really well. He’s had excuses since, especially last time where he was caught out of his ground in a steadily-run race over 1m. I think coming back to 7f is going to suit, as will this bigger field, with a couple in there that look likely to go forward.

William Buick taking the ride for the first time also looks a positive and I’d make Jumby favourite to win this, even up against recent winners Sir Maxi and Conservatoire.

 

 

16:10 Newbury – PRAVHA STAKES (St Simon) (Group 3)

The St Simon Stakes looks a really good betting heat because the favourite is a horse I couldn’t have on my mind under these conditions. Raymond Tusk is returning from an absence having been off since disappointing on all-weather in January. He usually races over further and is unproven in conditions as he’ll get on Saturday. He won an all-weather fast-track qualifier last winter, and I think this is likely to be a prep for a winter campaign rather than a specific target.

Euchen Glen is also prominent in the betting, but he has a penalty for winning a Cumberland Lodge that fell apart around him, and while Alounak arguably looks a big price on his second in the Hardwicke, he’s disappointed too often to trust.

I think the race is ripe for an upset and it could be NATURAL HISTORY that causes it. He progressed well as a 3-y-o, but was then off the track for two years, but he’s continued his relentless progress this autumn to win both his races, including at Goodwood last time. That was on heavy, so conditions will be fine here and it’s interesting his in-form trainer is stepping him up in grade rather than saving him for something like the November Handicap.

 

 

16:45 Newbury - DOWNLOAD THE tote PLACEPOT APP HANDICAP

Tempus and Surrey Pride were always likely to be at the head of the betting in this given their profile but neither look bomb-proof in the conditions, Tempus yet to show he wants a slog as he steps up in trip while Surrey Pride is yet to prove his effectiveness in conditions this deep and may end up further back than ideal if his regular tactics are adopted.

One who has no such doubts about him is AASHEQ who is at his best at this trip when the mud is flying and put up easily his best effort of the year when second to very progressive 3-y-o Ilarab at York last time, the pair pulling clear. A 5 lb rise for that still leaves Aasheq well treated on his best form and he makes plenty of appeal with Jim Crowley taking over from the injured David Allan.

 
 
 

 

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LUDLOW 13:30

Wednesday 02 December
2. MIRANDA (IRE) 148
Mr Angus Cheleda silk Mr Angus Cheleda horse for course
Paul Nicholls
3. MIDNIGHTS' GIFT 147
Tom Cannon silk Tom Cannon
Alan King
1. CUBSWIN (IRE) 146
Bryony Frost silk Bryony Frost
Neil King
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

20:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Ben Curtis silk 4. ELAKAZAAM (IRE) 25/126
2nd Luke Morris silk ½ 1. ROYAL PLEASURE (IRE) 10/111.9f
3rd Joe Fanning silk 2. ALFAYAATH (USA) 4/15
J: Ben Curtis  
T: K. R. Burke  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st George Downing silk 4. WORD OF HONOUR 14/115
2nd Jimmy Quinn silk 10. KODI KOH (IRE) 14/115
3rd Stefano Cherchi silk 13. LADY FATMA (USA) 11/112
T: Sean Curran  
12 ran. NRs: 11 
FULL RESULT

19:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Hollie Doyle silk 3. REGAL EAGLE (IRE) 11/102.1f
2nd William Humphrey silk 1 10. BLUE WHISPER 20/121
3rd Jack Garritty silk 9. RED SKYE DELIGHT (IRE) 40/141
J: Hollie Doyle  
T: David Evans  
All 13 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st David Probert silk 6. DE VEGAS KID (IRE) 10/111
2nd Joe Fanning silk hd 3. RED BOND (IRE) 11/43.75f
T: Tony Carroll  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Hollie Doyle silk 6. BEAUTY STONE (IRE) 5/16
2nd Jack Garritty silk 1. QUOTELINE DIRECT 10/34.33jf
3rd Georgia Dobie silk 4 5. LADY OF AUTHORITY 16/117
J: Hollie Doyle  
T: Tom Ward  
11 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT

17:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Harry Russell silk 1. MUTABAAHY (IRE) 10/34.33jf
2nd Adam McNamara silk hd 7. CHITRA 9/110
3rd Liam Keniry silk nk 4. SECRETFACT 9/25.5
J: Harry Russell (5)  
9 ran. NRs: 11  5 
FULL RESULT

17:15 NEWCASTLE

1st Jason Hart silk 7. LOOK OUT LOUIS 9/25.5
2nd Kieran Schofield silk 6. LUCKY LODGE 17/29.5
3rd Daniel Tudhope silk hd 8. MEDICINE JACK 11/43.75f
J: Jason Hart  
8 ran. NRs: 5 
FULL RESULT

17:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st David Probert silk 4. AUTUMN WAR (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd Ben Curtis silk 2. THAI TERRIER (USA) 7/24.5
T: Ian Williams  
7 ran. NRs: 1  6 
FULL RESULT

16:45 NEWCASTLE

1st Andrew Mullen silk 6. ROHAAN (IRE) 4/15
2nd Tom Marquand silk 7. ATTABOY ROY (IRE) 13/82.62f
3rd Paul Hanagan silk 9. BABE ALICIOUS (IRE) 14/115
T: David Evans  
13 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT
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