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Grand National Tips and Best Bets

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Nic Doggett picks out horses at 40/1, 40/1 and 33/1 to back in the 2019 Randox Health Grand National.

Gordon Elliott holds the key to the 2019 Randox Health Grand National. After all, this might be the first year that bookmakers ‘bet without the favourite’ as standard, with last year’s hero Tiger Roll now as short as 7/2 for a repeat win after two bloodless victories this season.

Tiger Roll’s claims are there for all to see – he jumped well en-route to winning 12 months ago, and appeared to be idling when nearly caught by a rallying Pleasant Company – so a 9 lb higher mark may not be enough to stop him winning again, especially if played later in the day by big-race jockey Davy Russell.

 

However, there is plenty of each-way value around.

Elliott, who first won the Grand National in 2007 with Silver Birch, also saddled Bless The Wings to be third last year and he has made no secret of his desire to run as many horses as possible in both the English and Irish versions of the race.

Bless The Wings races off the same mark and has bounced back from poor runs in the past, but he is now 14 and isn’t guaranteed a run at this stage (number 50 on the list), so of more interest from the Elliott battalion are the 40/1 shots Noble Endeavor and General Principle.

Noble Endeavor didn’t cut much ice at Cheltenham last time but had previously enjoyed a nice ‘sighter’ of these unique Grand National fences when mid-field in the Becher Chase, and he has a proven record in big-field races, having won the 28-runner Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown back in late-2016.

 

General Principle is also at home in a melee, as he showed when winning the Irish Grand National a year ago. He is only 5 lb higher here and has a nice light weight, so rates a much more interesting contender than his recent effort – where he was pulled up after being hampered late on – at Cheltenham might suggest. He was in the process of running a big race before making a bad mistake at the 15th, and though he doesn’t have experience of these fences, he looks the type who could relish the challenge.

The Irish contingent look very strong, with recent Bobbyjo Chase winner Rathvinden, Leinster National winner Pairofbrowneyes, and Pleasant Company (7 lb higher than last year but loved jumping the fences in general that day) leading a strong Willie Mullins team. The Tony Martin-trained Anibale Fly, who was fourth last year after taking the scenic route throughout, is respected, though carrying top-weight on quick ground is unlikely to suit him ideally.

Trevor Hemmings has owned three winners of the Grand National - Hedgehunter (2005), Ballabriggs (2011) and Many Clouds (2015) – and he has two leading candidates in Lake View Lad and Vintage Clouds, both of whom have taken their form up a notch this season, however the most overpriced British-trained runner could be Walk In The Mill at 33/1. He’s not guaranteed a run (48 on the list), but impressed with the way he jumped when winning the Becher here in December and his two runs over hurdles since should have put him spot on for this big day.

A handicap mark of 144 isn’t insurmountable on the face of it, and – having been ruled out of this race with injury late in the day last year – he can make up for lost time with a big effort.

To sum up, Go Conquer, Abolitionist, Mall Dini and Ramses de Teillee are others to pay close attention to, but the advice at this stage is to back Noble Endeavor, General Principle and Walk In The Mill each-way at big prices.

Recommended bets (all each-way):

Noble Endeavor

 

General Principle

 

Walk In The Mill

 
 

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ASCOT 15:35

Saturday 22 January
4. SHISHKIN (IRE) 189p
Nico de Boinville silk Nico de Boinville horse in focus
Nicky Henderson
2. ENERGUMENE (FR) 188p
P. Townend silk P. Townend horse in focus
W. P. Mullins, Ireland hot trainer
3. FIRST FLOW (IRE) 179
David Bass silk David Bass horse for course
Kim Bailey
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

19:15 DUNDALK

1st Sam Ewing silk 4. AJAX TAVERN 10/111
2nd Seamie Heffernan silk 10. NO SPEED LIMIT (FR) 6/17
3rd C. J. MacRedmond silk ½ 13. EGLISH 33/134
J: Sam Ewing (5)  
14 ran. NRs: 15  16  17 
FULL RESULT

19:00 NEWCASTLE

1st Christian Howarth silk dh 6. TOMMY TAYLOR (USA) 11/26.5
1st Mark Winn silk 4. ASADJUMEIRAH 15/28.5
3rd Laura Coughlan silk 1 8. SOMEWHERE SECRET 18/119
J: Christian Howarth (3)   Mark Winn (7)  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:45 DUNDALK

1st C. D. Maxwell silk 13. SINGSONG LADY (IRE) 25/126
2nd S. P. Davis silk ¾ 12. SILK DAMASK (IRE) 5/16
3rd Ben Martin Coen silk ¾ 9. KADINNKA (IRE) 6/52.2f
14 ran. NRs: 15  16  17 
FULL RESULT

18:30 NEWCASTLE

1st Dale Swift silk 1. ATRAFAN (IRE) 5/16
2nd Andrew Mullen silk sh 11. SLEIGHT 80/181
3rd Tom Marquand silk 1 8. ROYAL HEART (FR) 9/110
J: Dale Swift  
T: Alan Brown  
13 ran. NRs: 2 
FULL RESULT

18:15 DUNDALK

1st R. P. Whelan silk 3. PRETREVILLE (FR) 12/113
2nd Declan McDonogh silk 4. THUNDER MOON (IRE) 4/51.8f
J: R. P. Whelan  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:00 NEWCASTLE

1st Mark Crehan silk 5. SIP AND SMILE (IRE) 3/14
2nd Jack Mitchell silk 4. LORD PARAMOUNT 6/52.2f
3rd P. J. McDonald silk 10. SWEET AROMA (IRE) 9/25.5
J: Mark Crehan (3)  
10 ran. NRs: 11 
FULL RESULT

17:45 DUNDALK

1st J. Coen silk 2. SANGRIA (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd D. W. O'Connor silk 2 5. COUSIN SHAY 9/43.25f
J: J. Coen (7)  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:30 NEWCASTLE

1st James Sullivan silk 1. SUGAR BABY 11/82.37f
2nd Joe Fanning silk ¾ 7. JOSHUA R (IRE) 13/27.5
3rd Zak Wheatley silk 2 5. MUATADEL 13/27.5
T: Peter Niven  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:30 MEYDAN

1st Pat Cosgrave silk 11. DUBAI ICON 22/1
2nd Tadhg O'Shea silk 6. REMORSE (IRE) 11/1
3rd Frankie Dettori silk 9 8. BIG TEAM (USA) 8/1
J: Pat Cosgrave  
All 16 ran.
FULL RESULT
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