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Timeform Jumps Timefigures

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Thanks to an increasingly vast amount of sectional data unavailable elsewhere, Timeform will be returning timefigures from all jumps courses in the UK, as well as selected jumps courses in Ireland.

What are jumps timefigures?

For those jumps enthusiasts unconcerned with timefigures until now and unaware of the definition of what one is, it’s a representation of the time value of a performance and not an absolute reflection of the time of the race itself. Any winning time recorded on any jumps card has to be put in context.

Two-mile hurdle winners on lively ground at Haydock in the spring aren’t going to record times as slow as those recorded at the same trip on heavy ground in the depths of winter; however, the time value of a winning performance on heavy ground might easily be higher than one from a race run in a much faster time under quicker conditions once key contextual factors - such as weights carried and the ability of the horses involved - are accounted for. Weight-for-age is a crucial variable on the Flat, but is much less important over jumps as most horses are at or are nearer full maturity.

All jumps timefigures are on the same scale as the Timeform ratings, so a top-class timefigure, or time performance, would be in the region of 170 or more.

Why are jumps timefigures important?

The project has been in the planning for some time, but only since the BHA – following pressure from several parties, including Timeform - instigated changes in 2015 to the ways race distances were accurately measured, has work been able to be undertaken properly.

The further stipulation from the BHA that any additional or reduced yardage must be made public so the exact race distance - and not an approximation of it as existed previously – is known, has increased confidence in the data we are analysing.

The importance of this directive over jumps can’t be understated.

Whereas the addition of several yards to a mile race on the Flat might only extend the distance of the original race by a minimal amount, the same certainly can’t be said for an extra 100 yards added to a two-mile race over hurdles; such differences can have major ramifications for timefigures if they go unreported.

That’s still largely the situation in Ireland, unfortunately, which is the reason why only selected courses (whose historical race times and distances have stood up to close scrutiny) will have timefigures returned from them. However, it seems several courses are belatedly making efforts to return accurate distances before racing starts, so more Irish courses may yet be covered in the future.

How are jumps timefigures calculated?

To combat the problems of comparing the merit of times at the same distance at two vastly different venues, such as Cheltenham or Aintree, we make use of something called a ‘standard’ time. The mathematics of this is much more complicated than simply taking record times, or averaging the best 10 times from the last five years irrespective of the abilities of the horses that recorded them. In short, this then gives us a variety of times we can expect a 140-rated horse carrying weight-for-age (usually 12-7) to record under the same conditions at different tracks.  

One of the challenges with returning timefigures is establishing the ‘correct’ level of the timefigures. That task has been made easier by assimilating sectional times and upgrades into the calculation of the jumps figures, so if the sectional evidence points to none of the races on the card being truly run, then the level of the timefigures across the meeting will be set accordingly. The methodology for calculating upgrades has been revised from that used in the Jumps archive in that slowly-run races are now upgraded more.

As well as returning timefigures on an ongoing basis, a set of timefigures covering the same performances recorded in the Jumps sectional archive has also been made available.

Timeform jumps timefigures are available in Timeform Race Cards and Timeform Race Passes.    

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MARKET RASEN 14:40

Thursday 17 January
4. MRS HYDE (IRE) 122
Paddy Brennan silk Paddy Brennan
Fergal O'Brien
5. SHANTEWE (IRE) 118
Gavin Sheehan silk Gavin Sheehan
Jamie Snowden
1. A PERFECT GIFT (IRE) 114+
Aidan Coleman silk Aidan Coleman
Olly Murphy
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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

20:00 KEMPTON PARK

1st Callum Shepherd silk 6. COSMOGYRAL (IRE) 7/18
2nd Eoin Walsh silk ½ 4. EMBER'S GLOW 6/17
3rd Joey Haynes silk sh 5. SINGING THE BLUES (IRE) 11/43.75f
13 ran. NRs: 12 
FULL RESULT

19:30 KEMPTON PARK

1st David Probert silk 2. CHLOELLIE 3/14
2nd Rossa Ryan silk nk 6. VIOLET'S LADS (IRE) 9/25.5
3rd Nicky Mackay silk 5. CHICA DE LA NOCHE 5/23.5f
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:00 KEMPTON PARK

1st Hollie Doyle silk 6. HAPPY ESCAPE 7/24.5
2nd Paddy Mathers silk 9. HAMMER GUN (USA) 20/121
3rd Franny Norton silk nk 3. EXCHEQUER (IRE) 7/24.5
J: Hollie Doyle  
T: Tony Carroll  
8 ran. NRs: 5 
FULL RESULT

18:30 KEMPTON PARK

1st Robert Winston silk 1. DOC SPORTELLO (IRE) 10/111
2nd Grace McEntee silk ½ 5. BERNIE'S BOY 11/112
T: Tony Carroll  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:00 KEMPTON PARK

1st Amelia Glass silk 5. LITTLE PALAVER 11/112
1st Adam Kirby silk 0 8. MONT KIARA (FR) 10/111
3rd Callum Shepherd silk sh 2. TREACHEROUS 7/18
J: Amelia Glass (7)   Adam Kirby  
T: Clive Cox   Simon Dow  
11 ran. NRs: 12 
FULL RESULT

17:30 KEMPTON PARK

1st Robert Havlin silk 1. HOLY HEART (IRE) 6/42.5f
2nd P. J. McDonald silk ¾ 6. JUANITO CHICO (IRE) 9/110
T: John Gosden  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:00 KEMPTON PARK

1st David Probert silk 9. TARGET ZONE 2/13
2nd Luke Morris silk 3. BATTLE OF PARADISE (USA) 11/26.5
3rd Rossa Ryan silk 6. IFREET (QA) 40/141
All 14 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:30 KEMPTON PARK

1st Alistair Rawlinson silk 6. CASHEL (IRE) 4/15
2nd Shelley Birkett silk ½ 3. GAS MONKEY 7/18
3rd Robert Winston silk ½ 2. CAPE GRECO (USA) 11/82.37f
13 ran. NRs: 9 
FULL RESULT

16:10 PLUMPTON

1st Daryl Jacob silk 4. GENEROUS JACK (IRE) 11/43.75
2nd Tom O'Brien silk 8 2. KING MURO 12/113
3rd Thomas Garner silk 4 6. HAB SAB (IRE) 33/134
J: Daryl Jacob  
T: Suzi Best  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT
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