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Stat Selector: Saturday February 24

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Our free Stat Selector has been in good form this week. Find out today's three best bets, picked out using the most interesting trends and statistics.

Poker Play - Chepstow 15:40

Smart Stat: 2 - David Pipe's number of winners in past 4 runnings.

Poker Play bounced back to form when 11 lengths third to Lovenormoney in a handicap at Exeter last time, despite finding the test too much on heavy ground. Conditions at Chepstow should be less demanding and from a 1 lb lower mark with cheekpieces on for the first time, a bold bid is expected in a race his trainer has won twice in the last four years.

 

I’dliketheoption - Kempton 16:10

Smart Stat: £21.50 - Jonjo O'Neill's profit with chasers running after a break since the start of the 2011/12 season

Smart Stat: 28% - Barry Geraghty's strike rate at KEMPTON PARK since the start of the 2012/13 season

I’dliketheoption won a handicap at Market Rasen (by 3½ lengths from Voix d'Eau) in May and had little go right when 27¾ lengths thirteenth to Alcala in Summer Plate at same course last time, forced wide early and clouting third. He has conditions to suit here, his trainer does well with chasers returning after a break, and he’s one from two for today’s jockey Barry Geraghty.

 

Overtown Express - Chepstow 16:15

Smart Stat: £27.62 - Harry Fry's profit with only one runner on the card (chases) since the start of the 2011/12 season

Smart Stat: 30% - Harry Fry's strike rate with chasers at up to 2m3f since the start of the 2011/12 season

Overtown Express won a 2m handicap at Newbury (by 10 lengths from Rock On Rocky) in December and the his run is best excused when 8 lengths last of 4 to Modus in a graduation event at Kempton last time. He acts on heavy going and is expected to bounce back to form here, representing Harry Fry who has a fine record when targeting one horse at a meeting.

 

 

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ASCOT 4:20

Wednesday 20 June
2. CRACKSMAN 150
Frankie Dettori silk Frankie Dettori
John Gosden hot trainer
5. HAWKBILL (USA) 139
William Buick silk William Buick
Charlie Appleby
6. POET'S WORD (IRE) 138
James Doyle silk James Doyle
Sir Michael Stoute hot trainer
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1:40 HAMILTON PARK

1st Jamie Gormley silk 4. I BELIEVE IN YOU 6/42.5f
2nd Phillip Makin silk 5. WOODSIDE WONDER 6/17
J: Jamie Gormley (5)  
T: Iain Jardine  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT
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