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Timefigure preview: Royal Ascot Wednesday

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Timeform's Research and Development team look at the best timefigure performances ahead of the second day of Royal Ascot 2018 on Wednesday, picking out bets at 5/1 and 9/1.

Cracksman is the headline act in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes and despite the form of his two wins this year being open to question he holds an 11 lb advantage on Timeform ratings and a similar one on timefigures. Along with the Queen’s Vase (forecast favourite Southern France has a best timefigure of 93 and looked very babyish in front when winning a weak Listed race at Navan last time) and the Duke of Cambridge Stakes (form pick Hydrangea has a best timefigure of just 113), the race is one of several on the second day that make little betting appeal from a timefigure perspective.

The Jersey Stakes is one of two that does, however.

This contest is usually one targeted by 2000 Guineas also-rans and Expert Eye fits that bill having yet to live up to the promise of his win (114 timefigure) in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood last summer. Irish 2,000 Guineas fifth Symbolization (113) is also scheduled to line up but the one we are keen on is Emaraaty who flopped in the Dewhurst last term but is back on track this year, finishing an excellent second in a very hot handicap at Goodwood last time.

He recorded a race-leading timefigure of 119 there and the return to a straight, galloping track - similar to Newbury where he was so impressive last year - promises to improve him again.

Wesley Ward’s Chelsea Cloisters heads the market for the Queen Mary Stakes, but though she was visually impressive when winning on her debut at Keeneland, subsequent races have shown she didn’t beat much and an internal provisional timefigure of 83 (and a TimeformUS figure of 89) for that win seemingly leaves her with a bit to find.

With the exception of those by Scat Daddy, Ward’s recent Ascot runners who started off on dirt haven’t pulled up many trees so there is probably value elsewhere. Catterick winner Second Generation and improving Irish filly Yolo Again (both 92) have the best timefigures, while Shades of Blue quickened up nicely when beating a couple of subsequent winners (including the re-opposing Come On Leicester) on her debut and Clive Cox’s filly has been kept fresh for this since.

Servalan runs here in preference to the Albany, though, and to our eyes will be difficult to beat. Jessica Harrington’s filly (by Scat Daddy’s son No Nay Never) was second at Dundalk on her debut in a sectionally-informative contest (upgrade 53 lb) and she could hardly have been more impressive on her only start since when coming from last to first in a steadily-run Listed race at Naas, a race that her trainer won in 2017 with subsequent Albany runner-up Alpha Centauri. The decision to swerve what looks a hot Albany and run here looks a sensible one.

Recommendation bets:

Back Emaraaty in the Jersey Stakes at 5/1

Back Servalan in the Queen Mary Stakes at 9/1

 
 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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HAYDOCK PARK 14:10

Wednesday 20 March
2. CAPTAIN MOIRETTE (FR) 138p
Danny Cook silk Danny Cook
Sue Smith hot trainer
5. SKIDDAW VALLEYS 137
Brian Hughes silk Brian Hughes
Nicky Richards
3. CHAMBARD (FR) 133
Charlie Deutsch silk Charlie Deutsch
Venetia Williams
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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

17:15 HUNTINGDON

1st Fergus Gregory silk 6. ROQUE IT (IRE) 9/43.25
2nd Jordan Nailor silk 1 5. REDFORD ROAD 11/26.5
3rd Mr Jamie Neild silk ¾ 2. LANTIERN (IRE) 8/19
J: Fergus Gregory (5)  
T: Olly Murphy  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:05 TAUNTON

1st Tom Buckley silk 10. LAMH AR LAMH (IRE) 4/15
2nd Jason Dixon silk 5 7. MR MAGILL (FR) 12/113
3rd Jonjo O'Neill Jr. silk ½ 1. MRS MIGGINS (IRE) 11/26.5
J: Tom Buckley (8)  
T: Nigel Hawke  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:55 WETHERBY

1st Wayne Hutchinson silk 4. SHESHOON SONNY (FR) 8/131.61f
2nd Richie McLernon silk 2. DHOWIN (IRE) 11/112
T: Alan King  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:45 HUNTINGDON

1st Patrick Cowley silk 4. TORRENT DES MOTTES (FR) 8/19
2nd Lewis Stones silk 13 9. SPROGZILLA 20/121
3rd Page Fuller silk 6 8. BROTHER BENNETT (FR) 9/43.25f
J: Patrick Cowley (5)  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:30 TAUNTON

1st Harry Bannister silk 1. LIKE THE SOUND (FR) 9/25.5
2nd Adam Wedge silk 1 2. POBBLES BAY (IRE) 4/15
T: Charlie Mann  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:20 WETHERBY

1st Billy Garritty silk 3. CARALINE (FR) 4/15
2nd Paddy Brennan silk 2. LOUGH SALT (IRE) 2/13f
J: Billy Garritty (7)  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:10 HUNTINGDON

1st Alan Johns silk 7. COOPERS SQUARE (IRE) 9/43.25f
2nd Sam Twiston-Davies silk 6. PRAY FOR A RAINBOW 12/113
3rd Kielan Woods silk 22 2. RED ADMIRABLE (IRE) 12/113
J: Alan Johns  
T: Tom Weston  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:00 TAUNTON

1st James Davies silk 3. MARMONT 15/28.5
2nd Mr Bryan Carver silk 1 4. MIDNIGHT MIDGE 13/82.62f
J: James Davies  
T: Jo Davis  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

15:50 WETHERBY

1st Sean Quinlan silk 5. BORDER VICTOR 3/14f
2nd David Bass silk 1 8. GALLOWS POINT 8/19
3rd Nathan Moscrop silk ¾ 4. DULCE PANEM (FR) 6/17
J: Sean Quinlan  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT
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