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Timefigure preview: Royal Ascot Wednesday

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Timeform's Research and Development team look at the best timefigure performances ahead of the second day of Royal Ascot 2018 on Wednesday, picking out bets at 5/1 and 9/1.

Cracksman is the headline act in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes and despite the form of his two wins this year being open to question he holds an 11 lb advantage on Timeform ratings and a similar one on timefigures. Along with the Queen’s Vase (forecast favourite Southern France has a best timefigure of 93 and looked very babyish in front when winning a weak Listed race at Navan last time) and the Duke of Cambridge Stakes (form pick Hydrangea has a best timefigure of just 113), the race is one of several on the second day that make little betting appeal from a timefigure perspective.

The Jersey Stakes is one of two that does, however.

This contest is usually one targeted by 2000 Guineas also-rans and Expert Eye fits that bill having yet to live up to the promise of his win (114 timefigure) in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood last summer. Irish 2,000 Guineas fifth Symbolization (113) is also scheduled to line up but the one we are keen on is Emaraaty who flopped in the Dewhurst last term but is back on track this year, finishing an excellent second in a very hot handicap at Goodwood last time.

He recorded a race-leading timefigure of 119 there and the return to a straight, galloping track - similar to Newbury where he was so impressive last year - promises to improve him again.

Wesley Ward’s Chelsea Cloisters heads the market for the Queen Mary Stakes, but though she was visually impressive when winning on her debut at Keeneland, subsequent races have shown she didn’t beat much and an internal provisional timefigure of 83 (and a TimeformUS figure of 89) for that win seemingly leaves her with a bit to find.

With the exception of those by Scat Daddy, Ward’s recent Ascot runners who started off on dirt haven’t pulled up many trees so there is probably value elsewhere. Catterick winner Second Generation and improving Irish filly Yolo Again (both 92) have the best timefigures, while Shades of Blue quickened up nicely when beating a couple of subsequent winners (including the re-opposing Come On Leicester) on her debut and Clive Cox’s filly has been kept fresh for this since.

Servalan runs here in preference to the Albany, though, and to our eyes will be difficult to beat. Jessica Harrington’s filly (by Scat Daddy’s son No Nay Never) was second at Dundalk on her debut in a sectionally-informative contest (upgrade 53 lb) and she could hardly have been more impressive on her only start since when coming from last to first in a steadily-run Listed race at Naas, a race that her trainer won in 2017 with subsequent Albany runner-up Alpha Centauri. The decision to swerve what looks a hot Albany and run here looks a sensible one.

Recommendation bets:

Back Emaraaty in the Jersey Stakes at 5/1

Back Servalan in the Queen Mary Stakes at 9/1

 
 

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SOUTHWELL 14:20

Tuesday 11 December
3. WELD AL EMARAT 100
Nathan Evans silk Nathan Evans horse in focus
Michael Easterby
6. MR MINERALS 99+
Finley Marsh silk Finley Marsh horse in focus
Richard Hughes
8. MAJESTIC MOON (IRE) 98
Shelley Birkett silk Shelley Birkett
Julia Feilden
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LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

19:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Mark Crehan silk 6. BERLUSCA (IRE) 6/17
2nd George Bass silk 1 3. RUBENSIAN 3/14
J: Mark Crehan (3)  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Martin Harley silk 6. AIRCRAFT CARRIER (IRE) 5/23.5
2nd Stevie Donohoe silk 7 1. WESTERN DUKE (IRE) 5/16
3rd Luke Catton silk 3. PADDY A (IRE) 16/117
T: John Ryan  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

18:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Lewis Edmunds silk 7. YOU'RE COOL 14/115
2nd Franny Norton silk ¾ 2. FOXY FOREVER (IRE) 5/16
3rd Hollie Doyle silk hd 9. BELLEVARDE (IRE) 8/19
T: John Balding  
8 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

17:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Rob Hornby silk 5. ENGROSSED (IRE) 16/117
2nd Jack Mitchell silk nk 9. REGAL BANNER 5/23.5
3rd David Probert silk 4. CLERISY 11/102.1f
J: Rob Hornby  
T: Martyn Meade  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

17:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Robert Havlin silk 10. SHE'S GOT YOU 4/71.57f
2nd Martin Harley silk 7 9. REGAL AMBITION 16/117
3rd Sean Levey silk nk 4. FORTY FOUR SUNSETS (FR) 12/113
T: John Gosden  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

16:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Luke Morris silk 2. UNFORGIVING MINUTE 11/82.37f
2nd David Probert silk 1 7. SECONDO (FR) 12/113
3rd Stevie Donohoe silk ½ 4. MISTY BIRNAM (SAF) 17/29.5
J: Luke Morris  
T: Paul D'Arcy  
9 ran. NRs: 9 
FULL RESULT

16:00 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Robert Winston silk 2. INVOLVED 9/25.5
2nd Martin Harley silk 6. KYNANCE (IRE) 4/111.36f
5 ran. NRs: 3 
FULL RESULT

15:30 WOLVERHAMPTON

1st Paula Muir silk 3. MOSSY'S LODGE 4/15f
2nd Phil Dennis silk 1 1. CHAMPAGNE RULES 7/18
3rd Gabriele Malune silk hd 12. FINAL ATTACK (IRE) 5/16
J: Paula Muir (5)  
All 13 ran.
FULL RESULT

15:15 MUSSELBURGH

1st Craig Nichol silk 3. ATTENTION PLEASE (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd Blair Campbell silk hd 2. ELMONO (FR) 5/23.5
J: Craig Nichol  
T: Rose Dobbin  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT
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