Gowran’s card features one of Ireland’s top staying handicap chases, the Thyestes (14:50), which looks a typically competitive renewal in which Gordon Elliott is responsible for half of the entire field.
While Elliott has at least a few with good claims, the one who makes most appeal is ‘Hot Trainer’ Henry de Bromhead’s sole representative Gabbys Cross (163). Still fairly lightly raced over fences, his latest win came in another competitive handicap at last summer’s Galway Festival when holding on grimly to beat the future Kerry National winner Busselton. Gabbys Cross wasn’t seen to best effect in that race himself but he shaped well on his latest start, earning the ‘Horse In Focus’ flag, when sixth behind Real Steel in the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown. He would have finished closer but for some late blunders having still been in third jumping the last but still fared best of several from that race whom he meets again here.
Pick of the Elliott brigade are Punitive (162) and Escaria Ten (164). Punitive only joined the stable this season and was still a maiden over fences until his latest start when stepped up in trip for the Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse last month where he looked a dour stayer, coming from an unpromising position turning in to head stablemate Fakiera (160+) at the last before going on to win by two and a half lengths. Although back down in trip here, this stiff test will suit Punitive and Jordan Gainford keeps the ride. Fakiera is still a maiden though ran well again last time when second in an amateur event at Punchestown.
Escaria Ten has top weight and is another proven over longer trips. Down the field in this race last year, his best recent effort was when touched off by Any Second Now in the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse last February. He shaped well on his first start since the Grand National when two lengths second to the fitter Darasso in a listed chase at Thurles last month having raced close to a strong pace and should come on for that run.
Pencilfulloflead (165+) could be another interesting runner for Elliott as he looks quite well treated for his first handicap. Raced mainly at shorter trips, he clearly hasn’t been easy to train and shaped as though needing the run after another absence when last of four in the Clonmel Oil Chase won by Blue Lord after almost unseating two out. Off ten weeks since, he has a good record fresh and will have underfoot conditions to suit.
‘Hot Trainer’ Willie Mullins’ multiple entries are headed by Paul Townend’s mount Carefully Selected (160). He was a smart novice in the 2019/20 season (odds on for the National Hunt Chase in which he unseated) and was making his return from the best part of three years off since that run at Cheltenham when down the field in the Paddy Power Chase, looking understandably rusty but shaping as if retaining his ability nonetheless.
Espanito Bello (163?) gained his only win over fences in a beginners chase at Naas over two years ago but the pair who chased him home, Coko Beach and Longhouse Poet, have been the last two Thyestes winners. Espanito Bello has been lightly raced of late, mainly over hurdles, but his only run this season, at Galway in October, looked a step back in the right direction.
Front-running mare Darrens Hope (160) is a second-season novice and gained her biggest win when causing an upset in the Grade 2 Florida Pearl Novice Chase at Punchestown last time though she had a fitness edge there when rallying for a head win over Minella Crooner.
Donkey Years (162) unseated early on in the Paddy Power Chase last time but has a consistent record in staying handicaps over the last twelve months, winning the Pat Taaffe at the Punchestown Festival and faring best of several in this line-up when third behind The Big Dog in the Munster National at Limerick in October.
A couple more of the Elliott entries to mention are the Gigginstown-owned pair Frontal Assault and Coko Beach (both 161). Frontal Assault turned in a career-best effort when runner-up to Lord Lariat after making much of the running in last season’s Irish Grand National. He’s still a novice this season, though, getting off the mark when beating Darrens Hope in a minor event at Galway in October, but was beaten some way when third to Gaillard du Mesnil in the Grade 1 Neville Hotels Novice Chase at Leopardstown last time. The return to handicap company here should be more his cup of tea.
Coko Beach was only a six-year-old when winning this race two years ago – thereby earning the ‘Horses For Courses’ flag - and has found life tougher since, though his latest start when fourth behind The Big Dog (just ahead of Frontal Assault) in the Troytown Handicap Chase at Navan last time was one of his better recent efforts.
Rambranlt’Jac (158) is only a reserve but would be of some interest if getting a run given his lightly-raced profile over fences for Mullins. He possibly failed to stay when sixth in the Troytown last time having got off the mark over a slightly shorter trip on better ground at the Galway Festival.
Completing the list of main contenders is the novice Dunboyne (161§), another for Elliott. He’s something of a risky proposition, however, putting his best foot forward when winning a handicap over two and a half miles here in November but, not for the first time, looking none too keen before being pulled up on his latest outing.
Timeform analyst’s verdict
Preference is for Gabbys Cross, who shaped well on his return from a three-month absence at Leopardstown last time and remains on a workable mark. Punitive and Escaria Ten head the list of dangers in a typically competitive renewal of this contest.
Timeform weight-adjusted ratings
165+ Pencilfulloflead
164 Escaria Ten
163 Gabbys Cross
163? Espanito Bello
162 Donkey Years
162 Punitive
161 Coko Beach
161 Frontal Assault
161§ Defi Bleu
161§ Dunboyne
161? Braeside
160+ Fakiera
160 Carefully Selected
160 Darrens Hope
160x Lieutenant Command
160 Stones And Roses (Reserve)
158x Captain Kangaroo
158 Egality Mans
158 Rambranlt’Jac (Reserve)
157 Flash de Touzaine
155x Regia Dracones (Reserve)
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