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Joel Stakes: Timeform preview and free Race Pass


The Joel Stakes (15:35) at Newmarket on Friday is available as a free Race Pass, which means logged-in customers can view all our premium comments and ratings.

The Joel Stakes has some big names on its roll of honour, notably two-time winner Benbatl, 2000 Guineas winner Kameko and up-and-coming sire Time Test, who were all successful within the last 10 years.

On paper, this doesn't look a vintage renewal, but top on Timeform weight-adjusted ratings is Tempus (128), who is a half-brother to the aforementioned Time Test. He arrives at the top of his game having won his last three starts, building on an eye-catching run in the Hunt Cup when winning a useful handicap over the same course and distance before taking his forn up another notch to record his first success in pattern company in the Sovereign Stakes at Salisbury last month. 

That race turned tactical and Tempus did well to run down the runner-up who is a solid performer and attempted to make all of the running. Tempus was fragile earlier in his career, but is clearly thriving on his racing at present, as he proved when producing a career-best effort to beat a thriving mare in a Group 3 at Deauville 26 days ago. Tempus is yet to win on the Rowley Mile, but did finish a good sixth in the Cambridgeshire two years ago, after which he was awarded the Horses For Courses Flag, and his prominent style of racing is well suited to this track. He looks very solid. 

The consistency of Mutasaabeq (127) is hard to argue with this season, but he is proving expensive and somewhat frustrating to follow, returning a beaten favourite on his last three starts in pattern company. Some of his form this year stands up well, though, and he can boast a positive record at this course, twice winning over seven furlongs on the Rowley Mile earlier in his career - he also has the Horses For Courses Flag. It is interesting that connections have opted for blinkers now, which may help him concentrate more, and he will be a big player in putting it all together. 

His stablemate Pogo (124) has taken his form to a new level this season, winning the John of Gaunt Stakes at Haydock and the Criterion Stakes on the July Course, both over seven furlongs. He has run to a similar level on two of his last three starts, finishing third in the Lennox Stakes at Goodwood, and beaten only by Kinross in the City of York Stakes last time. That form has been boosted by the winner since and Pogo is another horse who goes particularly well at this course. 

The Sir Michael Stoute-trained Potapova (126) is another serious contender judged on her victory in the Atalanta Stakes at Sandown last time. That was a clear career-best effort from out of the blue, but she looked impressive on the day, for all she was seen to good effect making her challenge down the outside while others had to wait for a run. Potapova has always threatened to produce a performance like that and she is a filly to respect now, even though she will find this test hard now taking on the boys. 

Oscula (118) is the other filly in the race, but she also gets a weight-for-age allowance being a three-year-old, and she does have something to find with the principals for all she is a likeable filly. She is a three-time winner already this season, opening her account for the season in a listed event at Carlisle in June, before landing a couple of Group 3s more recently. Oscula ran up to her best when third to a smart colt at Deauville last time and minor honours may be the best she can hope for once more. 

The Roger Varian-trained El Drama (125) is harder to weigh up, as he hasn't been seen since running below par in the Strensall Stakes at York over a year ago. However, he did win the Dee Stakes at Chester last season, and his effort in the Eclipse at Sandown, when not far behind St Mark's Basiiica, Addeybb and Mishriff would give him major claims in this. He represents a yard that couldn't be in better form and needs monitoring in the market. 

The Wizard of Eye (113), who has been highly tried since landing a Newbury novice last summer, makes up the line-up. He has posted some solid efforts in defeat, notably when runner-up in the Thoroughbred Stakes at Goodwood his penultimate start, but he is likely to be outclassed here.

Timeform Analyst's Verdict:

The vote goes to the thriving Tempus, who took his form to another level when defying a penalty in a Group 3 at Deauville last month. Mutasaabeq has been knocking on the door at this sort of level this year and rates the main threat, though Pogo could be difficult to peg back if allowed an easy lead.

Timeform weight-adjusted ratings:

128 Tempus

127 Mutasaabeq

126 Potapova

125 El Drama

124 Pogo

118 Oscula

113 The Wizard of Eye

Race Passes are the ultimate form guide, providing Timeform analysis, Flags and ratings for every runner in every race in Britain and Ireland. Subscribers have access to additional features that add extra levels of insight, including complete performance histories, an extensive form archive and unlimited use of horse, jockey and trainer searches.

Just log in and click here to view the full card and Timeform analysis for the 15:35 at Newmarket on Friday. You can subscribe to Race Passes to access every race here.



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Free Daily Race Pass (Result)



1st Tom Marquand silk 4. WURLITZER 6/17
2nd Kieran O'Neill silk 1 3. HARBOUR VISION 10/34.33f
3rd Connor Planas silk sh 13. SALONICA 14/115
J: Tom Marquand  
T: Alan King  
All 13 ran.


1st Thore Hammer-Hansen silk 7. CIOTOG (IRE) 5/16
2nd George Downing silk 9. VOLTAIC 4/15f
3rd Charles Bishop silk 8. DREAMING 5/16
12 ran. NRs: 4 


1st David Probert silk 2. FLATLEY 7/18
2nd John Fahy silk ½ 4. DARK SWANSONG (IRE) 9/110
3rd Jason Watson silk 6. CHOOKIE DUNEDIN 22/123
9 ran. NRs: 10  12  7 


1st Jason Watson silk 3. PEARL EYE 6/17
2nd Cam Hardie silk ¾ 9. BERNIE THE BEAR (IRE) 11/112
3rd Luke Morris silk 2. IN THE STORM 15/28.5
J: Jason Watson  
All 9 ran.


1st Mollie Phillips silk 2. CHERISH (FR) 9/25.5
2nd Connor Planas silk ½ 4. CASHEW (IRE) 15/28.5
J: Mollie Phillips (5)  
T: Tony Carroll  
7 ran. NRs: 7 


1st Harry Davies silk 3. APPOINTED ONE 15/28.5
2nd David Egan silk nk 10. SPARTAN ARROW (IRE) 2/13f
3rd Rossa Ryan silk ns 1. NEW DEFINITION 11/43.75
J: Harry Davies (3)  
All 13 ran.


1st Ray Dawson silk 8. ELDEYAAR (IRE) 7/42.75f
2nd Jack Mitchell silk ¾ 1. ELECTRIC LOVE 5/23.5
3rd Barry McHugh silk 2. PALIFICO 14/115
J: Ray Dawson  
8 ran. NRs: 9 

17:25 CORK

1st L. T. McAteer silk 15. LUCKY QUEEN (IRE) 8/19
2nd Ben Martin Coen silk ½ 5. MIRACLES IN MAY (IRE) 11/26.5f
3rd L. F. Roche silk nk 19. FACETHEPUCKOUT (IRE) 13/27.5
4th William James Lee silk sh 9. PALLASMORE LASS (IRE) 17/29.5
J: L. T. McAteer (3)  
16 ran. NRs: 13  20  21  7  8 


1st Caoilin Quinn silk 5. BARELY FAMOUS (IRE) 11/112
2nd Toby Wynne silk ½ 6. THE QUESTIONER (IRE) 1/12f
3rd D. P. Davis silk 4. ROBEAM (IRE) 13/27.5
T: Ryan Potter  
9 ran. NRs: 1  2  7 
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