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Hot To Trot: bin Suroor in good form

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Nic Doggett identifies three trainers who are in good form at present and picks out some interesting horses that may run for them in the next few days.

Flat Trainer: Saeed bin Suroor

As the graph below shows, Saeed bin Suroor’s horses have enjoyed a renaissance since a low point in May, their Run To Form (RTF) percentage steadily improving across the likes of Royal Ascot, the July Meeting and, most recently, the Goodwood Festival.

Run to form Saeed bin Suroor Timeform

Barring a high point in April, bin Suroor’s horses are in as good form as they have been in 2018, highlighted by a win for a back to form – and well-ridden - Benbatl in the Group 1 Grosser Dallmayr-Preis at Munich last Sunday.

Upcoming prizes may be less prestigious, but Fitzsimmons and Volcanic Sky look to be leading contenders at Ripon on Monday. The former underperformed on his handicap debut at Wolverhampton last time, quite possibly stretched by the longer trip, and he may yet do better granted less of a test here, while the last-named was much improved from debut when a neck second to Heart of Grace in a minor event at Lingfield last time, and remains open to further improvement.

On Tuesday, the well-bred Returning Glory is only 2 lb higher than when a neck second to Knight Errant at Windsor last time. He’s yet to win in six starts, but seemed to appreciate the return to turf last time and he should continue to give a good account.

Jumps Trainer: Neil King

Neil King doesn’t have a yard bulging with big-race winners, but he does pretty well with the tools at his disposal, with a (coincidental) 13% strike-rate with each of his hurdlers/chasers/bumper horses. Though slightly under that figure so far in the 2018/19 season, the table below illustrates that a higher percentage of his horses are running to form this campaign, and the yard have been rewarded with career-best performances by recent winners Mamoo, Little Windmill, Chimes of Dylan, Lil Rockerfeller (Flat) and Commanche Chieftain.

Neil King run to form statistics Timeform

Chimes of Dylan, who improved all of a sudden in first-time blinkers after six weeks off at Worcester on Tuesday, had the benefit of an enterprising ride that day and was seen to maximum effect gifted an uncontested lead. Whilst this column normally highlights horses to back, he looks one to take on if running at Newton Abbot on Monday.

Little Windmill is another who has struggled to follow up good performances, but whilst the recent Worcester winner isn’t an obvious candidate to follow up, he did win three times in the space of four starts in 2016/17. He had dropped to a good mark before his recent win over hurdles, but will be 10 lb higher in the handicap if running back over fences on Monday afternoon.

The handicapper has been slow to react with Third Estate, but the hurdler shaped better than the distance beaten suggests in a first-time tongue strap after seven weeks off at Uttoxeter last time, and is now back down to the same mark as when third at Ludlow in April; he should run well now dropped in trip again.

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Under the Radar: Stuart Williams

Though he has only saddled four winners in the last fortnight (at the time of writing), Stuart Williams has his horses in good form, and Don Armado’s win at Goodwood on Friday means that Williams has already matched last year’s total of 32 wins.

As the graph below shows, Williams appears to have been a beneficiary of the good weather that the majority of the UK has enjoyed over the past few months, with his horses generally much more at home on quick ground than in the mud.

Stuart Williams runners on ground Timeform

It’s a good idea to make hay whilst the sun is shining, then, and the likes of Gregarious Girl and Daschas are of interest at Windsor – currently good to firm - on Monday. Though Lively Lydia may be a tough nut to crack in the fillies’ maiden if she runs, Gregarious Girl certainly shaped with some promise when a very green four lengths last of seven to Fognini in a minor event at Yarmouth, left poorly placed. She was a very cheap purchase but is entitled to progress. Daschas has improved this season, but has only gone up 7 lb since winning at Chelmsford in February, despite adding two more wins since. He ought to remain competitive.

Of his Wednesday entries, Broughton Excels, who was well backed when failing to fire on his final start for Henry Spiller in December, and Watchmyeverymove, who provided the yard with a relatively rare debut winner at Windsor in June, are of most interest. The latter is top rated for a minor event at Pontefract at the five-day stage.

 

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FREE DAILY RACE PASS

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PONTEFRACT 3:35

Sunday 19 August
8. FOXTROT LADY 123
David Probert silk David Probert
Andrew Balding
12. ROCK ON BAILEYS 119
Joe Fanning silk Joe Fanning
Chris Dwyer
9. GOLDEN SPELL 116
Oisin Murphy silk Oisin Murphy
John Patrick Murtagh, Ireland hot trainer
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

8:10 CHEPSTOW

1st Scott McCullagh silk 9. MACHO MOVER (IRE) 5/23.5
2nd Charlie Bennett silk hd 6. RAINBOW JAZZ (IRE) 14/115
3rd William Cox silk 1 11. KINGFAST (IRE) 10/111
J: Scott McCullagh (7)  
T: Mick Channon  
11 ran. NRs: 13  2 
FULL RESULT

8:00 MARKET RASEN

1st Danny Cook silk 3. LUCKY ROBIN (IRE) 2/13f
2nd Kielan Woods silk ½ 6. FLEETING VISIT 9/25.5
3rd Nico de Boinville silk ½ 8. CHIEFTAIN'S CHOICE (IRE) 6/17
J: Danny Cook  
All 9 ran.
FULL RESULT

7:40 CHEPSTOW

1st Megan Nicholls silk 10. ZILLION (IRE) 12/113
2nd Tom Marquand silk 2. THE JEAN GENIE 4/15f
3rd William Cox silk ½ 4. ANCIENT LONGING 6/17
J: Megan Nicholls (5)  
12 ran. NRs: 8 
FULL RESULT

7:30 MARKET RASEN

1st Aidan Coleman silk 4. PERFECT MAN (IRE) 3/14jf
2nd Brendan Powell silk 7 2. SPORTING BOY (IRE) 12/113
T: Olly Murphy  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

7:20 TRAMORE

1st G. P. Halpin silk 12. JAKE PETER (IRE) 10/111
2nd T. P. Madden silk nk 6. AA BEE SEE 8/19
3rd K. J. Leonard silk 5. MICRAS 25/126
J: G. P. Halpin  
12 ran. NRs: 14  16  3  9 
FULL RESULT

7:10 CHEPSTOW

1st Rhiain Ingram silk 2. KENSTONE (FR) 9/25.5
2nd Hayley Turner silk 1 6. WELD AL EMARAT 6/42.5f
3rd Gina Mangan silk ¾ 7. WAHAAB (IRE) 10/111
J: Rhiain Ingram (5)  
8 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

7:00 MARKET RASEN

1st Jamie Hamilton silk 4. BOSS DES MOTTES (FR) 9/25.5
2nd David Noonan silk 13 2. MARJU'S QUEST (IRE) 7/24.5jf
3rd Tom Scudamore silk 6. HELIUM (FR) 7/18
8 ran. NRs: 1 
FULL RESULT

6:50 TRAMORE

1st W. M. Lordan silk 10. LIKE AN OPEN BOOK (IRE) 10/111
2nd K. J. Leonard silk 3. YOU CAN'T CATCH ME (IRE) 25/126
3rd Rachael Blackmore silk 6. AWAYINTHEWEST (IRE) 5/16
J: W. M. Lordan  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

6:40 CHEPSTOW

1st Nicola Currie silk 4. FIELD OF VISION (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd Phil Dennis silk ½ 7. SOMEWHERE SECRET 10/111
J: Nicola Currie (3)  
T: John Flint  
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT
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