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Grand Prix de Paris Preview: Garden party

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Nic Doggett previews Saturday's Grand Prix de Paris and fancies Aidan O'Brien to win the race for the first time since 2012.

Much like last Sunday’s Prix Jean Prat at Deauville, the Grand Prix de Paris is often an attainable Group 1 for those horses who may not spend the rest of their careers at the very top table. The last two renewals – won by Mont Ormel (2016) and Shakeel (2017) - were held at Saint-Cloud whilst the race’s permanent home underwent its redevelopment and subsequent branding to ParisLongchamp.

O'Brien challenge

Juddmonte began their sponsorship of the race in 2001 and have won it on three occasions since, with Rail Link (2006), Zambezi Sun (2007) and, most recently, Flintshire (2013). Unfortunately, the famous green, pink and white silks of Juddmonte owner Prince Khalid Abdullah will not be represented in this year’s renewal; instead, there’s likely to be a mini-invasion of the O’Brien family, with Kew Gardens and Nelson both engaged for father Aidan, and Downdraft entered for son Joseph.

Kew Gardens won twice at two, including the listed Zetland Stakes at Newmarket (by three and a half lengths from Dee Ex Bee) last October. He put a disappointing effort in the Derby behind him when producing a career-best effort to win the Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot last time by four and a half lengths from Southern France (Ballysax Stakes winner Nelson only third, ridden too aggressively), leading approaching the final furlong and staying on strongly. He’s open to further improvement, though we may not see the very best of him until he’s back up in trip (will stay two miles-plus).

Downdraft won a competitive 1¼m handicap at Navan in June but couldn’t improve on that when seven and a half lengths sixth of 18 to Baghdad in the King George V Stakes (handicap) at Royal Ascot, not ideally placed. His trainer Joseph O’Brien - who won the Irish Derby with Latrobe - has a knack of pulling a rabbit out of the hat in big races, but this looks a tough task.

Derby runner-up

The very smart Dee Ex Bee produced a clear career-best performance when second in the Derby at Epsom (one and a half lengths behind Masar) in June but was disappointing when five lengths seventh to Latrobe in the Irish Derby last time. He will stay 1¾m (lack of tactical speed cruelly exposed at the Curragh) and usually responds generously to pressure, so may be ridden more aggressively here.

Home team

The two domestic runners don’t suggest that the three-year-old mile and half division in France is a strong one. However, both have an upwardly mobile profile. Neufbosc followed his listed race at the track with success in the Group 3 Prix du Lys (by one and three quarter lengths from Mahoe), both over C&D in May. He should progress further, but that form doesn’t look anything special, with the third and fifth both well beaten since.

The slow-burning Folamour represents Andre Fabre, who is a 13-time winner of this race, but the Intello colt will need to take a big step forward from his maiden win last month to feature prominently here. Having said that, similar comments applied to Cascadian who was only beaten a short-neck by Intellogent (another by the same sire) in the Jean Prat.

Conclusion

A very disappointing turnout. Dee Ex Bee has the best timefigure, and is well clear on ratings, however there’s a nagging doubt that he has been a long way off the form of his Derby second in his three others starts this season. Kew Gardens appeared to improve for the longer trip when running away with the Queen’s Vase last time, but as long as he’s granted a strong gallop he can progress again to confirm last year’s HQ beating of Dee Ex Bee.

Ratings 2018 Grand Prix de Paris Timeform

Recommended bet:

Kew Gardens to win Saturday’s Grand Prix de Paris at 2/1

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WINDSOR 7:20

Monday 16 July
6. AIRSHOW 109
Joey Haynes silk Joey Haynes horse in focus
Rod Millman
4. JUST THAT LORD 106
David Egan silk David Egan
Michael Attwater
7. WILEY POST 106
Nicola Currie silk Nicola Currie
Tony Carroll hot trainer
Go to Full Race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

5:25 RIPON

1st Shane Gray silk 2. MR C (IRE) 14/115
2nd Cam Hardie silk sh 8. AIRPLANE (IRE) 7/24.5
3rd Jamie Gormley silk 6. MIDNIGHT WARRIOR 11/112
J: Shane Gray  
T: Ollie Pears  
All 10 ran.
FULL RESULT

5:10 AYR

1st Gavin Ashton silk 2. TIMOSHENKO 8/111.72f
2nd Andrew Breslin silk nk 1. CLARAMARA (IRE) 5/16
J: Gavin Ashton (5)  
6 ran. NRs: 4 
FULL RESULT

4:55 RIPON

1st P. J. McDonald silk 7. SNOW WIND (IRE) 10/111.9f
2nd Jim Crowley silk 8 4. QAWAMEES (IRE) 6/42.5
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

4:40 AYR

1st David Allan silk 5. RACEMAKER 3/14f
2nd Joe Fanning silk 4. WAR DEPARTMENT (IRE) 13/27.5
3rd George Downing silk nk 3. TESTA ROSSA (IRE) 9/110
J: David Allan  
T: Andrew Crook  
8 ran. NRs: 7 
FULL RESULT

4:20 RIPON

1st Jim Crowley silk 2. MUTADAFFEQ (IRE) 11/82.37f
2nd Jamie Gormley silk ¾ 1. ATKINSON GRIMSHAW (FR) 11/43.75
J: Jim Crowley  
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

4:05 AYR

1st Joe Fanning silk 6. VALE OF KENT (IRE) 9/25.5
2nd James Sullivan silk ½ 3. NICHOLAS T 13/27.5
3rd David Allan silk nk 5. BROTHER MCGONAGALL 9/25.5
J: Joe Fanning  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:50 RIPON

1st Jack Garritty silk 4. PIPERS NOTE 11/43.75
2nd Jason Hart silk ¾ 3. REPUTATION (IRE) 10/111
T: Ruth Carr  
All 6 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:35 AYR

1st George Downing silk 8. TOMMY G 10/111
2nd James Sullivan silk nk 3. MAGICAL EFFECT (IRE) 3/14f
3rd Paul Hanagan silk 1 2. LUIS VAZ DE TORRES (IRE) 4/15
T: Jim Goldie  
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

3:20 RIPON

1st Jamie Gormley silk 1. MIDNIGHT MALIBU (IRE) 6/42.5f
2nd Cam Hardie silk 6. ROSE MARMARA 11/26.5
J: Jamie Gormley (3)  
T: Tim Easterby  
6 ran. NRs: 4 
FULL RESULT
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