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Belmont Stakes Preview: Gronk to ruin Justify party


International expert Mark Milligan provides a guide to every horse in Saturday's Belmont Stakes as Justify bids to win the US Triple Crown - and picks out a 40/1 outsider worth an each-way interest.

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1 Justify (Bob Baffert/Mike E. Smith)

Unbeaten Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner is bidding to give his trainer a second Triple Crown following American Pharoah in 2015. Has looked a superstar in the making, for all hIs Preakness win was more hard fought than expected. Stamina an obvious concern but very much the one to beat. Timeform Rating 127

2 Free Drop Billy (Dale L. Romans/Robby Albarado) 

Has been a tad disappointing since finishing second to Audible in the Grade 2 Holy Bull at Gulfstream on his seasonal debut. A long way behind Justify when only sixteenth in the Kentucky Derby last time. Timeform Rating 114

3 Bravazo (D. Wayne Lukas/Luis Saez)

Pushed Justify all the way when beaten just half a length into second in the Preakness last time. That was a career-best effort against a rival who wasn’t quite at his best on the day and he probably needs to take another step forward off that. Timeform Rating 119

4 Hofburg (William I. Mottt/Irad Ortiz, Jr)

Seventh to Justify in the Kentucky Derby, that followed a fine effort when second behind Audible in the Florida Derby at Gulfstream. He may not have handled the sloppy conditions at Churchill Downs last time and still has plenty of upside (this just his fourth start). An interesting contender. Timeform Rating 118

5 Restoring Hope (Bob Baffert/Florent Geroux)

One of the more interesting in the field pedigree-wise, this twelve-furlong trip may be the making of him. Last effort is best forgiven as he seemed completely unsuited by the wet track. His form is a long way below that of stable companion Justify, but with just five runs under his belt, may still have a little more to offer. Timeform Rating 108p

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6 Gronkowski (Chad C. Brown/Jose L. Ortiz)

Was aiming at the Kentucky Derby when trained by Jeremy Noseda but a setback forced him to miss that contest. Was subsequently transferred to Chad Brown in the US and seems to have taken well to dirt in his works. All wins have come on synthetic tracks but is bred for dirt on the dam’s side. Lasix could well bring about above average improvement and very much in the mix if handling this different test. Timeform Rating 110p

7 Tenfold (Steven M. Asmussen/Ricardo Santana, Jr)

Was only just behind Justify and Bravazo in the Preakness and is another lightly-raced type. This will be just his fifth start and there is stamina in his pedigree. Certainly has place chances, at the very least. Timeform Rating 119p

8 Vino Rosso (Todd A. Pletcher/John R. Velazquez)

Represents the powerful stable of Todd Pletcher, who has won this contest on three occasions, most recently with Tapwrit last year. Has stamina in his pedigree and will be staying on when plenty of have cried enough. Needs to make up ground on Justify on Kentucky Derby running but not ruled out. Timeform Rating 117

9 Noble Indy (Todd A. Pletcher/Javier Castellano)

Todd Pletcher’s second entry in this race was beaten a long way in the Kentucky Derby after racing close to the fast pace. The blinkers he has sported on his last two outings have been removed, suggesting he may be ridden with a bit more patience here. There is stamina in his pedigree but does need to move forward on what we’ve seen so far. Timeform Rating 114

10 Blended Citizen (Doug F. O'Neill/Kyle Frey)

Won the Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes (9f) at this track last time, a race that is often used as a stepping stone to the final leg of the Triple Crown. That was his best effort but more will be needed if he’s to take this. Others preferred. Timeform Rating 116


While Justify is very much the one to beat, given his rigours over the last few weeks, and the fact that his price will be very short, a chance is taken on Gronkowski each-way at a huge price. Jeremy Noseda’s former charge has joined a top outfit and gets to race on Lasix for the first time, while he seems to have handled dirt just fine in the mornings. Hofburg and Vino Rosso head the shortlist from the remainder.

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Back Gronkowski each-way at 40/1 in Saturday night's Belmont Stakes

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ASCOT 4:20

Saturday 23 June
Adam Kirby silk Adam Kirby
Clive Cox
Frankie Dettori silk Frankie Dettori
David & B Hayes/Tom Dabernig, Australia
Ryan Moore silk Ryan Moore
Aidan O'Brien, Ireland
Go to Full Race


9:15 AYR

1st Nathan Evans silk 2. COVIGLIA (IRE) 9/43.25f
2nd Rachel Richardson silk ½ 7. LUCKY VIOLET (IRE) 20/121
3rd Jamie Gormley silk hd 14. MY VALENTINO (IRE) 12/113
J: Nathan Evans  
12 ran. NRs: 1  4 


1st Silvestre De Sousa silk 4. FLYING FOXY 11/102.1f
2nd William Carson silk 1. LA FORTUNA 8/19
All 6 ran.


1st Mr M. J. O'Hare silk 7. NOT THE CHABLIS (IRE) 3/14
2nd Ms Lisa O'Neill silk 3 5. CATS FOR CASH (IRE) 4/51.8f
J: Mr M. J. O'Hare (3)  
5 ran. NRs: 1  6 


1st Cam Hardie silk 2. CANFORD BAY (IRE) 9/25.5jf
2nd Graham Lee silk ¾ 3. YOUNG TIGER 15/28.5
3rd Joe Fanning silk 5. ARNOLD 9/25.5jf
J: Cam Hardie  
All 10 ran.


1st C. T. Keane silk 2. YOU CAN'T CATCH ME (IRE) 5/16
2nd G. F. Carroll silk ¾ 4. POLITICAL POLICY (IRE) 14/115
3rd William James Lee silk 8. DENHAM SOUND 3/14f
J: C. T. Keane  
All 14 ran.

8:45 AYR

1st P. J. McDonald silk 5. DR DORO (IRE) 4/15
2nd Paul Mulrennan silk nk 2. FUMBO JUMBO (IRE) 4/15
3rd Phil Dennis silk 4. ETERNALIST 7/24.5f
T: Ian Williams  
All 10 ran.


1st William Buick silk 1. LOXLEY (IRE) 2/13jf
2nd Tom Marquand silk 3 3. RAYMOND TUSK (IRE) 2/13jf
All 7 ran.


1st Mr F. Maguire silk 5. GONE DANCIN (IRE) 15/82.87f
2nd Mr S. F. O'Keeffe silk 10 10. RATHMUCK MINSTREL (IRE) 10/111
J: Mr F. Maguire (3)  
7 ran. NRs: 1  12  2  3  4 


1st Sebastian Woods silk 16. SPANISH MANE (IRE) 16/117
2nd Jack Garritty silk ns 6. VENTURA CREST (IRE) 7/18
3rd Tony Hamilton silk nk 5. PLANSINA 9/110
J: Sebastian Woods (5)  
15 ran. NRs: 13 
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