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Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle 2023 Racecard

3:30 Thu 16 Mar PADDY POWER STAYERS' HURDLE

Distance: 23f 213y Age: 4yo + Prize: £351,334 Going: Gd/Sft

Analyst's Verdict

An open renewal but TEAHUPOO has taken his form to another level this season, holding off Klassical Dream in the Hatton's Grace at Fairyhouse before easily defying a penalty in a Grade 2 at Gowran over this trip, so Gordon Elliott's 6-y-o could be the answer. Flooring Porter hasn't had the ideal preparation but must be respected as he bids for a third straight win in this, while French-raider Gold Tweet shouldn't be underestimated given the manner of his win in the Cleeve Hurdle over C&D.

ENTRY
FORM
SILKS HORSE
JOCKEY & TRAINER
AGE
WGT
ODDS
1
jockey silks 1. ASHDALE BOB (IRE)
J: Keith Donoghue
T: Mrs J. Harrington, Ireland
8
11-10
* * *
* * *
Smart hurdler who was a gallant third under top weight in the Coral Cup at last year's Festival and bounced back to his best when 3 lengths second to Home By The Lee in Christmas Hurdle at Leopardstown (24f, soft) 78 days ago. However, unlikely he'll be ending his losing run in this.
2
jockey silks 2. BLAZING KHAL (IRE)
J: P. Byrnes
T: Charles Byrnes, Ireland
7
11-10
* * * *
* * * *
Took very well to hurdling last season, winning all 3 of his starts, notably a couple of Grade 2s at this track, and picked up where he left off after an absence (14 months) when defying a penalty in Boyne Hurdle at Navan (21f) 32 days ago. More needed here but has the most potential in the field.
3
jockey silks 3. DASHEL DRASHER
J: Rex Dingle
T: Jeremy Scott
10
11-10
* *
* *
Tough and likeable sort who resumed with a 2½m win over hurdles at Aintree in November. Runner-up in Relkeel Hurdle and Cleeve Hurdle here last 2 starts but proved a sitting duck for Gold Tweet in latter event and likely to be found wanting again.
4
jockey silks 4. FLOORING PORTER (IRE)
J: D. E. Mullins
T: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland
8
11-10
* * * *
* * * *
All-the-way winner of this race for the last 2 years. Excuses both starts this term, shaping as if needing run at Navan on return before not making it enough of a test when fourth in Christmas Hurdle at Leopardstown. Big run expected now.
5
jockey silks 5. GOLD TWEET (FR)
J: Johnny Charron
T: Gabriel Leenders, France
6
11-10
* * * *
* * * *
Useful performer in France but took form to another level (smart) when impressive winner of the Cleeve Hurdle over this C&D 47 days ago, clearly well served by the extra distance. Up against the Irish now but remains unexposed at 3m so not to be underestimated.
6
jockey silks 6. HENRI LE FARCEUR (FR)
J: Felix de Giles
T: Hugo Merienne, France
6
11-10
* *
* *
French hurdler who arrives on the back of a career-best win in 5-runner Group 2 Prix Leon Olry Roederer at Auteuil (21.4f, heavy, 48/10) in December. However, well held both starts at this sort of trip (in Group 1s) so easy enough to look elsewhere.
7
jockey silks 7. HOME BY THE LEE (IRE)
J: J. J. Slevin
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien, Ireland
8
11-10
* * * *
* * * *
Seemed to excel himself when sixth in this last year but has kicked on again this season, winning Grade 2 at Navan before making the breakthrough at this level in Christmas Hurdle at Leopardstown, finding extra to beat Ashdale Bob by 3 lengths. Must be respected.
8
jockey silks 8. KLASSICAL DREAM (FR)
J: P. Townend
T: W. P. Mullins, Ireland
9
11-10
* * * *
* * * *
High-class hurdler who won a second-successive Champion Stayers' Hurdle at Punchestown and failed only narrowly in bid for a seventh Grade 1 victory when neck second to Teahupoo in Hatton's Grace at Fairyhouse after 7 months off. Not seen to best effect when fifth in this last year. Player.
9
jockey silks 9. PAISLEY PARK (IRE)
J: Aidan Coleman
T: Emma Lavelle
11
11-10
* * *
* * *
Unbeatable in 2018/19, completing the 5-timer in this race. Not quite at that level since but still picked up 2 Grade 1s and 3 Grade 2s, including his second Long Walk on Boxing Day. Respectable third under a penalty in Cleeve Hurdle next time and could run into the frame (third last 2 renewals).
10
jockey silks 10. SIRE DU BERLAIS (FR)
J: M. P. Walsh
T: Gordon Elliott, Ireland
11
11-10
*
*
Excellent record at this meeting, winning 2 Pertemps Finals and also second to Flooring Porter in this 2 years ago. Ended last season with Grade 1 win at Aintree but signs of decline this campaign.
11
jockey silks 11. TEAHUPOO (FR)
J: Davy Russell
T: Gordon Elliott, Ireland
6
11-10
* * * * *
* * * * *
High-class hurdler who posted a career best when winning Grade 1 Hatton's Grace at Fairyhouse (19.6f, heavy) in December by neck from Klassical Dream. Defied a 9 lb penalty with flying colours in Grade 2 at Gowran (24.4f) next time, the longer trip no issue. Bold bid expected.

Betting Forecast : 3/1 3 BLAZING KHAL, 9/2 4.5 TEAHUPOO, 13/2 6.5 HOME BY THE LEE, 13/2 6.5 FLOORING PORTER, 10/1 10 KLASSICAL DREAM, 14/1 14 GOLD TWEET, 18/1 18 PAISLEY PARK, 25/1 25 ASHDALE BOB, 33/1 33 DASHEL DRASHER, 33/1 33 HENRI LE FARCEUR, 100/1 100 SIRE DU BERLAIS

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NEXT RACE SMART STATS

£55.78 James Ewart's profit to a £1 level stake when having only one runner on the card (hurdles) (saddles JIMS APPLE)
23% Donald McCain's strike rate at MUSSELBURGH since the start of the 2018/19 season (saddles QUARESOME)
23% Brian Hughes's strike rate at MUSSELBURGH (rides QUARESOME)
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