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Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle 2023 Racecard

4:50 Tue 14 Mar FRED WINTER JUVENILE HURDLE

Distance: 16f 87y Age: 4yo O Prize: £80,000 Going: Soft

Analyst's Verdict

Willie Mullins was narrowly denied a first win in this contest 12 months ago and can gain compensation now courtesy of TEKAO whose strong-travelling style should be seen to very good effect in this race. Perseus Way looks nicely handicapped on his Grade 2 second at Kempton last month and heads the many dangers along with Charles Byrnes's Byker, French-recruit Bad and Sundial, who represents last year's winning connections.

ENTRY
FORM
SILKS HORSE
JOCKEY & TRAINER
AGE
WGT
ODDS
1
jockey silks 1. MCTIGUE (IRE)
J: Donagh Meyler
T: Emmet Mullins, Ireland
4
11-12
* *
* *
Useful on the Flat for Jim Bolger. Made a very good start over hurdles in the autumn, including a Grade 2 success at Auteuil, but has been some way below that level since, including in the Morebattle at Kelso only 10 days ago.
2
jockey silks 2. TEKAO (FR)
J: M. P. Walsh
T: W. P. Mullins, Ireland
4
11-5
* * * * *
* * * * *
Highly promising sort who cosily landed the odds in 18-runner juvenile hurdle at Leopardstown over Christmas. Hooded first time, advanced his form again when 12½ lengths third of 8 to Gala Marceau in Grade 1 back at Leopardstown last month. Definitely more to come.
3
jockey silks 3. PERSEUS WAY (IRE)
J: Jamie Moore
T: Gary Moore
4
11-2
* * * *
* * * *
Useful Flat winner who has quickly reached that level in this sphere, notching 2 wins and placing twice at Graded level. Bit better than result (badly hampered 3 out) when 1¼ lengths second to Nusret in Adonis at Kempton latest. A mark in the low-130s looks manageable.
4
jockey silks 4. SIR ALLEN
J: D. E. Mullins
T: A. Slattery, Ireland
4
11-1
* * *
* * *
Going the right way over hurdles, winning a Punchestown maiden (heavy) on New Year's Eve before seeing off a few of these rivals in a Naas novice (good to soft) last month. Has the potential for better again.
5
jockey silks 5. BYKER (IRE)
J: P. Byrnes
T: Charles Byrnes, Ireland
4
10-12
* * * *
* * * *
Fairly useful Flat winner and going right way over hurdles for this much respected stable, winning a Naas maiden before a good third to Sir Allen (Morning Soldier second) back there 13 days later. Cheekpieces on first time. Should have more to offer in handicaps.
6
jockey silks 6. RISK BELLE (FR)
J: L. P. Dempsey
T: W. P. Mullins, Ireland
4
10-11
* * *
* * *
Started her career with 2 wins in France. Came up a little short at Graded level on first 2 outings for this stable but was heavily backed switched to handicap company at the Dublin Racing Festival only to fall just after halfway. Evidently thought capable of better.
7
jockey silks 7. PUNTA DEL ESTE (FR)
J: Harry Skelton
T: Dan Skelton
4
10-10
* * * *
* * * *
Left hurdling debut form behind when winning 9-runner juvenile at Cagnes-Sur-Mer (16.5f, soft) in December (final start for David Cottin). Promising third in Victor Ludorum at Haydock on British debut, marking him down as a likely type for this race.
8
jockey silks 8. BAD (FR)
J: Rachael Blackmore
T: Ben Pauling
4
10-10
* * * *
* * * *
Promise in France, runner-up twice last spring before coming good in taking style at Bordeaux (18.5f) in November, leading on bridle approaching last and quickening clear. Interesting contender for new yard enjoying excellent season.
9
jockey silks 9. SAMUEL SPADE (GER)
J: Luca Morgan
T: Ben Pauling
4
10-10
* * *
* * *
No more than a fair handicapper on the Flat but has quickly reached a higher level over hurdles, winning at Kempton and Huntingdon and a good second in a Class 2 event at Huntingdon in between.
10
jockey silks 10. JAZZY MATTY (FR)
J: M. J. M. O'Sullivan
T: Gordon Elliott, Ireland
4
10-9
* * *
* * *
Fairyhouse maiden winner in December who was a creditable 4¾ lengths of 6 to Sir Allen (Morning Soldier second, Byker third) in juvenile at Naas last time. Has a tongue tie refitted and cheekpieces on for the first time. Yard knows what it takes to win this.
11
jockey silks 11. METAMORPHEUS (IRE)
J: Sean Flanagan
T: Paul Nolan, Ireland
4
10-9
* *
* *
Won 21-runner juvenile hurdle at Punchestown (2mf, heavy) in January (final start for Timothy Doyle). Respectable 5 lengths fifth of 6 in Naas novice won by Sir Allen on last month's first outing for Paul Nolan. Handicap debut.
12
jockey silks 12. ACTION MOTION (IRE)
J: Mr H. C. Swan
T: Denis Hogan, Ireland
4
10-9
* *
* *
Fair Flat performer. Left hurdle debut well behind when springing a 20/1 surprise in Cork maiden in January. Improved again when 6 lengths fourth of 9 in Punchestown juvenile handicap 6 weeks ago but it's not a performance which suggests he's well treated enough to win a race like this.
13
jockey silks 13. MORNING SOLDIER (IRE)
J: D. J. O'Keeffe
T: Thomas Mullins, Ireland
4
10-9
* * *
* * *
Flat winner. Best run over hurdles when length second of 6 to Sir Allen in juvenile at Naas (2m, good to soft) 31 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut with a first-time tongue tie added.
14
jockey silks 14. MIGHTY MO MISSOURI (IRE)
J: C. Smithers
T: Mrs J. Harrington, Ireland
4
10-8
* * *
* * *
Fair maiden on Flat. Yet to win over hurdles either but he has performed to a fairly useful level when runner-up in big-field maiden events at Naas (to Byker) and Gowran on his last 2 outings. Handicap debut.
15
jockey silks 15. FILS DE ROI (FR)
J: Paddy Brennan
T: Fergal O'Brien
4
10-7
* * *
* * *
Fairly useful form over hurdles, winning Auteuil claimer on final start in France and easily following up in Huntingdon juvenile on October's stable debut. In process of running creditably when falling in Grade 2 next start and latest Musselburgh listed third was another solid display. Handicap bow.
16
jockey silks 16. AFADIL (FR)
J: Harry Cobden
T: Paul Nicholls
4
10-7
* * * *
* * * *
French Flat winner who easily landed short odds on his Taunton hurdle debut and was value for extra when following up in Musselburgh listed event last month. Presumably found run coming too soon when well held in Victor Ludorum at Haydock 13 days later. Stable has won this 3 times.
17
jockey silks 17. GORDONS AURA (IRE)
J: Sam Ewing
T: Gordon Elliott, Ireland
4
10-6
* *
* *
Found a little improvement when coming good in a Fairyhouse juvenile maiden hurdle last month. Well beaten on AW Flat since and doesn't look obviously well treated from his opening mark in this sphere.
18
jockey silks 18. SHARED
J: Paul O'Brien
T: Harry Derham
4
10-6
* * *
* * *
Fairly useful maiden on Flat who belied market weakness to make a winning start over hurdles for new connections at Wetherby in January. Shade disappointing at Musselburgh 10 days later but bounced back immediately with Doncaster novice win 3 weeks ago. Handicap debut.
19
jockey silks 19. LUDUS
J: Jordan Colin Gainford
T: Gordon Elliott, Ireland
4
10-4
* * *
* * *
Made it third time lucky over hurdles at Limerick over Christmas. Better form when second in juvenile handicap at Punchestown (2m, heavy) 5 weeks later. May do better again.
20
jockey silks 20. SUNDIAL (IRE)
J: S. D. Torrens
T: Padraig Roche, Ireland
4
10-4
* * * *
* * * *
Fairly useful winner on Flat. Has yet to build on an eye-catching hurdle debut sixth but it's still early days and he represents the same owner/trainer as last year's winner Brazil. Has first-time cheekpieces added to a refitted tongue strap. Interesting runner.
21
jockey silks 21. MR FREEDOM
J: Robert Dunne
T: Sheena West
4
10-4
* *
* *
Is enjoying an excellent season, gaining a fourth hurdle win (also successful on AW Flat) in 2m handicap hurdle at Warwick last month. Another good effort when close third at Doncaster since but likely vulnerable to less exposed types here unless first-time cheekpieces spark some improvement.
22
jockey silks 22. ROMANCERO LE DUN (FR)
J: David Noonan
T: Mrs Jane Williams
4
10-3
* * *
* * *
Didn't get beyond the first at Warwick in November so he was effectively making his debut when scoring in a small field at Exeter 19 days later. Followed up at Ludlow in January and has the physical scope to suggest he'll go on improving for a while yet.

Betting Forecast : 11/2 5.5 TEKAO, 8/1 8 BYKER, 10/1 10 RISK BELLE, 12/1 12 BAD, 14/1 14 SIR ALLEN, 14/1 14 SUNDIAL, 16/1 16 PERSEUS WAY, 16/1 16 PUNTA DEL ESTE, 20/1 20 SAMUEL SPADE, 28/1 28 JAZZY MATTY, 33/1 33 MORNING SOLDIER, 33/1 33 METAMORPHEUS, 33/1 33 MIGHTY MO MISSOURI, 33/1 33 ROMANCERO LE DUN, 40/1 40 LUDUS, 40/1 40 AFADIL, 50/1 50 MR FREEDOM, 50/1 50 ACTION MOTION, 50/1 50 SHARED, 50/1 50 FILS DE ROI, 66/1 66 MCTIGUE, 66/1 66 GORDONS AURA, 498/1 498 ZANNDABAD, 499/1 499 ARCLIGHT

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NEXT RACE SMART STATS

22% Sandy Thomson's strike rate at KELSO since the start of the 2018/19 season (saddles BLUE BALOO)
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